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I thought Obama was against the Super Delegates deciding the race?

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:10 AM
Original message
I thought Obama was against the Super Delegates deciding the race?
I sure as heck remember "shrill" claims that it shouldn't happen.
Now it seems the roles are reversed. Since some Obama supporters fear Hillary has regained her momentum and may eventually reclaim the pledged delegate lead they have no problem with
the SDs turning to Obama.

"Yes! That would help brunt the blow from Hillary wins in Texas and Ohio tonight, if they happen.
Hopefully he announces them tonight."

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4876292

Wny am I not surprised.
Seems there is a double standard and St. Obama can do no wrong.

With Hillary & Obama's roles reversed, Obama supporters reverse their opinions.

Typical Obama.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:13 AM
Response to Original message
1. Duh... the super delegates will decide the race
Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 11:17 AM by featherman
because neither candidate can win a plurality with pledged delegates alone. This is math. The first candidate to 2025 votes will need to combine the PD's plus SD's to arrive at a majority for the nomination.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:15 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. That is clear. But Obama and his surrogates' positions have not been consistent.
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susankh4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:18 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. They never were consistant
from the moment that the superdels were supposed to vote according to their constituants.

Except for Ted Kennedy and John Kerry that is.

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Florida22ndDistrict Donating Member (255 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #1
33. Re: Duh... the super delegates will decide the race
Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 11:40 AM by Florida22ndDistrict
If either of the two were a strong candidate then they could have won by pledged delegates alone. At the start they only needed to achieve 62% of the electorate, which can happen if a strong candidate pulls ahead early and holds his ground long enough to knock the others out. Now Obama needs 83% and Clinton needs 98%. Both have failed to unite the party with decisive wins, so it drags on until the convention or until the party officials crown a candidate.
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Asia Expat Donating Member (116 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #1
37. majority not plurality
Plurality is when there are more than 2.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 01:46 PM
Response to Reply #37
41. You are correct. I misspoke. Majority
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SoFlaJet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:14 AM
Response to Original message
2. is your mission in life
to start shit EVERY day? jeez give it a rest once in a while-your flaming isn't changing any minds today-let's all pretend we're democrats-united against the GOP until the results come in
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:15 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Just an observation. Not sure why the vile hate is directed at me.
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SoFlaJet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:25 AM
Response to Reply #6
15. Saint Obama?
come on dude give it a fucking rest will you-don't play the innocent victim
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #15
20. People think he's a miracle worker who can do no wrong..... is it really a stretch?
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SoFlaJet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:34 AM
Response to Reply #20
23. yes it is
and cut the shit-it's primary day we're supposed to be civil with each other on primary days-you know humble and democrats all
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dionysus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #6
42. what a crock of shit...
oh innocent lil ol' me....
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 02:16 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. That's not what I said. I just think that you Obamabrats are lashing out
today because y'all can feel the stinging loss coming.
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jaxx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:15 AM
Response to Original message
3. LOL spin at DU.
I've seen it all now.
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GodlessBiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:15 AM
Response to Original message
5. More evidence that he, unlike Clinton, has planned for and is planning for many contingencies.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:16 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. If he planned for it, he would have had a consistent message - so I think
he is just making shit up as he goes trying to get the rules on his side.
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GodlessBiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:19 AM
Response to Reply #7
13. His message is Plan A, but he must be prepared for losing the issue and having the race
decided by super-delegates (Plan B).

Clinton planned to win decisively on Super Tuesday (Plan A), and she had no Plan B.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #13
17. Why is Obama against the SDs deciding for HIllary, but if they go for him
it is good? That is not consistent.
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msongs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
8. superdelegates switch to clinton = bad, switch to obama = hallelujah nt
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
9. That's not exactly the issue.
He is merely saying they should follow the pledged delegates and he will try to get superdelegates because they will decide the fate of the election because that is the system dealt.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:29 AM
Response to Reply #9
18. Actually, it is the issue. He wants to quell HIllary's pledged shift and popular
vote momentum by using SDs to shut her out.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #18
32. A shift that really hasn't occured in great numbers
to indicate she can beat the numbers. The superdelegates are waiting to see when it becomes mathematically impossible (in either direction) on the pledged delegate side. It can still go to the convention with a mathematical problem on the pledged side for a candidate and that candidate try to make the shift of superdelegates away from the pledged delegates.
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pampango Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:46 AM
Response to Reply #18
35. What "pledged shift" and "popular vote momentum"? If Hillary ends up
with the most pledged delegates, she should get the nomination (though we all know that the sd's can do whatever they want,as supporters of both candidates have pointed out at different points in this campaign).

Obama and his supporters should not seek to have sd's overrule that pledged delegate lead. The same applies if Obama ends up with the most pledged delegates.
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insanity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
11. He won't loose the popular vote total
And won't loose the super delegate total.

That's called insurance.

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:30 AM
Response to Reply #11
19. It sure looks like he WILL lose at least the popular vote....all the models I have seen
show Hillary winning with 2 million plus votes if all states vote.
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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
12. are distortions really the best you have?
How sad for you and your candidate.
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:20 AM
Response to Original message
14. Obama will KEEP the lead in Pledged Delegates and NOW...
It looks like he will take the lead in Superdelegates soon.

And that was Obama's point all along. The leader in pledged delegates should get the majority of superdelegates.

I'm happy to see it all working out.
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
16. He leads in the pledged delegate category
And let me tell you one thing *I am sure you know it too* , the candidate with the more pledged delegates will win this election. Right now that candidate is Obama and that is why the superdelegates are backing him.
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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:31 AM
Response to Original message
21. Superdelegates will go with the will of the people: pledged delegates.
Obama has always said this. After tonight, we will find out that it will be virtually impossible for Hillary to catch up in Pledged Delegates.

