Breaking: New SurveyUSA Texas Poll - Obama: 49, Hillary 45

[NJSecularist]

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/02/25/texas-obama-49-clinton-45/

[Drunken Irishman]

1. I think she's toast.

[Leopolds Ghost]

74. Mmmm.... TEXAS TOAST!

[apocalypsehow]

2. Well, now it's official: Texas doesn't count.

n/t

[speedoo]

11. Yeah. Texas is too big.

My fervent wish is that Obama sweeps the rest of the primaries. Hillary deserves to have her ass kicked out of this election by the voters, since she has shown that she does not deserve to even compete in it.

[Barack_America]

17. It's also too red AND it has a caucus.

Texas, ye never stood a chance (despite your large Hispanic population).

:patriot:

[milkyway]

64. She just oozes contempt nowadays, contempt for Obama and contempt for anyone who would

even think of supporting him. Pathetic.

[Coexist]

3. wow you're fast!

I was just coming to post this.

http://cbs11tv.com/politics/obama.clinton.poll.2.662519.html

FORT WORTH (CBS 11 News) ―
In a new poll conducted for CBS 11 News and 1080 KRLD, Barack Obama has moved ahead of Hillary Clinton among Texas Democrats.

The new figures show Obama with 49% and Clinton with 45%. SurveyUSA polled 704 Texans who have already voted or said they are likely to vote. The margin of error is +/-3.8%, so the poll very nearly shows a statistical dead heat.

Still, voters in North Texas seem to be pouring into the Obama camp. Since our last poll one week ago, Obama has gained 4 points and Clinton has lost 5. Clinton held a two-point lead among locals, and Obama leads 57% to 38%.

"We were just overwhelmed by the level of support and the amount of people from Dallas that came to see him," said Debbie Mesloh, a spokesperson for the Obama campaign. "He's going to come back. Dallas is a crucial area for us and is incredibly important."


The biggest change comes with Hispanic voters. A week ago, Senator Clinton had a 30 point lead, but now that lead is down to 13 points.

[Darth_Kitten]

5. Gee, guess the kiddies can't do math.

Sad.

It's a statistical dead heat. This shows how TIGHT it is. :eyes:

[MadBadger]

10. 9 Point Obama swing in a week. The Trend is huge for Obama

[Drunken Irishman]

12. It's only tight because Clinton is losing ground.

Wisconsin was a statistical dead heat, too. But by the time Tuesday rolled around, Obama had won by 17.

The trend is clearly on Obama's side and with a week left, he'll only build on that lead.

[Jawja]

67. Well he has to get

through the mud slinging... cough, cough... DEBATE tonight and hold his own with what's coming his way.

[book_worm]

23. yes, but whose been doing all the gaining?

[tabasco]

47. First one on the thread with the name calling and you have the nerve

to call others "kiddies."

[SOS]

71. "kiddies"

Kiddie math from today's NYT:

Age 45+

December 2007:
Clinton 39%
February 2008:
Clinton 39%

+0


December 2007:
Obama 24%
February 2008:
Obama 50%

+ 26

Over 45 is your definition of "kiddies"?
This 47 year old thanks you for your compliment.

[psychopomp]

42. From HRC+30 to +13 among Hispanic voters in one week

Si Se Puede Cambiar!
:bounce: :toast: :bounce: :toast: :bounce: :toast: :bounce:

[Alhena]

46. That means they will split the Rio Grande Valley districts 2-2 ...

since Hillary needs 62.5% of the vote there to get a 3-1 delegate split. So Hillary won't gain any delegates at all in the most heavily Hispanic districts in the state, where she has spent the most time campaigning.

[MadBadger]

4. 9 Point Obama swing.

[TeamJordan23]

6. SUSA has been surprisingly reliable this campaign season. nm

[Renew Deal]

7. wow

:wow:

[Double T]

8. obama can't win without the rethug crossover primary votes........

what a way to ATTEMPT to win a primary election.

[MadBadger]

13. Can't win anywhere?

[Double T]

24. IF and I REALLY MEAN IF obama is nominated as the Democratic Presidential candidate...........

obama will experience the vast RW conspiracy ATTACK MACHINE first hand. ONLY survivors of the ATTACK MACHINE to date; THE CLINTONS.

