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Can Obama win California & Massachusetts over McCain in the GE?

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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:44 PM
Original message
Can Obama win California & Massachusetts over McCain in the GE?
Edited on Thu Feb-14-08 01:49 PM by sloppyjoe25s
hmmm... i think i MIGHT know the answer but here is a "poor mans poll" anyway...(I'm not a donor so I can't post a "fancy DU poll" - so simple answers will do)


==> Can Obama win California & Massachusetts over McCain in the GE?

(and let's throw in New York another BSTC - "Big State That Counts" just for fun...)


...and what does this say about who is the stronger Candidate if Obama can also carry red & purple states?

Please K&R

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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:45 PM
Response to Original message
1. Absolutely, which is why Hill's argument about her wins is disingenuous, like her whole campaign.
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. hmmmm..... so since Electoral votes count
are you trying to imply that Winning in Swing States is important? Golly Gee! ;)
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Indeed! Hillary can't win all the states Kerry did, muchless swing states.
The fact that Hillary supporters cannot see this or will not admit it proves they simply put their loyalty to Hillary above logic, reason, and the party's chances for victory.

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Hepburn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:45 PM
Response to Original message
2. As to Calif...
...abso-fucking-lutely can Obama take this state!

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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
3. obama will have grave difficulty in massachusetts
Edited on Thu Feb-14-08 01:46 PM by nomorewhopper
from what i gather a lot of clinton supporters are going to stay home during the election



ooh i forgot to add: SARCASM :D
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
4. Of course he can (and will) win CA, NY and MA.
I doubt think you can have an intellectually honesty doubt about that, especially in Mass and NY. California's not as blue as everyone makes it out to be, but I can't imagine it going for McCain either.
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Marrah_G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
5. Any Dem can beat any Rep in the GE in Mass. n/t
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I'm glad some people see the point
that her victories in California, Massachusets, and New York - are pretty meaningless in terms of the GE.

It's a shame that any state Obama wins "Doesn't Matter" - and that he's polling 16 points better than her agains McCain in NV and CO
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BlueManDude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Reagan won MA twice and McCain is popular here and all over the NE.
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rox63 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Obama will win MA as the nominee
And I will stake my 40+ years as a proud Masshole on that. :)
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BlueManDude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #12
33. I agree but he would likely beat HRC here in MA and in NH and ME
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Marrah_G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. This is a different time the Reagan. n/t
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boston bean Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
15. U R wrong we have had a repub gov for over 16 years until last election.
MCCain will have a huge amt of support in MA.
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Marrah_G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:07 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. A moderate republican Gov is different- The legislature controls things here
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boston bean Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:17 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. Do you think i'm stupid or something. McCain is going to have great support here.
It will not be a cake walk.
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Marrah_G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #20
28. not sure why you are responding in that tone.
I never said anything about you or your intelligence. I simply have a different opinion about how the people here feel.

In my opinion any Dem could beat any Rep in the Presidential GE this year.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
9. If he doesn't that means he would already by losing by 20+ nationally.
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
10. He sure can if all the democrats work together...
But, if in your scenerio, Clinton supporters refuse to lift a finger for Obama, then he is doomed...
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. But realistically - is he more likely to win CA, MA, NY
Thank she is to win red and purple states in the General?

To me it's obvious - based on how much stronger he polls with Independents in states like NV, CO, NM, OH against McCain than she does.

It seems to prove he has a much better chance in the General.
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
14. They say there's no such thing as a stupid question.
Huh.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
17. I think there is an excellent chance of Obama taking Arizona over McCain in November
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. He has a great shot in NM, CO, and NV also
I'm not saying he can carry TX in the general - that is a long shot.

but alot of these SW states where red - Obama has made them purple to blueish.
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:32 PM
Response to Reply #19
24. I really think Louisiana's in play.
Gore almost won it in 2000, I think Obama can pull it off.
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taught_me_patience Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
21. Obama will win California
pretty easily. I don't think McCain would even seriously campaign here. (if he did, he wouldn't be welcomed)
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #21
31. EVERYONE campaigns in California....
It's the first station on the line for the GRAVY TRAIN. :eyes:
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:26 PM
Response to Original message
22. Some of you act like McCain is some great Candidate
This guy is a warmonger and has a long history of dirt. Stop with the nonsense that he's going to take a Blue States
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Moh96 Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
23. Can you think of the last time California went for republicans?
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #23
27. 1988--the first George Bush and even then it was razor thin.
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ihelpu2see Donating Member (935 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
25. Easily, he has had twice the number of votes than both McCain and Huck
combined sometimes.


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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
26. you honestly think Obama isn't going to win MA, NY and CA?
just becuz Hillary won those in a dem primary doesn't mean that such blue states will vote for McCain in a general election.
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BigDDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
29. Only if he can get Maria Shriver,
Ted K and John K on board
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. Good one.
:D
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
30. Is this a rhetorical question?
:shrug:

:D
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-14-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
34. Certainly.
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