Early LA exit poll

[cali]

by kos
Sat Feb 09, 2008 at 03:53:36 PM PST
The early exit poll out of Louisiana bodes well for Obama:

Blacks were close to half the Democratic electorate, while nine in 10 Republican primary voters were white. As is typical for presidential primaries, men predominated in the GOP electorate while more women voted in the Democratic contest. Close to one in 10 voters in both primaries were under age 30 and one i
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/9/185159/4314/40/453552

[jackson_dem]

1. If Obama gets 80-88% of the black vote here (like he did everywhere on Super Tuesday)

That means he starts from 40-44% and only needs token white support to push him over the top.

[Hoof Hearted]

2. token white support

*sigh*

[jackson_dem]

11. Do the math

With 80-88% black support he needs as little as 12% of the white vote to win.

[papau]

3. Obama playing the race card - claiming the Clinton's made him do it - is working out well

[NorthernSpy]

4. how is he "playing the race card"?

Be specific.

[Barack_America]

9. By being black, apparently.

It would seem that all African Americans are playing the "race card" at all times.

:shrug:

The Clinton supporters are becoming like a talking doll that is running out of batteries. They're starting to just randomly shout out phrases.

[cloudythescribbler]

14. well put

(BWB -- "being while black")

[JVS]

20. Or as my friends say "Charged with one count of aggravated Blackness"

[sniffa]

17. Don't bother reading them

But I must say, it's a good sign.

[jackson_dem]

13. "Black America will wake up"--Michelle Obama

Barack himself spoke of getting blacks to "solidify" behind him. Imagine of Bill Clinton said "White America will wake up" and Hillary said "we need to get whites to solidify behind us".

[Kahuna]

21. A test of your honesty. In what context did Michelle make that statement? nt

[jackson_dem]

22. It doesn't matter

What would you say if Bill Clinton said the same thing, regardless of whether he was asked about Hillary losing most of the white vote?

[Kahuna]

23. Yes it does matter. She was answering a question posed to her

by a reporter. The question was to the effect, why was Obama polling so poorly among blacks. She answered. You probably didn't even know the context of the quote. You just picked up something in the blogoshere and just keep repeating it never imagining that eventually someone would question its context.

[jackson_dem]

24. 40% in an eight candidate field is bad?

Why didn't she say "He is doing well and as folks get to know him better his numbers will improve." She said "black America will wake up". What if Bill Clinton said "white America will wake up"?

[NJSecularist]

5. Bullshit

The Clinton's tried to make this a racial divide back in South Carolina. They planned to paint Barrack as the black candidate and that they would get the vast majority of the white vote.

Their strategy has failed. Obama and Hillary are splitting the white vote 50/50 and Obama is winning the black vote overwhelmingly. The Clintons have no one to blame but themslves.

[woolldog]

19. Everyone also forgets

that Obama wasn't always winning the black vote. Blacks were favoring clinton 2-1 and 3-1 earlier, even in South Carolina. The media was always playing up that talking point.

Then when blacks started breaking for Obama they questioned whether he could win white voters. It was alleged that he was having trouble connecting with white voters etc. They began arguing that on the basis of South Carolina's results, instead of looking at New Hampshire and Iowa which are heavily white. Since when are South Carolina whites representative of whites across the country? They ignored the deep racial divisions (and history of racial polarization in) South Carolina. Now they're playing up the Latino thing.

[K Gardner]

6. Sick.

[sniffa]

16. Again, I have to post this

I really believe we'll be best suited looking forward. I don't know who or what you're responding to, and I take it I chose wisely.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4468754

[Nitrogenica]

7. That is a half truth misleading negative bullshit comment.

Enough already.

I suspect things.

[book_worm]

8. We will soon find out. Hopefully Obama will win all three tonight

but we will see.

[Moh96]

10. Thank you so much for that

I have been very worried about the low turnout in LA
I have been making calls all day to people to get out and vote

[Mass]

12. Careful. Early exit polls were showing MA going to Obama. Exit polls were showing it tied.

(probably all done around Boston).

Let's wait what happens (though I like what you posted).

[dempartisan23]

15. great news

GOBAMA

[Perky]

18. if its 45% AA turnout it an Obama victory

Its was arounf 50% in SC, GA and AL.....

In TN it was 21% and HRC won