[MadBadger]

26. Don't Evade the question. Are you saying he cannot win anywhere with a closed primary?

[Double T]

34. If caucuses were NOT the method in many states, obama wouldn't even be close to Clinton in delegates

the caucuses, plain and simple, have been manipulated by obama and his supporters.

[MadBadger]

35. Stop Evading the Question

[scheming daemons]

30. ONLY????

The Democratic congress that swept into office in 2006 disagrees with you.

[Double T]

39. Swept? So explain to me why 'do nothing' continues as business as usual.......

in Congress.

[DLnyc]

57. Because the DLC decided doing nothing would help Hillary?

Just my guess . . .

[mythyc]

40. if ifs and buts were candies and nuts

we'd all have a bowl of granola

[Double T]

43. Please pass the milk.

[alcibiades_mystery]

50. Apparently, they are NOT survivors

If they were, this would have been a Clinton blow out by now.

Try again.

[Bicoastal]

51. If by "The Clintons" you mean "Bill."

YOUR candidate is being beaten soundly by a Freshman Senator.

[DUyellow]

36. Prove it.

[JackORoses]

54. I sincerely hope Repukes cross over in droves and Hillary is utterly humiliated in her loss

She deserves it after this week.

[anonymous171]

55. Because Vermont has sooooo many rethugs. nt

[Jawja]

68. Double T

got some stats or a link to some hard facts for that analysis? :shrug:

[Azathoth]

9. Now Texas *really* doesn't count

:rofl:

[RBInMaine]

14. AWESOME. But keep working folks. Keep working every day !

Keep working folks. Keep working like hell every day. Work the phones, canvass, make donations, ANYTHING. We need to CLOSE the deal on March 4th. Hillary is now defending the Alamo, and we all knew what happened in the end there. But please, keep working.

[thevoiceofreason]

15. To all my Texan buddies out there

Let's pile on, run up the scorw (pick your analogy).

Let's crush her. She wanted to call Texas her Alamo? OK

[Thrill]

16. He has another week to work OH

[MadBadger]

22. After the debate he is going back to Texas

Hell probably swing back up to do last minute stumps in Ohio, RI, and maybe VT, though hes up big there.

[BeyondGeography]

18. They seem to like him down there

[rainbow4321]

32. He's headed to the Ft Worth Convention Center this Thursday night

So when HRC strolls into town Saturday, she oughta have alot of front page Obama pics to look at---oh, to be a fly on the wall...especially if it is anything like his Dallas rally. Might actually be bigger since it is in the evening (Dallas' was in the middle of the day).

[workinclasszero]

56. "Enough with the big rallies and speeches!!!"

:rant:


Guess Texas didn't get the memo Hillary.

You are :toast: Hillary!!!

Put a fork in this horribly divisive figure NOW!!!:party:

Texas will save the country!:patriot::applause::bounce:

[DadOf2LittleAngels]

72. How dare he have huge rallies

Shame on you Barak Obama :nopity:

[thereismore]

19. Well well well, that explains why she is holed up in OH. That is her symbolic

firewall. I wish her a narrow win in OH so she can exit gracefully.

[Cha]

45. It looks like they're

declaring Rhode Island to be the State that determines who the Dem nom is.

"grantcart (1000+ posts) Mon Feb-25-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
15. Sitting on a large lead in RI HRC campaign release this press release
BREAKING NEWS PRESS RELEASE FROM CLINTON CAMPAIGN


Rhode Island Officially known as State of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations is the state that is most equipped to decide who should be our next president for the following reasons:

-Rhode Island was the first of the thirteen original American colonies to declare independence from British rule

-Rhode Island is one of the most reliably Democratic states during presidential elections, regularly giving the Democratic nominees one of their best showings. In 1980, Rhode Island was one of only 6 states to vote against Ronald Reagan

-In the 1984 Reagan landslide, Rhode Island provided Walter Mondale with his 3rd best performance

- Rhode Island was the Democrats' best state in 1988 and 2000 and 2nd best in 1996 and 2004

-Rhode Island gave John Kerry a greater than 20 percentage point margin of victory (the third highest of any state) with 59.4% of its vote

-All but three of Rhode Island's 39 cities and towns voted for the Democratic candidate

-The Fox show Family Guy takes place in a fictional town in Rhode Island named Quahog

-The nautical nature of Rhode Island's geography pervades its culture. Newport Harbor, in particular, holds many pleasure boats

-A now defunct professional football team, the Providence Steam Roller won the 1928 NFL title

-Fort Adams, on Narragansett Bay, was the setting for the finish of Eco-Challenge 1995.

