***MAGIC RAT FEARLESS FORECASTER PREVIEW...I PREDICT THE PRIMARY WINNER ***

[THUNDER HANDS]

We've gone through 28 states so far, 26 if you don't count Florida and Michigan. Which, for the sake of argument, I won't.

Of those 26 states, Obama has taken 16. Clinton has taken 10. (New Mexico apparently counts their votes using their fingers and toes, but I'm going to assume Obama won New Mexico just for the sake of my argument - it's my thread, I make the rules.)

16-10 in terms of states, 818-730 in terms of delegates (favoring Clinton right now).

This is How I see the rest of the race shaping up...

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February 9th

LOUISIANA
56 total delegates. Obama wins big 60/40. Takes 30 to her 26.

NEBRASKA
24 total delegates. Obama wins small 51/49. Takes 13 to her 11.

WASHINGTON
78 total delegates. Obama wins big 60/40. Takes 45 to her 33.

VIRGIN ISLANDS
3 total delegates. Clinton wins 2-1.
19-11 in the states. 890 to 819 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 71)

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February 10th

MAINE
24 total delegates. Clinton wins small 55/45. Takes 13 to his 11.

19-12 in the states. 903 to 830 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 73)

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February 12th

WASHINGTON D.C.
15 total delegates. Obama romps 85/15. Takes 14 to her 1.

MARYLAND
70 total delegates. Obama wins solid, 58/42. Takes 38 to her 32.

VIRGINIA
83 total delegates. Clinton wins small, 52/48. Takes 43 to his 40.

21-13 in the states. 979 to 922 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 57)

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February 19th

HAWAII
20 total delegates. Obama wins big, 75/25. Takes 15 to her 5.

WISCONSIN
74 total delegates. Obama wins small 51/49. Takes 38 to her 36.

23-13 in the states. 1020 to 975 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 45)

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March 4th

OHIO
141 total delegates. Obama wins close, 52/48. Takes 73 to her 68.

TEXAS
193 total delegates. Clinton wins close, 54/46. Takes 104 to his 89.

RHODE ISLAND
21 total delegates. Obama wins solid, 57/43. Takes 12 to her 9.

VERMONT
15 total delegates. Obama wins this big, 65/35. Takes 11 to her 4.

26-14 in the states. 1205 to 1160 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 45)

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March 8th

WYOMING
12 total delegates. Obama wins this big, 60/40. Takes 7 to her 5.

27-14 in the states. 1210 to 1167 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 43)

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March 11th

MISSISSIPPI
33 total delegates. Obama swamps this, 75/25. Takes 25 to her 8.

28-14 in the states. 1218 to 1192 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 26)

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April 22nd

PENNSYLVANIA
151 total delegates. Obama wins smallish 54/46. Takes 79 to her 72.

29-14 in the states. 1290 to 1271 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 19)

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May 3rd

GUAM
3 total delegates. Clinton wins. Takes 2 to his 1.

29-15 in the states. 1292 to 1272 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 20)

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May 6th

INDIANA
66 total delegates. Clinton wins big 56/44. Takes 36 to his 30.

NORTH CAROLINA
91 total delegates. Obama wins huge 66/34. Takes 58 to her 33.

30-16 in the states. 1361 to 1360 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 1)

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May 13th

WEST VIRGINIA
26 total delegates. Clinton wins this small, 52/48. Takes 14 to his 13.

30-17 in the states. 1375 to 1373 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 2)

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May 20th

KENTUCKY
47 total delegates. Obama wins this solid, 55/45. Takes 25 to her 22.

OREGON
48 total delegates. Obama wins this solid, 55/45. Takes 26 to her 22.

32-17 in the states. 1419 to 1424 in terms of delegates. (Obama by 5)

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June 1st

PUERTO RICO
55 total delegates. Clinton wins this big, 66/34. Takes 31 to his 24.

32-18 in the states. 1450 to 1448 in terms of delegates. (Clinton by 2)

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June 3rd

MONTANA
15 total delegates. Obama wins this big, 60/40. Takes 9 to her 6.

SOUTH DAKOTA
14 total delegates. Obama wins this big, 60/40. Takes 8 to her 6.

34-18 in the states. 1462 to 1465 in terms of delegates. (Obama by 3)

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OVERALL - OBAMA WINS MOST DELEGATES IN CLOSEST PRIMARY IN AMERICAN HISTORY ... NOT ENOUGH TO SECURE NOMINATION.

(and for all those who doubt my prognostication abilities, I predicted the outcome of Super Tuesday within 75 delegates.

[still_one]

1. One question, how accurate have you been? /nt

[MadBadger]

2. I think obama will win more delegates than you are giving him in February.

[Dawgs]

3. Obama is not going to win Ohio.

I would agree with the rest.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

4. I disagree w/ Wisc and Tex.

Obama will win by a large amount in cheesehead land and will win in Texas.

[loveangelc]

7. I doubt he wins TX. I think he may win Ohio, but he needs to go to the rural areas

and make his case to them. She cannot afford to shrug off the early caucus and primary states is something I'm certain of though.

[THUNDER HANDS]

5. kick for the adjustment

it posted before I was done with it. Now here is the final version.

[Big Blue Marble]

6. If you are right,

wouldn't that demand a redo in Michigan and Florida?

[thevoiceofreason]

8. Why is a Louisiana romp only split 30/26?`

Not saying there's not a reason, just don't know what it is.

[THUNDER HANDS]

9. I'm not sure

maybe because when Katrina hit, all the black areas got dispearsed, so the congressional districts aren't as solid as they used to be.