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** CALIFORNIA PREDICTIONS **

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:23 PM
Original message
** CALIFORNIA PREDICTIONS **
I Think Hillary takes it with 53% of the vote.
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buff2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
1. I hope so
I would love to see her win by a landslide,though. :smoke:
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Yeah... but after "the surge" I thought it may flip to Obama.... but I think she'll hold on
by a respectable margin.
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buff2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:26 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I think he thought he was going to do a clean sweep
and take them all. Got fooled,didn't he? :toast:
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AlCzervik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. oh hell no, i am making no prediction on ca at all, 3 million absentee voters
many were mailed weeks ago, huge turnout tongiht, i'd say it;s a total toss up right now leaning to HRC.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. Ha! Not even a guess?
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AlCzervik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:30 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. no, i think it leans HRC because of the mail in ballots but really, what the hell do we know?
i still say it leans her way but again who knows, this state is unwieldy.
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xmas74 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #3
18. If the trend continues
most of the absentees will be for HRC. Quite a number of Obama's votes have been from first-time voters and most don't think about absentee ballots. (Mostly because they are uncertain how it is all done.)
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slick8790 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
4. Sounds about right, I think.
Kind of holding out hope for a 50/50 split just to make the pundits heads explode :)
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peoli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. Obama 52 Clinton 46 Gravel 2
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:26 PM
Response to Original message
7. if it is that close - it is no victory for Hillary Clinton
until a week ago, she was supposed to win by 30%.

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Thank you. This isn't a spin for your candidate thread. What are your predictions.
Hard numbers.
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Mojambo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:28 PM
Original message
Clinton by 6. n/t
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moosen Donating Member (155 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:28 PM
Response to Original message
10. Hillary by 10
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:29 PM
Response to Original message
11. Obama 49, Clinton 47. nt
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:31 PM
Response to Original message
13. Hillary will win 270 plus delegates!
I hope. :)
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:31 PM
Response to Original message
14. Rasmussen Markets (been right so far) is now leaning for Hillary
...which is interesting as it was leaning Obama earlier tonight (8PM)

This will be a nail biter!
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:33 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. Ignore Rasmussen (Respectfully)
Go to Intrade...People are backing their predictions with their wallets...
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. Rasmussen is linked to intrade
Are they different numbers?

They've been right on so far.
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Tektonik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
15. With all the absentee votes, Hillary better win CA
or I believe her campaign to become president would become kaput.
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
16. 49% - 49% with a 3 vote difference in Obama's favor.
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Raine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:34 PM
Response to Original message
19. I'm hoping Obama gets 40%
so he will get a share of the delegates. I'm in CA but don't have clue as to how it will go.
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:35 PM
Response to Original message
20. Clinton by 5%
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thatsrightimirish Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:37 PM
Response to Original message
21. Clinton gets 54%
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:46 PM
Response to Original message
23. I don't know, but I suspect it's going to be within 3-4 points either way. NT
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
24. Clinton 55%, Obama 45%
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. I don't think they'll get to 100% together.
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