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:33 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. No, he has waffled on his view for SDs several times - depending on what benefited him.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
24. How is Hillary ahead in Super Delegates??
And Obama is leading in every other vote? This is Hillary's secret weapon as soon as she can prove she is a viable candidate.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:35 AM
Response to Original message
25. Happy Election day jlake!
:hi:
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #25
28. You too Wlucinda!
:hi: :party: :party: :party: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:35 AM
Response to Original message
26. shes losing them because they see her obvious cheap and ugly tactics
shes shooting herself in the foot
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:36 AM
Response to Reply #26
27. More cat shit from you. And Hillary is not a traitor for stating a fact.
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JimGinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:39 AM
Response to Original message
29. He Leads In Both Pledged Delegates & Votes
Her intention was to use super deletes to negate them. Oops... not gonna happen.
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mcctatas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:39 AM
Response to Original message
30. Apparently you have only a passing acquaintance with reality...
first of all, Clinton would have to win HUGE in all remaining primaries to regain the lead. Also, NEITHER one of them can win without super delegates because the remaining pledged delegates will not be enough to put them over the top. I finally realized that I like Hillary Clinton, wouldn't be sad if she were the nominee, but her supporters need a cookie and a nap!

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/8/151423/7565/753/452823

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/29/clinton-campaign-obama-needs-to-sweep-march-4/
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HeraldSquare212 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:40 AM
Response to Original message
31. Deciding it contrary to the outcome of the voting was always the issue.
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:45 AM
Response to Original message
34. I don't think anyone's saying Hillary will retake the lead in pledged delegates...
in fact, I think it's ridiculous to even try to claim that.

Hell, in this entire primary, Hillary has led in pledged delegates for less than a week (from the 2/5 elections to the 2/9 elections, when Obama retook the lead).

At this point, the idea that Sen. Clinton can retake a lead in pledged delegates is tantamount to a pipe dream.

As for the superdelegates, I continue to say what I've been saying all along -- the majority of them will wind up voting for the candidate with the most pledged delegates and the popular vote, and that person will be Barack Obama. As for how they SHOULD vote, which seems to be the argument you're making, I think that, clearly, the system is set up so that the superdelegates can vote for whomever they please. What they should or should not do isn't up to you, me or anyone else but the SDs themselves.
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:47 AM
Response to Original message
36. HRC "may eventually reclaim the pledged delegate lead" ??? -- what Obama supporter suggests this???
First of all, HRC cannot REclaim the PLEDGED delegate lead because she never had it in the first place (as is said about HRC praising McCain and valuing his experience over Obama's -- this is a FACT not a spin).

Second, for HRC to gain a lead in the pledged delegates (assuming the DNC sticks by its rules on MI and FL) she would have to win super big, and after today, she would have to win EVEN BIGGER, assuming (as is less than likely but highly possible) she manages to squeak out wins in BOTH Ohio and TX. I don't know of a single Obama supporter or purported supporter, famous or otherwise, who suggests that there is a serious chance of HRC gaining a lead in pledged delegates by the end of the primary season. NONE. And those pundits who are not committed to either HRC or Obama, and PLENTY of HONEST HRC supporters also candidly admit that it is possible like the world being destroyed by an asteroid before this Nov's election. Possible -- but I wouldn't bet on it, even if (as there is at InTrade) you are offered MUCH better than even odds!


Now, there is a SLIGHTLY less remote chance that she could end up with a popular and/or delegate lead IF both MI and FL get seated, but even then, the chances are slim, and in any case she will need a commanding lead of SDs to win the nomination anyway.

TRUTH -- Obama is all but certain to end up with BOTH the most raw votes (including both primaries and caucuses, obviously favoring primaries) AND the most pledged delegates, come June 1, not counting MI and FL. The question is, WILL HE HAVE THE KIND OF COMMANDING LEAD that would virtually preclude the kind of shinanegans that WOULD BE REQUIRED for the Dems to deny him the nomination (which would in turn almost insure McCain's election on top of everything else, NO MATTER HOW GRACIOUSLY OBAMA WERE TO GO ALONG WITH THIS >>>>>

These are the raw facts, and there's nothing wrong with Obama, being bound by the rules of this contest, seeking support from SDs along with HRC's IMMENSE efforts, as long as the Obama campaign approaches the issue in an honest and fair manner, which to my knowledge has not even been seriously challenged by any non-troll (or to my knowledge, by any troll).

I don't buy the notion that black superdelegates are feeling 'pressure' to be unfair or dishonest (depending on the kind of pressure) as that is INEVITABLE given the social dynamics in a situation such as this, for those of us living here on planet earth -- you know, the one threatened with "global warming" and facing a VERY good chance of electing yet ANOTHER Repug with an environmental record unworthy of a mayor of Hackensack.....
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #36
38. Depending on your count, she may have had the pledged delegate lead by about 7 delegates...
for about four days (2/5-2/9).
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
39. One problem with the BS your spewing...
Clinton can not catch up in PD's... it will never happen. She has to win 64%+ of all the remaining PD's. I ask you, how can she possibly catch up in PD's? You won't answer that question... because you can't...because she can't.. I am going to love the day when the mathematical possibility sets in to you.
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mcctatas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #39
40. shhhhh...
it can be dangerous to impose reality on someone who is in the middle of a delusion...
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amborin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
44. not if Obama can buy them off, or browbeat them into his camp
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 02:22 PM
Response to Reply #44
45. yeah - apparently.
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