Latest GALLUP US OBAMA+5, Pollster OHIO,TEXAS, US

[grantcart]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/104473/Gallup-Daily-Tracking-Election-2008.aspx
http://www.pollster.com/08-US-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

[grantcart]

1. kick

[anigbrowl]

2. Those Pollster graphs are excellent

(I'm a big stats junkie). I'm surprised looking at the Texas one...looks like the 'uppercut' is kicking in already.

[grantcart]

3. yup seems to be a trend

I think that the big surprise in Texas is going to be the young Hispanics going for Obama. george lopez and other hip guys are going Obama big

[underpants]

10. Yeah they are. Obama only needs to get at least 40% in OH and TX

at least to , from what I have read, completely cut Hillary out of any chance of outright winning the delegates but, again, she is just trying to get close enough to get to the convention and let the insiders pick her out of the two of them.

[grantcart]

4. going to bed kick

[Usrename]

5. kick

There is a mathematical inevitability when all the undecideds are gone. Once that happens, every percentage point increase in one candidate will result in a corresponding decrease in the other candidate.

This tipping point has been reached. If, for example, Obama picks up ten points in Texas over the next two weeks, Clinton has to lose almost that same amount, making it a twenty point spread. And it looks like he does have enough momentum to pull that off. It looks grim to me for the Clinton campaign.

[thereismore]

6. The short-term trend in OH is a sharp spike for BO. nt

[K Gardner]

7. Oopsie. And he still has two weeks to campaign ! Didn't Bill say if she didn't win BOTH OH and TX,

she was done? Yeah, that's what he said.

I think she'd done now, but what do I know? We'll just have to wait, I guess.

[nomorewhopper]

8. ive found the pollster method to be very reliable

they take into account all the polls available and they average them out. the "trend" line does not merely connect the "dots" it takes into account all polls.

clinton is going to lose texas

she may lose ohio. last poll was like +5 clinton, and barack had made huge inroads into her base.

i think that too many democrats at that point want to end the war, and they will vote for barack the presumptive nominee.

[grantcart]

12. yes the broader the sampling the more reliable it will be

[hogwyld]

14. what I wouldn't give to be a fly on the wall

within the Clinton campaign when these polls came out.

[Colobo]

9. Obama will catch Clinton in Texas and close the gap in OH.

[workinclasszero]

11. Goodbye Hillary, You are done. nt

[grantcart]

13. update

[Armstead]

15. I'm confused -- There's another latest pool thread that shows Clinton up

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4697666&mesg_id=4697666

[grantcart]

16. Shows you how it can change -

The State graphs remain unchanged

[grantcart]

17. update

[not_too_L8]

18. Rasmussen agrees

Rasmussen Daily tracking now has Obama at 46% and Clinton at41%

Rasmussen Markets Show 18.0% Chance of Clinton as Democratic Nominee.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/ele...