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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:20 PM
Original message
Hillary is going to concede
at some point (hey, everyone else gets to make a mean ol' funny on here, I want just one, ha), and I think it's best to do it now, because I really don't dislike her a lot, but I think it should be obvious to her with Obama on a roll of more than likely, 10 wins, that she see she cannot get the vote totals she needs, and this way, she could run again in 4 (hopefully not), or 8 years (I'd consider her at least), but sticking around to make it tougher on the DEM is not good. I hope she realizes it's good for the party, and I will really be impressed.

Does anyone else think she'll leave this early, or only after a few states after Tex/Ohio, where her percentage of (potential) victory there will make it really clear she cannot win this?
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boricua79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:21 PM
Response to Original message
1. she's speaking tonight at 8:40...who knows.
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:21 PM
Response to Original message
2. That would be so out of character
I think she is in till the bitter end. No way will she drop out.
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BringBigDogBack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:22 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Unfortunately,
that's part of the problem. You're right.
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Adsos Letter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I agree...
no matter what anyone thinks of her, the lady is a scrapper...
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MagsDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
3. No chance in hell
She will win TX OH and PA and it will be deadlocked again.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. Heard the same thing about Edwards
No chance in hell. Then Howard Dean had a talk with him. This race is likely over 3/4. Also, have you looked at the states other than Texas and Ohio? They mostly favor Obama.
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Hoof Hearted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:30 PM
Original message
Howard Dean! LOL! Howard Dean? Anyone who thinks HRC takes orders from Dean is high as a kite!
That's just silliness talking.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
27. Why do you think Edwards is gone?
It's not because he wanted to get out.
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Hoof Hearted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #27
46. Up! Up! and Away!


Why do I think Edwards got out? He was polling under 20% - everywhere. It sure as hell wasn't Howard Dean.
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GoldieAZ49 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #11
42. Regarding TX - Hispanic votes following the countries trend
Arnold Garcia at the Austin American-Statesmen

Hispanic votes following the countries trend, younger voters (mid 20's) are going with Obama

with the voting blocks changing, as seen in VA, the rest of them across the country may be changing as well.

On another note, earlier today I heard there was disappointment in the Latino community because of the Clinton campaign manager change, they felt she was getting blamed for the losses.


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awaysidetraveler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #3
15. You'll need fishy math for that projection. Obama would have to lose 100 delegates
in those states to make up for the wins he's gaining now.

Who knows, maybe the superdelegates will rip the party apart, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:27 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. Obama would have to lose by 150+ delegates as of tonight!
He's likely to win Wisconsin now because she isn't even giving him a fight there.

The clock is running out on her, or has.
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flor de jasmim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think she'll fight to the bitter end
First, she's too close to give up now. Tenacity is her middle name. I think she'd stay in even if she weren't so class and be a Huckabee.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. is that good?
I mean, like me, do you think it's a losing battle and she just doesn't care about our party winning more than she cares about having a chance to win herself? I mean, my fave of faves of those running this time, John E., dropped out, but he was at least surging when he left, he didn't have to, but I think he did it for the good of the party.

I would expect her to do the same - Obama's run here is VERY impressive, and even if she wins those couple big states, he seems to be winning everything else handedly!
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
7. The race will probably not go past 3/4 no matter what happens.
Barring a huge Clinton win, it's likely over on 3/4.
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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
8. 2,025
Rezko trial on the horizon...

It ain't over yet....


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lse7581011 Donating Member (948 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
9. I Wish!
but highly doubt!
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
12. Chelsea in LaCrosse WI today, Bill on Thurs, Health care ads running statewide-GO HILLARY
Chelsea in LaCrosse WI today, Bill on Thurs, Health care ads running statewide-GO HILLARY
Posted by rodeodance




http://www.lacrossetribune.com /
BREAKING NEWS
Chelsea stumps for 'mom'
Go ahead — ask Chelsea Clinton anything. She'll probably have the answer. The once and (maybe) future first daughter spoke for nearly an hour today at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse on behalf of her mom, U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton, and mom's campaign for the Democratic nomination. 1:20 pm

* Bill Clinton to be in La Crosse Thursday
3:03 pm
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. I think Chelsea's got class eom
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LucyParsons Donating Member (938 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #14
45. I don't think anyone who works for a hedge fund has class
especially someone in her position, with her intelligence and resources, who could have any career she wanted. Speaks volumes to me, personally.
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StrongBad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #45
58. What is wrong with a career in finance?
Some people are gifted at that particular discipline and are fascinated by the process of growing money. What if this is her calling and she has no interest in the public life her parents have led. Are we to say she has no class just because of that?
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LucyParsons Donating Member (938 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:18 PM
Response to Reply #58
59. "growing money" ? (puke)
the whole "financial industry" is a casino in which greedy people profit off the actual labor of people who are really doing the hard work and producing things. if that makes me a socialist, so be it. (just pre-empting your likely response) ;)
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
13. * Bill Clinton to be in La Crosse WI Thursday
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
16. That's crazy talk.
It makes perfect sense for her to continue on and campaign hard through Pennsylvania, unless she loses it all on March 4th.

Clinton is not a "loser" - and these Obama wins are no reason to get complacent. She's still favored to win Texas and Ohio. If she does that, then it really comes down to Penn and superdelages.

