Very real possibility that Hillary doesn't win another state for a month...

[scheming daemons]

Currently, Obama has won 16 states, Clinton has won 8 states

Obama is favored in the next 10 contests.


We could go into March 4th with Obama winning 26 states to Hillary's 8.


Will she be able to compete in Ohio and Texas when she hasn't won anything in a month?


Will her campaign follow the Giuliani pattern of putting all of its eggs into one or two states, and then being unable to regenerate momentum when those states come?

[SteelPenguin]

1. Are there state by state poll numbers somewhere?

I could have sworn that Clinton was ahead in Ohio and Texas.

[scheming daemons]

2. Those states don't happen until next month....exactly my point...

..

[SteelPenguin]

4. Anything can happen

It's still wide open as far as I can see.

[JorgeTheGood]

3. Obama seems to only win in caucus states ...

and open primary states where republicans can register as a democrat for one day and then switch back the next day (anti-hillary votes)

If the upcoming states follow those rules then yes, he will probably win. Otherwise, he loses ... simple as that.

And he had better figure out a way to get the hispanic vote or he'll lose TX bigtime.

[SteelPenguin]

5. He won a number of primaries yesterday

...ones where only democrats could vote.

Doesn't that say something though when he attracts many more independents?

[JorgeTheGood]

6. and which states were those ??? n/t

[mohc]

7. CT, DE, NM

[joshcryer]

9. Hillary will win NM.

[catagory5]

8. CLINTON: AR, AZ, CA, MA, NY, NJ, OK, TN, NV, FL, MI, N.H.

Also, I will give you all the sates comming up and we will take Ohio and Texas. I live in Houston and I can tell you she is up by atleaset 20 in both states. (I know how he can close a lead pretty quick) But I am pretty sure texas will go for Hillary quite large.. Houston will get a CNN debate at the end of this month.

That adds up to 12 in my book. 10 if you dont count MI and FL. Which are going to end up counting.

[SteelPenguin]

11. CT, DE, and CO

All three were restricted to registered party members.

[JorgeTheGood]

13. 3 out of 14 wins were closed and that's a victory ??? n/t

[Guava Jelly]

15. That isn't true

Obama wins because the non viable candidates voters break for him normally over Clinton.

[alcibiades_mystery]

10. You're going to be disappointed

And when Hillary DOES pick up some states, the Hillarities will be running around here like Jesus hisself just baked them a stromboli.

[BenDavid]

12. this is the bait and the obama folks have taken it by them

believing they will be big winners for the rest of february. uh huh remember now it is delegates we are talking about and oh say obama does win the margin of victory as delegate counts goes will be closer and hrc will come out looking good....be sure to check how the remaining states in february and see how the delegates are dispersed......it is not going to be that obama wins every delegate.....

[cloudythescribbler]

14. For further analysis along the lines of this OP, check out:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4429972

[Bullet1987]

16. Don't count your eggs before they hatch...