Obama gaining natiionally; Clinton losing support.

[calteacherguy]

02/03/08
49% Clinton
38% Obama

02/04/08
46% Clinton
40% Obama

02/05/08
47% Clinton
40% Obama

02/06/08
46% Clinton
42% Obama

02/07/08
44% Cinton
44% Obama

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

[TexasObserver]

1. New Clinton Campaign song: Slip Slidin' Away

[niceypoo]

9. Yes, New Hampshire was to be the nail in her coffin....

...remember?

:rofl:

[Whisp]

11. I am Woman Hear me Roar...

numbers - please ignore

[rufus dog]

12. dude/chick I hate to tell you

but you are getting old. Those under 40 won't get the slip slidin away. I do, and agree with you!

[ursi]

2. interesting ...thanks for the post

[Cronus Protagonist]

3. Rasmussen's daily tracking polls have a 4 percentage point margin of error

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

That means that Hillary Rodham Clinton could be beating Barack Hussein Obama by 48% to 40% or vice versa, either claim being possible within the margin of error quoted. Therefore you are adding meaning to what basically amounts to statistical noise. The trend you are talking about doesn't exist, statistically speaking, and since you quoted the stats, don't complain to me for pointing out the error.

[pointsoflight]

4. Nope, you're wrong.

The poll on 2/3 had Clinton ahead OUTSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR. The next four polls have it within the margin of error. So statistically speaking, there is a trend. Clinton was ahead by a statistically significant margin on 2/3. Now she's not.

And what's this Hussein crap? Your guy, who will soon be endorsing Obama, would not approve.

[Cronus Protagonist]

5. One outlier does not a trend make

And what's wrong with stating the candidate's names?

[Unsane]

6. Or does today's outlier begin tomorrow's trend?

[pointsoflight]

15. One outlier? Wrong again.

Look over the last three to four weeks. Clinton had a significant lead, outside the margin of error, numerous times. We now have four straight days where she's not.

In addition, if you want to use statistics, you can also look at Hillary's numbers across days to see if they've significantly dropped, and over the last five days, they have.

[leftynyc]

17. I'd get used to seeing his

middle name if he's the candidate. It will by on every flyer, TV ad, radio ad, etc.... You think Hillary is tough, you're in for a world of hurt.

[Cronus Protagonist]

18. I figure Barack Hussein Obama is going to be on everyone's lips real soon

And if that's a problem for the Obama people, they're living with their heads in the sand.

[krkaufman]

8. The MOE is the same in each poll, so the trend remains.

Obama, upward; Clinton, downward.

Hillary may still lead Obama, but it is less likely now than it was a week ago.

[goldcanyonaz]

7. 2008 Pollster Report Card.

[HughMoran]

10. You should post both Gallup & Rasmussen

For comparison's sake.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. That Would Require A Modicum Of Truth In Reporting Which Is Wanting In Certain Posters

~

[catagory5]

14. Gallup Bitch

ditto

Rasmussen has been off as much as Zombie

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. Rasmussen, Zomby, And ARG Suck

[Proud2BAmurkin]

19. Clinton is ahead in all of your polls. lol