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How much of an effect will Obama's sweep tonight have on upcoming contests?

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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:04 AM
Original message
Poll question: How much of an effect will Obama's sweep tonight have on upcoming contests?
Edited on Sun Feb-10-08 01:05 AM by calteacherguy
The headlines tomorrow morning will read what those on the internet already say in big, bold letters:

OBAMA SWEEPS CLINTON IN THREE STATES

What will be the effect on the psychology of voters and future contests?
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
1. He won the nomination, Hillary will pack it up soon (n/t)
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DB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:07 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I am for Obama but that is wishful thinking. She is nothing if not a fighter.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. Yah, I know. They can't take this fight too long though without
damaging our chances a bit in November. I think everyone agrees on that.

Crazy primaries this year, on both sides.
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DB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:21 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Huckleberry hound beating Mcinsane today helps Clinton hang on also.
It delays the inevitable on the repugnant side.
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Exultant Democracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:09 AM
Response to Original message
3. I think this gives him a lot of MO, but if she can stop him in Virgina she might have a chance.
If she doesn't get anything of worth in the next 10 days then I think Ohio and Texas will start to shift to Obama, shoot he is going to have almost 2 weeks and huge amounts of money to focus most of his attention on 2 states.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:10 AM
Response to Original message
4. It gives him a bit of momentum, but she'll win tomorrow in Maine.
I'd be very surprised if she didn't.
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Hill_YesWeWill Donating Member (652 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:14 AM
Response to Original message
5. I have to admit, it will be significant, but she did downplay them because of that nt
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Caseman Donating Member (171 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:16 AM
Response to Original message
6. Yeeeeeaaaaaa...
...Like these kind of polls won't be biased at all...
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returnable Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:18 AM
Response to Original message
8. Significant. Money follows wins, and votes follow money.
That's how the system works, like it or not.

Hillary's "Rudy" strategy of banking on Ohio and Texas is looking more and more like a hail mary...
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:30 AM
Response to Original message
10. It's good for Obama, but it also galvanizes Hillary's supporters
I don't think the Obama people are taking anything into account that doesn't match their enthusiasms.

Right after the MSM reported that Hillary was out of money, there was a surge in contributions, a surge that has been well-sustained. The Obama supporters here were unable to stop gloating long enough to consider what that means.

I posted about the differences in styles of campaigning at different points, sprinting vs marathoning. The response was immediately ugly. Nearly all of the drama in this election has only happened over a period of the last five weeks.

History tells us that when people listen only to what they want to hear and attack those who say anything different, they usually have a nasty surprise waiting for them.

--p!
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Rowdyboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:31 AM
Response to Original message
11. Today is major...Maine comes tomorrow...Then he takes DC, Maryland and Virginia on Tuesday
A week later Hawaii and Wisconsin-both states he's favored in. Clinton's next chance is March 4th with Ohio and Rhode Island. It looks grim for the Clinton team.

She's playing defense now and faces a string of losses. I'm not sure if it can be turned around but they have the money and the connections to do it if anyone ever could. Should be quite the race.
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ShadowLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:38 AM
Response to Original message
12. It'll effect the money, but the support, I don't know
It'll probably help give Obama some extra cash I do believe, but giving him extra votes, I don't know. I'm sure a few people will jump ship, but many, I don't know.

Obama winning the next 4 states to vote though by similar margins would certainly have a bigger effect if he could claim a headline of "Obama wins 8 in a row by big margins".
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-10-08 01:40 AM
Response to Original message
13. I don't think today's sweep will have much of an effect on future contests
But if he wins Maine, and then sweeps Maryland, Virginia and D.C., you better believe it will have an effect on upcoming contests, specifically Ohio and Texas.
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