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ALREADY EVIDENCE HUFF POST EXIT POLLS ARE WRONG BY 5%

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:12 PM
Original message
ALREADY EVIDENCE HUFF POST EXIT POLLS ARE WRONG BY 5%
CNN's final wave numbers have Obama winning VT 62-37

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#VTDEM

Huff Post first wave numbers had Obama winning 67-33
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. LOL
Hermy, you're losing it..
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
17. moreso
:rofl:
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
22. when did he ever have it?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
2. We'll see where the hard numbers land.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. First wave results are always misleading
I remember Super Tuesday all too well.
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blocker Donating Member (265 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. Look just wait, the results are coming in soon!
it could really go both ways, but seriously, even if she wins, she's too far behing in delegate count!
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BringBigDogBack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #13
20. correct on all counts
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #3
16. In 88 Raw Exit Polls Had President Dukakis (sic) Beating Bush Pere
In 08 raw exit polls had Massachusetts a dead heat and NH a five point HRC loss...
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bicentennial_baby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
4. You burned a thread for this?
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doublethink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. ....
:rofl:
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #4
18. ...
:rofl:
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. Doesn't CNN also have just exit poll info?
So your saying CNN's exit polls are set in stone?

Are any exit poll numbers set in stone?
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. Loooooosssssinnnnnnggggg Iiiiiiiiiiittttt BIG TIME Brother!
You guys are off your rockers.
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
7. Now let's count the actual votes and see who was right. nt
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
8. We have to wait until the count is in.
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4_Legs_Good Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
9. I didn't expect Arianna would get everything exactly right
But the initial numbers looked promising (to me).

My finger nails are bleeding.

David
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
11. So...Obama won by 25% instead of 34%?
And losing by 25% isn't still a crushing defeat for Hillary how, exactly?
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ledvader7 Donating Member (15 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
12. cnn?
cnn is generally off by a few points especially in smaller states were there samples are scant. So how are basing the idea that they should be the arbiter of results. I mean come on they use zogby who is always off.
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enki23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
14. somehow, i doubt the huffington post is administering exit polls
so calling them "huff post exit polls" is probably not quite right.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
15. Where did you get CNN's exit poll number?
Your link breaks it down by groups but unless I am missing something there is no overall number.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. Male And Female Are Mutually Exclusive Categories
You need to see how males and females were voting and then multiply it by the percentage of the electorate they represent...
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:18 PM
Response to Original message
21. TPM says second wave exits show it dead even in OH, TX, and RI
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Yael Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
23. Breathe into the bag, Herm
Its going to be a long night.

:hug:
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
24. Wrong again in Ohio. The current exits show Hillary ahead.
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MiniMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
25. I absolutely hate when they call it based on exit polls
Should exit polls be used as a check to make sure that everything looks OK? Yes. Call a state based on exit polls? No way. Count the damn votes.
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