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*** Projected Final Totals Based On ST ***

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FlyingSquirrel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:32 PM
Original message
*** Projected Final Totals Based On ST ***
If neither candidate breaks out with some real momentum, "simple math" shows the following:

Red States: Clinton 36.0%, Obama 60.2%
Blue States: Clinton 52.6%, Obama 48.6%
Swing States: Clinton 48.6%, Obama 49.1%

Red Delegates remaining: 246
Blue Delegates remaining: 291
Swing Delegates remaining: 638

Remaining Delegates allotted to Clinton: 552
Remaining Delegates allotted to Obama: 603

Current Pledged Delegate Estimate (CNN):

Clinton 818, Obama 730, Edwards 26

Final Pledged Delegate Estimate before Convention:

Clinton 1,370
Obama 1,333
Edwards 26+
Uncommitted ???

Counting current Superdelegates:

Clinton 1,571
Obama 1,443

Remaining Superdelegates to endorse (including some not yet chosen):

487

If current percentages of Superdelegates continue to endorse HRC and Obama:

313 Clinton
174 Obama

Final total delegate estimate WITH Superdelegates, WITHOUT Uncommitted:

Clinton 1,884
Obama 1,617

2,025 needed



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Yael Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:41 PM
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1. I would bust a gut if one of them ended up with 1999
:rofl:
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:53 PM
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2. Great minds think alike.
I crunched numbers this afternoon, too. Similar results, I see it going brokered. Decided by Superdelegates, and potentially pissing a lot of voters off.

Check it:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4439880&mesg_id=4439880
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