IF Hillary wins TX and OH with at least 65% in both states, she IS back in the game.

[jenmito]

Let me know when ANY poll shows anything NEAR those numbers. Thanks! :hi:

[mckara]

1. Good Luck!

n/t

[jenmito]

3. You mean with seeing any polls reflecting those numbers?

:)

[Cant trust em]

2. at this point the only poll that matters comes on Tuesday. nt

[jenmito]

5. True. And I don't see it happening that way. n/t

[Cant trust em]

8. I can't wait for Tuesday to be over

So much anxiety I have will have lifted after that day. On the other hand, that's how I felt before Super Tuesday.

Also there's a big soccer game that day for my favorite team. It's going to be another tension filled day at the office.

[jenmito]

12. Same here...

minus the soccer game. :)

[ruggerson]

Nice to know you set the expectations for the country

:hi:

[jenmito]

I didn't make up those expectations. I got them from nearly every person who studies these things

on tv. :hi:

[Baconfoot]

4. Yes but even as an Edwards turned Hillary supporter (world's only), I doubt that will happen. NT

[jenmito]

15. As a Clark turned Obama supporter, I agree. n/t`

[rug]

6. Moving the goalposts?

[jenmito]

9. Yes, Hillary is moving the goalposts. But the numbers say she has to win with at least 65% in both

states.

[rug]

11. Or what? Obama cannot get a majority by the convention.

[jenmito]

13. Doesn't matter. The superdelegates will follow the will of the people. n/t

[rug]

14. So they will vote for the candidate who hasn't won a majority?

:shrug:

[jenmito]

16. He WILL have won a majority of delegates and the popular vote!

[earthlover]

37. So what? Hillary can't even catch up to obama's popular vote or pledged delegates!

[NYdemocrat089]

7. That's a big IF.

I'm a Hillary supporter, but I have my doubts over Hillary achieving 65% of the vote in both states.

I do wish her good luck though!

[jenmito]

17. I know...

that's why I put it in caps. :D

[madfloridian]

10. It is in the courts' hands again.

http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/1864

[jenmito]

18. Nah. I wouldn't worry about that. n/t

[bigbrother05]

19. I love DU your Headline made me laugh outloud

:hi:

[jenmito]

21. Thanks, bigbrother...

I aim to please. :hi:

[mkultra]

20. the numbers ive show she needs to win by only 57% in both places to remain viable

eom

[jenmito]

23. Where'd you see those numbers?

[mckeown1128]

28. 58% if you want to get techinical...

and that is the percentage IF she wins EVERY single state from here on out. There are some states like Vermont, Mississippi, Wyoming, Oregon, and so on that Obama will probably win. So she needs around a 65% in both Texas and Ohio... and not just in the vote.... 65% of the delegates... which makes it really, really difficult.

[jenmito]

31. Thanks for that. So if things go as expected, she DOES need at LEAST 65% in OH & TX.

:hi: Thanks for the explanation.

[IDemo]

29. IF I recall correctly, the 56-7 percent figure was what she would require in every remaining state

including the states where Obama has a commanding lead.

[jenmito]

32. Yup. Mckeown explained that in his/her post above. n/t

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

22. Maybe they'll find a photo of Obama on Gary Hart's lap

that'[s the only thing she can hope for at this point

[jenmito]

24. I'm not sure THAT would even work at this point!

But ya never know. :D

[Guy Whitey Corngood]

55. Don't forget he'd have to be wearing a Che Guevara t-shirt. n/t

[adoraz]

25. I think you are right because she needs to win 15% of the remaining delegates

and in some places like North Carolina and Mississippi coming up, Obama will win.

Obama is favored in about half the contests remaining AND Hillary needs to WIN most, if not all by decent margins.

Oh, and as we all know there is no way in hell that Hillary will win by double digits in both Texas and Ohio, and especially not by 30%.

Best case scenario for Hillary on Tuesday:

Ohio +8, Texas +4. Even if this happens though, I still think Obama will nearly break even with the delegates b/c of the rules in Texas.

[jenmito]

26. Exactly...

Good analysis. :hi:

[adoraz]

27. thanks :)

things are looking great for Obama

[jenmito]

30. You're welcome...

I agree. And welcome to the DU! :hi:

[Johnny__Motown]

33. 65% of the available delegates, not 65% of the vote,., she has no chance

[jenmito]

34. True, which makes it more like 70%.

Not gonna happen. :D

[FogerRox]

40. It was over feb 4th, super tuesday.

[DUyellow]

57. agree

[Major Hogwash]

35. She'll stay in the race even after she loses 13 primaries/caucuses in a row.

She may drop out of the race after she loses Wyoming however.
They didn't even bother opening an office in Wyoming.

Obama has 5 offices covering the state.

[jenmito]

36. I think she'll win OH. When is Wyoming's primary or caucus?

[Major Hogwash]

41. Saturday, the 8th.

The cowboys are ready!

[AtomicKitten]

38. Well she's at about 45% now in Texas, so a surge must be forthcoming ....

[jenmito]

59. I agree 100%...

:hi: :D

[workinclasszero]

39. I loled!

Yeah like thats gonna happen!:rofl:

[jenmito]

58. Good...

that's what I was going for. I doubt it's gonna happen, too. :D

[Hillary_Hillary]

42. Not true. She's back in the game if she wins by 0.5%. A win is a win.

[DesEtoiles]

45. no - it's not "winner take all" re delegates. A tie maintains Obama's delegate lead.

[donheld]

46. That's Hillary_Shillary you're talking to

[Hillary_Hillary]

47. I know this. He can't without superdelegates.

[DesEtoiles]

48. So the superdelegates should over-rule the vote of the people? Is that what HIllary wants?

[DesEtoiles]

49. Does Hillary have any superdelegates left? They're all switching to Obama, so I hear.

[DesEtoiles]

50. Back in the game after losing 11 in a row. If Obama lost 11 in a row...

[Eurobabe]

43. Haha, not gonna happen.

Thanks for the laugh Jen!

[jenmito]

61. I agree...

You're welcome! :hi: :D

[DesEtoiles]

44. Hillary does not deserve to be the nominee.

[jenmito]

62. I agree. She has already proven she plays dirty, makes gaffes during debates, can't run

a campaign, has inconsistent behavior, and at this point is helping the Repubs., giving them talking points to attack Obama.

[Laelth]

51. Rhode Island is the new firewall.

Didn't you get the memo?

:rofl:

-Laelth

[jenmito]

63. Oh. I thought it was Puerto Rico.

:rofl:

[Fly by night]

52. IF Hillary had ham, she COULD have ham and eggs, IF she had eggs.

Turn out the lights -- the breakfast bar is closed.

[jenmito]

64. Happily,

I agree with you. :hi:

[bigbrother05]

53. Makes me laugh everytime I see the Headline

[jenmito]

65. I'm glad I could make you laugh!

:hi:

[burythehatchet]

54. Question: If she wins 100% of the vote, will she be able to secure the nomination.

Anything is possible

[jenmito]

66. Yes. Anything IS possible. But VERY improbable. n/t

[milkyway]

56. I concede the point. If she wins Texas and Ohio by 30 points each, she is back in the game.

[jenmito]

67. Thank you.

:D

[BigDaddy44]

60. If I was 7 feet tall I'd be in the NBA

[jenmito]

68. Not necessarily!

:D