Exit Polling shows LA is locked up for Obama

[Perky]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#val=LA

[hey560]

1. he'll win LA with a 5 to 10% margin

[Perky]

7. 44% AA Turnout with an 88% share is what locks it

And this:


Vote by Gender
Clinton Obama
Male (43%) 45% 52%
Female (57%) 45% 54%

[elizm]

11. But what about the voting irregularities??? nt

[elizm]

2. Except the vote count is not showing that at the moment. nt

[K Gardner]

3. He is NOT ahead in vote count at the moment. Be careful Perky :-)

[high density]

6. There are like 1500 votes in, or zero percent. NM

[K Gardner]

9. Ok, but I've been fooled before by this exit poll crapola :-)

[K Gardner]

10. Although, Fox is also hinting that the state will go to him within the hour.

[usregimechange]

4. No he will win by at least 15%

[FogerRox]

22. This could be a blow out, Obama is up 14% w/28% reporting

Obama ...47,910 53%

Clinton ..35,065 39%

28%
reporting

[Moh96]

5. No doubt

he wins woman by 54 to 45
men 52 to 45

whenever he wins or loose by small margin the women vote he wins

[cloudythescribbler]

8. Huh? Where is this exit poll at the link you specify?

I found something reporting only about 1000 votes in


but then again my computer really sucks

[Perky]

16. CNN

[johncoby2]

12. Good old Zogby Poll.

Never been wrong before.

[Perky]

14. Zogby is not doing the exit polls.

[Meshuga]

13. But I only care about the final result

Exist polls have deceived us in the past so I will use caution before being too excited. :-)

[Stevepol]

21. Are you sure it was the exit polls that deceived you in the past and

not the voting machines?

LA would be an ideal place for the machines to work their miracles.

[K Gardner]

15. OK, the exit polls I'm looking at on Fox look pretty evenly split with perhaps

an edge to Clinton.

[joshcryer]

17. The youth vote did not turn out in LA.

Hillary may actuall win this one.

[Perky]

20. I agree it is about 1/2 of what it has been in other Southern primaries

But he has a 9% lead amont women and men

and a big AA turn out..... I think it is going to wind up aqbout 60%/40% when the night is done.

[DiamondJay]

18. don't forget exit polls are still only polls

and nothing else. they are not vote tallys. they miss a lot of people, the vote count does not. she will pull thru.

[K Gardner]

19. OK, he finally pulled ahead a LITTLE in the actual vote count