Frankly, I still consider Obama to be the underdog. I think Clinton is still in the position where she is more likely to end up the nominee.
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TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
17. she'll wait to the bitter end.
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
18. Not until after Texas/Ohio/Pennsylvania
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #18
51. You think she will wait until March 4th? Maybe
I think if BO wins TX then, she will concede it. If she wins, like TX big, she will probably work the super delegates to take the nom. Probably not good for the party but with all the major donors she had behind her, she probably feels a responsibility to fight up until the last battle for them.
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #51
55. Yeah, maybe if she loses Texas
but she does have some very committed supporters, and I think she should stay in until it's clear that she's no longer viable. I really don't have a favorite here ... I don't particularly care for either one, but I'll vote for our nominee, of course.
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theboss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
19. There is no way she is giving up
It would be against every part of her nature.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
20. If she concedes, I'll be surprised, but not shocked. They have to know it's over.
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 08:27 PM by TexasObserver
Hillary supporters may not be ready to know it and accept it, but the key people in the campaign have to know it's hopeless, and the landslide losses for her will only continue. If she really wants to see the party glide to majority status across the board, she'll stop and get behind Obama.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. agreed.
and who knows, maybe she talked to Obama and said she'd concede now if he made her VP choice, which would be tempting for him (now, but not down the road imho) to get her out of the race and solidify his nomination.

sorry, Clinton backers, I'm feeling it's OVER
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:37 PM
Response to Reply #24
35. She just got through using her "he wins caucuses, not primaries" meme. That's gone.
I don't know how she faces the cameras, but she's going to do it soon.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
22. She knows history. She is still alive and should fight onto March 4 at least
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #22
31. I agree, she has a shot at least, until then
if she doesn't win those BIG (20 points) then she's done, so obv. she probably won't leave without a chance, but I would think if Obama runs off 10 states in a row - he will surge some in OH & TX, and that just makes it all the more unlikely she will garner the delegate count she needs to have much say about which is the nominee... I'm no expert on that part (how the dealing would go down in the convention) but I would think if Obama has a good lead, how could he cheated out of something he really deserved, the party would be ripped apart.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #31
36. He could but there may also be buyer's remorse
And the msm may finally stop supporting him in order to keep the horse race alive for ratings.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:09 PM
Response to Reply #36
47. always a possibility the dirty msm, we know how they operate all too well! eom
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:30 PM
Response to Original message
23. She'll go out like Norma Desmond: "My close-up please.." nt
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. I shouldn't encourage you. LOL n/t
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 08:35 PM by themartyred
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Darth_Kitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #25
33. Why? She's attractive...........
I guess when you don't have the wisdom to appreciate a woman's intelligence and class you mock her looks.

Juvenile.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #33
37. yes she's pretty for a woman of her age
his/her joke about her I think maybe comes from the fact that she might go kooky if she's not the nominee, after being talked up as the eventual president for 3 years...

If I saw her, I'd have a hard time not telling her to, "just stand there and look pretty, Hillary!" in response to her saying it to John 5 years ago in the Senate.
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Darth_Kitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #23
28. How is this remotely funny?
:shrug:
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terrya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:37 PM
Response to Reply #23
34. Knock it off. Please.
Thanks.

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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:31 PM
Response to Original message
26. Nope. She's going 'all in' in TX and OH.
She's NOT going to concede before then, especially if she wins in WI.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #26
32. But she seems to be giving up on Wisconsin
And you think she might win?
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #32
40. One poll has her up 10 points, another down 10 points
But she is sending Bill and Chelsea there. I'm not sure she's so much giving up on it, so much as she's prioritizing TX.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #40
48. Wait, Texas is when and she's not in Wisconsin now?
She's conceding it, c'mon. Sending just Bill and Chelsea is so that it's not a wipeout.
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LucyParsons Donating Member (938 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
29. No way will she concede
She will be willing to strongarm superdelegates in contravention of the votes of the party membership, if need be. IMHO
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IDemo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
30. She still has enough dough to buy a lot of Lunches With Chelsea
Super Delegates are the end game now.
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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
38. For the good of the country, she should. n/t
n/t
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
39. she would concede
but not just because of a lose in the patomac. She has class and if tx or OH dont go right, she will do the classy thing.
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
41. If it becomes apparent that Hillary is no longer viable
and she's hurting the party's chances in November she'll step aside.

Obama does have a hurdle coming up. He's now front runner and the negative attacks are starting to focus on him. We'll see how he holds up.
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milkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:52 PM
Response to Original message
43. March 6.
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
44. Anyone have an online radio link that covers her speech?
All I can find is some fox news shit talking smack on Carter.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:16 PM
Response to Original message
49. interesting
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tandem5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
50. new surveyusa she's up by 17 in ohio - why leave now? nt
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mirrera Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
52. I would admire her greatly if she did. I really feel for her...
She is going through what Edwards did. Both of them just could not stop this train. This is way bigger than anyone could know. It is a once in a lifetime experience, someone with the charisma of Obama running. The President needs to be able to persuade. It has been 8 years of STFU. It is worse for her because she is at a perfect age. I am reading her book right now. She would have a lot of fun working hard with a good president, she has not had that experience. her husband's presidency was an entrenchment. A defensive camp.



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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #52
57. good points
her 8 years with bill were nonstop attacks from the GOP, a lot of self-blame there of course, but they didn't deserve the level it was taken, nor did they deserve the attacks against the health care issue or gay rights in the military that they got...

I like what you said. I think whoever gets our nom will pick wisely for VP, I really do.
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
53. I think she will on March 5th.
Right now she could win both, but I don't think she could Texas based on my gut, and the voting process there (and then topped off with MO). I guess she could win Ohio, but I think that's going to become a long shot as the date approaches.

However, if internals show bad results following WI/RI, she may concede then to preserve her stature as a future nominee. Personally, I kinda hope she drags it out, as I think it will finish off the "Clinton Era" once and for all. I think she's going to end up losing, and if she drags it out, it will erode the good will the Party has for her and her husband (though if he keeps quiet, he could come out much, much higher than her).
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #53
56. good pts eom
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
54. She'll quit when Tom Delay becomes a Democrat!
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