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If Hillary wins on tuesday, it will be the first day she has won more delegates than Obama

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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:33 PM
Original message
If Hillary wins on tuesday, it will be the first day she has won more delegates than Obama
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 10:35 PM by dmesg
Since Iowa, Clinton has never won more delegates in a given day than Obama. She has never led Obama in pledged delegates at any point in the race. There has not been a single day in this primary season in which Clinton was closer to beating Obama than the day before. The only day where he did not actually gain on her was January 9th in New Hampshire, where she held his lead constant.

Furthermore, except for February 10th and 19th (small contests), the amount by which Obama's lead has increased has itself increased on every primary day.

If the allegedly anti-Clinton media were actually anti-Clinton, they would have been asking her for a while now how long she intends to stay in.

I re-iterate:

At no point in this race has Clinton had more delegates than Obama
On no day has she won more delegates than Obama
Her strongest victory, NH, managed to keep his lead constant, and that is the only day this entire season she has managed even that.

This is why, in my opinion, she will suspend her candidacy this week, after Obama once again increases his delegate lead on Tuesday.

Jan 3rd (IA):
Obama: 16 won, 16 total
Clinton: 15 won, 15 total
Lead: Obama +1

Jan 8 (NH):
Obama: 9 won, 25 total
Clinton: 9 won, 24 total
Lead: Obama +1
Change in lead: 0

Jan 19 (NV):
Obama: 13 won, 38 total
Clinton: 12 won, 36 total
Lead: Obama +2
Change in lead: Obama +1

Jan 26 (SC):
Obama: 25 won, 53 total
Clinton: 12 won, 48 total
Lead: Obama +5
Change in lead: Obama +3

Feb 5 (Tuesday of Destiny):
Obama: 827 won, 880 total
Clinton: 804 won, 852 total
Lead: Obama +28
Change in lead: Obama +23

Feb 9 (LA, NE, WA, VI):
Obama: 78 won, 958 total
Clinton: 42 won, 894 total
Lead: Obama +64
Change in lead: Obama +36

Feb 10 (ME):
Obama: 15 won, 973 total
Clinton: 9 won, 903 total
Lead: Obama +70
Change in lead: Obama +6

Feb 12 (DC, MD, VA, Abroad):
Obama: 101 won, 1074 total
Clinton: 51, 954 total
Lead: Obama +120
Change in lead: Obama +50

Feb 19 (HI, WI):
Obama: 56 won, 1123 total
Clinton: 41 won, 995 total
Lead: Obama +128
Change in lead: Obama +8
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. None of those wins count. n/t
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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Sorry, I forgot...
...obviously we have to stick with our oh-so-successful "20 states" strategy
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama will win more delegates on Tuesday, too. You can bet on it.
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. he will get more out of texas
ohio is a toss up
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dansolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Yes he will, even if Hillary wins OH and RI
Obama will do much better in the places that award more delegates, like VT and the areas in Texas that were awarded more delegates because of previous election participation. He will also probably win the TX caucuses. So Hillary may net a few delegates in OH and RI, but she could lose big in the delegate count in VT and TX.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. I have been thinking the same thing, he seems to know where and how to mine delegates
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. Mr. Consistent
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JimGinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 10:58 PM
Response to Original message
7. Those Delegate Leads Are Sexist





:rofl:
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