CBS/NYT POLL: Hillary 49 Obama 31 in states voting on Tuesday

[Herman Munster]

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/02/03/opinion/polls/main3783743.shtml

The picture in the states voting on Super Tuesday is not nearly as close as the overall picture and offers some good news for Clinton. Among voters in those states, she leads Obama, 49 percent to 31 percent, with 16 percent still undecided.

Clinton also holds a big edge on the issue of most concern to Democratic voters: the economy. Nearly 60 percent say she would do a better job of managing the economy than Obama. However, more than two-thirds of Democratic voters see the policy differences between the two candidates as minor. .

[AGirl]

1. yyay

[Cooley Hurd]

2. The same CBS that dumped Rather for Katie Couric?

;)

[liberalnurse]

3. How Sweet it Is!

[Cooley Hurd]

5. GLEASON!

:woohoo:

[maddiejoan]

15. Great Pic of The Great One!

Much love from THIS Brooklyn Gal!

[Lucinda]

4. Thanks for the link!

[sjdnb]

6. Same kind of thing at Pollster (aggregate polling)

http://www.pollster.com/ADemSuperTuesday.php

[MoonRiver]

7. Looking good!

:thumbsup:

[loveangelc]

8. you do a good job at nitpicking. from the link:

The poll found that Clinton and Obama both have the support of 41 percent of Democratic primary voters - a drastic change from early January, when Clinton led Obama by 15 percentage points. While Clinton's overall support has remained steady, Obama has made significant gains among men, particularly white men, and African Americans. White male voters are split nearly evenly between the two Democrats, and Obama holds an 12 percentage point advantage among men overall.

Obama has also seen his support among women rise by 11 percentage points, and he now trails Clinton by only 7 percentage points among that group. He trails Clinton narrowly among Democrats but leads her among independent voters by 13 percentage points.

Clinton's edge on the question of electability has also evaporated as voters have seen Obama win by comfortable margins in Iowa and South Carolina while placing a close second to Clinton in New Hampshire and Nevada. The survey found that 46 percent of Democratic primary voters think Clinton would make the best general election candidate, while 41 percent said that of Obama - as recently as December, only 14 percent believed the Illinois senator made a better general election candidate.

[mcg]

11. I think you meant "cherry picking".

Nice picture.

[samdogmom]

9. Not to rain on your parade...but are they polling first time voters?

I read somewhere that first time voters get left out of these "polls". So....does this give you a bit of pause from your celebrating?

[crimsonblue]

10. they don't poll cellphone users

so there is a huge demo left out of all the polls you see. Considering Barack has something like 80% of the youth vote, it's gonna be a helluva lot closer than one may think on tuesday.

[samdogmom]

12. I knew they didn't poll cell phone users--and many young voters ONLY have a cell phone!

So......Good luck guys! Celebrate now! Because I think the young 'uns are going to prove you wrong! (Me? I'm 52 yrs old...but I try to stay on top of trends.)

[Alcibiades]

18. But they make up for this with weighted samples

They have found that the demographics and opinions of voters w/o land lines are similar to those with land lines, so they just assign greater weight to the responses of those in demographically similar groups (many of whom, as you note, are young). To check the accuracy of the weighting, they do, on occasion, do a poll in which cell users are included (there are different means for doing this).

[Proud2BAmurkin]

13. OUCH

[sidwill]

14. Did the person who posted this even read the article?

I doubt they would have posted it if they had.

Reading,it's fundamental!

[maryallen]

16. Misrepresentation--Title to article reads:Clinton, Obama TIED ...

[thevoiceofreason]

17. What I like on the right-hand margin of the CBS site

Is the archive of older articles about polls:

"Obama leaps ahead of Clinton in NH."