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New Zogby California Poll: Obama 49%, Clinton 36% (Wow!)

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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:31 AM
Original message
New Zogby California Poll: Obama 49%, Clinton 36% (Wow!)
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama surged to a big lead over Hillary Clinton in California hours before "Super Tuesday" voting began in 24 states, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.

In the Republican race, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney held a 7-point advantage on Arizona Sen. John McCain in California, while McCain added to commanding double-digit leads in New York and New Jersey.

On a sprawling day of coast-to-coast voting, the biggest ever in a U.S. primary race, the U.S. presidential contenders in both parties were fighting to win a huge cache of delegates to this summer's nominating conventions.

In California, which alone provides more than one-fifth of the Democratic delegates needed for the nomination, Obama led Clinton by 49 percent to 36 percent, the poll found. The margin of error was 3.3 percentage points.

Clinton pulled into a 5-point lead in New Jersey, 46 percent to 41 percent, after being tied on Monday. Obama held a 45 percent to 42 percent edge on Clinton in Missouri. Both polls had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

Obama had a 20-point edge in Georgia, aided by a more than 3-to-1 lead among black voters.

Obama, an Illinois senator, and Clinton, a New York senator, are in a hard-fought battle for the Democratic presidential nomination and split the first four significant contests.

"There is clear Obama momentum in California," pollster John Zogby said. "But in New Jersey, things seemed to swing in favor of Clinton, and Missouri was very mixed." {/div]

http://in.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idINIndia-31772620080205

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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. I beat you to it, Katz. Lets hope tomorrow is a good day for us. GOBAMA! nm
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Azathoth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:33 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. This one deserves to be posted twice
:bounce:
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Hardrada Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
2. Polls are meaningful at this point.
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
3. I don't want to get HOPE-ful ...I lived through 2004 and polls and outcomes ...
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:33 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. I'm super nervous, but HOPEful!
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Cant trust em Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
5. let's not get crazy here
just wait and see.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:35 AM
Response to Reply #5
10. I agree.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:34 AM
Response to Original message
7. If this is right then Obama will easily overcome Hillary's early voting lead
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:35 AM
Response to Reply #7
11. Zogby includes absentees
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:37 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. Wow. A double digit win in CA would be huge for Obama
Especially since his big win in Illinois will be sharply contrasted by Hillary winning by only 10-15 in New York. Add Georgia to the mix and if Obama can carry Massachusetts he will sweep all the big states, aside from Hillary's home turf of New York and New York Jr.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:38 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. "New York Jr."
Good one. :thumbsup:
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:34 AM
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8. Maybe a Super Bowl effect in Jersey which is fertile Giants Territory?
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:35 AM
Response to Original message
9. I can't imagine that's true.
One can hope.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:37 AM
Response to Original message
12. Let's hope it is accurate.
I think Zogby is one of the more reputable and reliable pollsters.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:39 AM
Response to Original message
15. Zogby's latest poll, released on Monday, shows Obama with only a 6 point lead
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445

Is this a new one released today?

By the way, I don't trust these results for a second.
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:39 AM
Response to Original message
16. hehe
go cali, been sayin this for a long time!
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mahina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:41 AM
Response to Original message
17. WOW!
That is fantastic! Holy Moses!
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 02:11 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. I have a hard time believing Obama gets
damn near 50% of the vote in CA. But I sure as hell hope he does.
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