Intrade has Obama at 51.1 to win the Presidency.

[Barack_America]

Obama: 51.1
McCain: 33.0
Clinton: 16.4

Chances at winning the Democratic nomination
Obama: 74.5
Clinton: 26.9


Good news!!


(I figured this was worthy of using one of my 3 threads on. :))


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Edited to be responsible and add a link:
http://www.intrade.com/ (check the first page and scroller)

[THUNDER HANDS]

1. first!

[THUNDER HANDS]

2. as long as there's a post limit, might as well have fun

[Barack_America]

8. Sure. There's not much to do around here anymore unless you want to bicker...

...which isn't as much fun as it used to be.

[thevoiceofreason]

3. I like how the numbers add to over 100

[Barack_America]

5. That's why I was careful not to say "%".

These are "bid" prices.

;)

[thevoiceofreason]

7. Working the spread -- what are the ask prices?

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

9. I think it's a ratio, like racing odds.

51:33:16

[Barack_America]

11. That's how I understand it....

Or rather don't understand it. ;)

[Barack_America]

10. Almost identical. Different by an average of 0.1. n/t

[Bicoastal]

4. Is this higher than HRC's ever was? nt

[Barack_America]

6. For President, yes.

From the graph on intrade it looks like she maxed just below 50.

http://www.intrade.com/partners.jsp?ZID=4775&AID=1&CID=2&page=trade&selConID=376100

But for Dem nominee she used to be in the 80's.