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KHOU TX tracking poll, early voting is Obama 63, Clinton 37 race is O 46, C 45

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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:02 PM
Original message
KHOU TX tracking poll, early voting is Obama 63, Clinton 37 race is O 46, C 45
Edited on Thu Feb-28-08 11:04 PM by jezebel
http://www.khou.com/topstories/stories/khou080228_tj_poll.87c34a6.html
If the Obama campaign is looking for a signal that things are going their way, here is a strong signal: On our first two nights of polling, half the voters who cast ballots early told us they voted for Clinton, and half for Obama.

On the third night, our cumulative total shifted Obama’s way, 53 to 47 percent.

On the fourth night, things shifted so much that our exclusive 11 News Belo Texas poll now shows the early vote is running 63 to 37 percent, in Obama’s favor.



Our pollster, David Iannelli of Austin-based Public Strategies, Inc., warns that one cannot use this data as an “exit poll,” or a hard-and-fast indication of what the early vote total will eventually look like. “It’s a small number of people” in the overall sample, he said, “but it gives us an indication of what we've seen in other states for Barack Obama, and that is his ability to mobilize his voters.”
INTERNALS: http://www.khou.com/elections/poll/belopoll228.pdf

In our tracking poll, Clinton and Obama remain locked in a statistical tie for the March 4 primary. Results released Thursday night indicate Obama has the support of 46 percent of likely Democratic voters, and Clinton has 45. The margin of error in our poll is plus or minus 3.6 percent.

In addition, Obama is strengthening his already formidable support among African Americans. Since we began reporting poll totals on Tuesday, Obama’s support among African Americans has increased 7 points, and Clinton’s has decreased by 5 points.


Clinton’s support among Hispanics remains unchanged from our first night of reporting, holding at 61 percent. Obama’s support among Hispanics has increased slightly, from 29 percent to 32 percent, but this is within the margin of error.

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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. WOW.... but I doubt the lead is really that big
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:05 PM
Response to Original message
2. It's those young, urban types, no doubt
Damned kids who can't remember the 90's.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. actually what bill said was that the urban population was younger
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. bwahaah
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. tks
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Az_lefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:07 PM
Response to Original message
6. yup, it's the kid's allright. Gurss they need a tour in Iraq to teach them a lesson
:sarcasm:
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workinclasszero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:08 PM
Response to Original message
7. Wow! Go you "young urban types"!!!!! (nt)
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
8. Obama is doing really well in the Big Cities.
I think he wins TX by 7. Looks like he's getting the undecided vote to go for him.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. We know we have our
marine from DU voting for Obama in Dallas who said he has 110 marines out volunteering.

I won't be at ease until this is over.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. The Cross tabs show him dominating in Dallas, Austin, and San Antonio.
Hes up 11 in Houston, and the rest of the state is Hillaryland.
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. Is that good or bad for Obama? n/t
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. I cant see it as a bad thing. Plus with the delegate rules, I think him dominating in cities helps.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
9. Get thee behind me, polls!
UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:27 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. How many times do you think you've posted this both in your DU life?
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Once a day
to keep the evil poll spirits away.

:headbang:
rocknation
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
14. the Texas Obama Tsunami looms
it's coming, and Team Hillary knows it
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workinclasszero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-28-08 11:51 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. Incoming camp Hillary!!
Your doom approaches!:scared:


:bounce:GO TEXAS! GOBAMA!!:bounce:
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-29-08 01:03 AM
Response to Original message
18. *tries not to get hopes up*
*tries not to get hopes up*
*tries not to get hopes up*
*tries not to get hopes up*

... Too late. My hopes are up. :)
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BringBigDogBack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-29-08 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. hahah
me too. ;)
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catagory5 Donating Member (321 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-29-08 02:52 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. Yeah where was the polling done?
was the polling done in south Tx or was it done in Dallas and houston?

These are sooo unpredictable

63-37% ha
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catagory5 Donating Member (321 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-29-08 02:55 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. how fucking misleading!!!!
On the third night, our cumulative total shifted Obama’s way, 53 to 47 percent. ON THE FOURTH NIGHT.
So how is it in your title you say O leads c 63 to 37?
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KLee Donating Member (277 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-29-08 03:07 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. Did you read the report? n/t
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