-State motto- Hope

If Sen. Obama is not able to win in this one of the most Deomocratic States of the Union which is famous for its cultural, athletic, ecological leadership then he should do the party and the country a favor and quit the race.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4771676#4771797

But, wait! The State Motto of Rhode Island is ta da..HOPE!

[thereismore]

69. OMG this has got to be a joke, no? No disrespect to Rhode Islanders, but

this moving goalpost thing is bloody awful.

[Cha]

70. Not from the Onion..only

hilaryland. They dissed hope in a State where Hope is their state motto.

[loveangelc]

20. MAKE ME PROUD TO BE A TEXAN TEXAS :')

[thesubstanceofdreams]

21. Clinton's mathematical chances are evaporating as we speak

I hope she will come to realize this soon and stop the negativity.
As I said before, if the negativity was working, I would understand it politically. But these polls show it is backfiring.
Texas, you don't count anymore :hug:

[NJSecularist]

25. Fuck. The site is so slow. I can't even get the crosstabs.

[MadBadger]

27. I know, people must have been expecting the poll for awhile tonight.

[DUyellow]

33. yeah, everybody knew this was coming out tonight, but i am waiting for Ohio

[MadBadger]

37. I think it is important to wait until after the OH debate for that.

[bluestateguy]

28. Hook em' Horns!!!

Though I hope you Aggies will send some votes his way too.

[SoxFan]

49. Wooo Pig Sooie!

Oh...wait a minute. Sorry about that.

Gig 'em, Aggies!

Guns Up!

Sic em, Bears!

[thevoiceofreason]

29. Quote from Richard Murray, political analyst in Houston

"The election is slipping away from her."

[Drunken Irishman]

41. It's more than slipping away, it's all the way in China by now.

[mythyc]

31. that's the poll we've been waiting for... thanks for posting it

Awesome! go Barack!

[book_worm]

38. By Monday the only state that will matter is Rhode Island.

[mythyc]

44. trip out, you read my mind....

spoooooooky.... didn't jung call that synchronisity, or was that the police? B-)

[NeedleCast]

48. The End is Near

Wow, nine point shift in a week if that's accurate. I'm really looking forward to the TX/OH primaries. If Obama wins one of them I think I'll be ready to declare it over.

[NJSecularist]

52. The Crosstabs finally work!!!

Whites -(47% of the electorate)
Clinton: 56
Obama: 39

Blacks - (21% of the electorate)
Obama - 85
Hillary - 13

Hispanics - 28% of the electorate
Hillary: 52
Obama: 39

What's interesting is that this latest poll shows that Hillary's white lead has gotten larger. Their previous poll showed Hillary with a 53-41 white lead.

[JackORoses]

53. yeeehaaaawww! Obama pities the fool who messes with Texas!

[kennetha]

58. Clinton leads 51-46 among those who have already voted

That's encouraging. If we can keep that up. We can have a pretty strong lead going into election night! At this point, I don't think it matters how much Clinton wins Texas by, as long as she wins. If she wins Ohio by 10 points, takes RI and wins Texas by 4-5 points, it will be a big night for Clinton. It will put her in a position to press FL and MI. And with that, she gets ever so close in the delegate count.

[Aviation Pro]

59. New poll numbers....

...Obama 100¹⁰%. Clinton 10^-1000%. STDEV a google. What a bunch of bullshit.

[NJSecularist]

60. I guess Obama is just giving up on South and West Texas?

He doesn't have any events scheduled there, unless you consider San Antonio in South Texas...which I don't. San Antonio is Central Texas.

[thevoiceofreason]

61. Let's here what Willie Nelson, Texas icon, might say:

"Gee, ain't it funny, how time slips away?!"

[milkyway]

62. Ssshhh...don't tell the Hillary supporters. They're cracking up as fast as their candidate. I'm

worried about them.

[milkyway]

63. Meet me in Puerto Rico!

[Robbins]

65. Survey USA

If they have Obama ahead In Texas I am inclined to believe this.With the exception of Missouri they have been dead on.This Is In line with CNN's poll.Obama Is In good shape here and In Vermont.

[ORDem]

66. KICK

:kick:

[BigDaddy44]

73. Pennsylvania........ PENSYLVANIA is the real firewall......

n/t