Which Polls Should You Trust?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Res ipsa loquitur:

[mohc]

1. The one that backs up my argument, of course n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Zogby And ARG Suck Donkey Balls

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[Rosa Luxemburg]

3. do they compare how the pollsters ask the question

I've noticeed that some of the questions raised are misleading.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I See How You Can Insert Bias Into A Poll By Asking Leading Or Loaded Questions

But how can you insert bias into a candidate preference poll,ergo:

Mr. or Ms. Smith, if the election was tomorrow would you vote for Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?


and you rotate names to make it fair...

[Rosa Luxemburg]

7. well guess what

yesterday this woman called to ask the same question "hillary clinton" in a clear bold voice or "Barack Obama" in a muffled, very quiet voice which sound like Osama!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. I Would Have Asked To Speak To Her Superior

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[Rosa Luxemburg]

10. she disappeared fast

[Alhena]

4. You should analyze actual similar primary results in past contests ...

and try to draw analogies based on whether a given contest is a caucus (favors Obama), a closed primary (favors Hillary, except in heavily black states) or an open primary (kind of a wash, based on past results.)

[rucky]

6. The ones that show results of elections.

sometimes.

[OHdem10]

9. Trust no poll 5-7 days before a primary vote or a caucus.

This has been true for years. Very often the Media uses
old polls to push the horse race. This was reported
in GWB's first race. He went into NH Vote with every
Media Outlet and Press Group Reporting that he would
win NH by 22 pt. Fact: McCain beat Bush by 22 points.

Further more, people begin to play games with pollster
just before the election and fib about how they are going
to vote.

[tishaLA]

11. none, really

I try to maintain a healthy skepticism with all of them.

[AlCzervik]

12. the one on election day.