CNN Poll of Polls released 30 minutes ago: Clinton ahead

[LadyVT]

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/03/pollofpolls/index.html

ARIZONA DEMOCRATS

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

January 30 -- February 1

Clinton 43%

Obama 41%

Unsure 16%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATS

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon

January 30 -- February 1

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 45%

Obama 36%

Unsure 19%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

American Research Group

February 1-2

Likely Democratic Primary Voters' Choice for Nominee

Clinton 47%

Obama 39

Unsure 14%

Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Zogby

January 30 -- February 2

Clinton 44%

Obama 40%

Unsure 16%


CONNECTICUT DEMOCRATS

American Research Group
January 30-31

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 48%

Obama 35%

Unsure 17%

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


DELAWARE DEMOCRATS

American Research Group

January 31 -- February 1

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 44%

Obama 42%

Unsure 14%

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


GEORGIA DEMOCRATS

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon

January 30-February 1

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Obama 47%

Clinton 41%

Unsure 12%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts


ILLINOIS DEMOCRATS

Chicago Tribune/WGN

January 30 -- February 1

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Obama 55%

Clinton 24%

Unsure 21%

Sampling error: +/-4.4% pts

American Research Group

January 30 -- January 31

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Obama 51%

Clinton 40%

Unsure 9%

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


MISSOURI DEMOCRATS

Missouri Democratic Poll of Polls
January 30-February 2

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 44%

Obama 43%

Unsure 13%


*The Democratic and Republican Missouri poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and American Research Group (January 31 -- February 1).

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS

New Jersey poll of polls
January 30 -- February 2

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 46%

Obama 39%

Unsure 15%


**The Democratic and Republican New Jersey poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and Monmouth University (January 30 -- February 1).

NEW YORK DEMOCRATS

WNBC/Marist

January 30 -- 31

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 54%

Obama 38%

Unsure 8%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts



UTAH DEMOCRATS

Deseret Morning News/KSL-TV

January 31 -- February 1

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Obama 53%

Clinton 29%

Unsure 18%

Sampling error: +/-6.5% pts

**************
National Democratic poll of polls

Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee

Clinton 47%

Obama 40%

Unsure 13%
***************
***The Democratic and Republican national poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Gallup (January 30 -- February 1), Fox/Opinion Dynamics (January 30-31), and ABC/Washington Post (January 31).

[emilyg]

1. Thank you for posting.

[maddiejoan]

2. I've decided!

That this primary is bad for my ulcer.

[UALRBSofL]

3. Calm Your Ulcer

YES WE CAN YES WE CAN

VOTE GOMAMA ! ! !

[maddiejoan]

13. We Can Do It!

[ErnestoG]

6. LOL there's news!

[AGirl]

4. Yes She Can ! Yes She Can ! Yes She Can ! Yes She Can!

[DemGa]

5. Looks good n/t

[The Delegates]

7. If Obama wins Illinois 55-24

And the rest of the states are as close as polls say, Obama will come out of Supertuesday ahead.

[bidenista]

8. GOMAMA! WATCH THE MA-MENTUM! YES SHE CAN!

[Colobo]

9. These are the same polls we have been discussing since this morning.

[William769]

23. GOMAMA!

K&R!

[ErnestoG]

10. Those are damn close. Virtual ties in most places.

And consider Obama has closed those in the last few days.

If Gallup trends continue, our candidate is going to be viewing Senator Clinton in his rear view mirror soon.

[in_cog_ni_to]

26. Uh huh...keep talking to yourself.

Obama is going to lose.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

11. Lots of unsure can go either way (very close)

[still_one]

12. What these polls essentially say is that the race is unknown

there are so many undecided it is meaningless

[Araxen]

14. All the polls

are pretty worthless. Some say Obama is ahead and others say Clinton is ahead. /boggle

[FrenchieCat]

15. Looks good!

Obama is the Underdog!

Great stuff! :woohoo:

[Indenturedebtor]

16. Very close

Again I have to mention that polls are slanted towards older voters who have landlines. I have never paid for a landline... I'm 28 years old and I'm not alone. This is looking GREAT for Obama imo ;) And don't forget that Obama sweepes up in states where independents and pukes can weigh in.

Looking good! :bounce:

[Barack_America]

17. So many of these polls are bunk...

Independents can vote in California, so any poll that does not include them is unlikely to be correct.

"Unaffiliated" voters, which account for 30-40% of voters in New Jersey can vote in the Democratic primary there. So, once again, any poll of just Democrats, is going to be inaccurate.

It's as if these polling groups aren't aware of primary rules in the various states. It's ridiculous.

-----
(FWIW, I'm not aware of the primary rules in the other states.)

ETA: This isn't a slam of you. Thanks for posting the polls

[LadyVT]

18. You're welcome!... And for Hillary,

This is all great news for Hillary supporters. Many people in many states have already voted. In California, most people I know voted just after the debate. Check out pollster.com, also. I was just shocked to see this on CNN, which has been so (measurably) biased since NH. The headlines are still ridiculous, but at least they are posting the numbers.

[Hoof Hearted]

19. Thanks for the post. These are good solid numbers.

Go Hillary!

[LVjinx]

20. 16% unsure / 13% unsure etc...

How in the WORLD can anyone be unsure at this point?

[LadyVT]

21. because

The so late unsures are historically less likely to actually get up and get to the polls.

[ZinZen]

22. This is proof of a "win" for Clinton?

What are you smoking? Look at all of those undecided numbers, not too mention these polls are all over the place. I think Huffpo is right to treat these polls as accurate as astrology at this point.

[LadyVT]

27. Actually it was a response to several threads..

...on here proclaiming that Obama had "clearly" won, was "way ahead" in "all" the polls, etc.

[stillrockin]

24. We'll talk Tuesday.

My $'s on Obama pulling ahead.

[in_cog_ni_to]

25. HOLY SHIT!!!! Would you look at that?!!! GO, HILLARY!!!

She is going to win and probably win big! :rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl:

[VotesForWomen]

28. hmm, Obama way up in Utah??! what's up with that? nt

[my3boyz]

29. Interesting that

The polls that were completed on the 2nd are much closer. I wonder if Obama started to surge after that? The polls are all over the place.

[tandem5]

30. I'm a clinton supporter, but I'm freakin' sick of polls! How many have been released in the last

three days: :crazy:

[bigtree]

31. I like the Connecticut poll

the word was that Obama was closer

[Clintonista2]

32. GOMAMA!

[shayes51]

33. Yes she will!

[Clark2008]

34. Where's Tennessee?

Or do we not count in polling?

:shrug:

[Imagevision]

35. CNN- eh! poppy-cock - Ethel kennedy & Maria Shriver come out over weekend to endorse Obama...