Final NEW Susa California Poll Clinton 52% Obama 42%

[sunonmars]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=820141bb-aa0f-4e2d-b13b-44384b69f1f4&q=45558

Hillary Clinton appearing to fend-off a late charge from Barack Obama, 52% Clinton, 42% Obama, according to SurveyUSA's 13th and final pre-primary tracking poll.

Obama leads among men.
Clinton leads among women. total 44-point Gender Gap.
Clinton leads among whites.
Obama leads among blacks. total 53-point Race Gap.
Among younger voters, Clinton leads by 3. Among older voters, Clinton leads by 18.
In greater San Francisco, the contest is tied.
In the Central Valley, Clinton leads by 7. In greater Los Angeles, Clinton leads by 15. In the Inland Empire, Clinton leads by 16.

Filtering: 2,000 state of CA adults were interviewed 02/03/08 and 02/04/08. Of them, 1,762 were registered to vote. Of them, 872 had already voted or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote at the precinct on 02/05/08. Research conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. Other polls in CA show Clinton with a smaller lead than SurveyUSA shows here.

Two polls at this hour show Obama ahead in CA. For Obama to win in CA, he needs a larger turnout among males and African Americans than SurveyUSA's results indicate he will get.

[thesubstanceofdreams]

1. I take the SUSA polls as a worst-case scenario for Obama

Nobody really knows what's going on with this wildly differing polls, but one thing is sure to me - California will be close.

[sunonmars]

2. well we'll know tomorrow morning.