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Looks like my info on Ohio was right.... Looks like a trifecta for Hillary!

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:46 PM
Original message
Looks like my info on Ohio was right.... Looks like a trifecta for Hillary!
Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM by jlake
Some of y'all scoffed when I said that Hillary's internal polls showed a much bigger win in OH than the public polls....
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4840196
Some of y'all called me delusional when I predicted big wins for Hillary.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4853634
Some of y'all told me of all the crow I would be eating.
Looks like y'all were wrong. Looks like I was right.
I was sincere in my beliefs - and my hopes were not false. Hillary is the real deal - and she can stomp McCain in the GE!
Go Hillary! For all of us!
Yes she can. Yes we will!

Add Rhode Island, Ohio & Texas to Hilly's column!
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. I still think Obama takes TX
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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. Not looking good for him at the moment considering cities report EARLY
in TX
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. What Im reading suggests his strongholds have yet to report
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Blue_Roses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:53 PM
Response to Reply #15
30. It's only early voting that is being counted
Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 10:53 PM by Blue_Roses
the bigger cities and caucuses haven't even been reported yet
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:50 AM
Response to Reply #1
55. Sorry. wrong again.
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PseudoIntellect Donating Member (701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. Wait until Obama's strongholds come in. It'll narrow some.
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Maddy McCall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. Let it be true!
Please hold true!!

She's got the momentum in Texas!
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Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #3
23. 65% in my rural county
and those numbers are not in the SOS tally yet.
I saw them while I was leaving the caucus.
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LadyVT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
4. Whoo hoo!!! :)
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
5. Trifecta suggests 3 wins.
I only see two. And I expected those two.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:48 PM
Original message
RI, OH & TX = 3
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
13. How are you figuring a HRC win? No Caucus Results Yet & Still waiting on
Harris and other Obama strongholds to come in.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:45 PM
Response to Reply #13
49. Don't bring up the caucus.

They don't like that!! It doesn't count!!
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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Original message
18. How many net delegates does she pick up tonight???
It's ALWAYS about the delegates folks... always has been.

Hillary is picking up NEGATIVE net delegates tonight. Trust me. Obama +10
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:54 PM
Original message
Hillary +15-20
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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
45. Really, just pull that number out of your butt?
Wishful thinking much?

Well, dream on. Not happening.

And, oh, btw, she needed to pick up FIFTY delegates tonight to have a SHOT at just tying OBama by convention time. Just to tie, not to win. FIFTY. (some analysts suggested 100, but I'm being generous). 10 or 20 just isn't going to cut it. And she won't get a +10 or a +20, not from tonight.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #45
56. I'm going to change my prediction to 50 - thanks for the advice!
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. It's called HillaryMath
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NightWatcher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message
7. she'll net a dozen delegates and cut obama's lead to 145
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Obama does not lead by 157 delegates.... and I am hearing rumblins of
many super delegates ready support Hillary a la Obama.
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
21. The rumblings you are hearing is Bill farting on you.
Dream on, jlake.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:52 PM
Response to Reply #21
27. lol. I don't think so!
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
16. It's about the media and the momentum right now...
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:53 PM
Response to Reply #16
29. Yup. Obamabots don't want to recognize that.... and it looks like a big win in OH.
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Pryderi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #29
39. It's shit like this that keeps egging me on to post flamebait, you hillithfaire zombie.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 01:53 AM
Response to Reply #39
62. lol ~ you're kind of cut and funny when you're so riled up!
:hi: :hi: :hi:
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message
8. Ohio narrowing, Texas, I predict will go to Obama.
Regardless, she will not gain in delegate counts tonight,.
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Bake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. And Obama will once again not be able to close the deal.
He just can't deliver the knockout.

Bake
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #17
25. He has until Aug. No worries.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #25
70. No, Hilly will score the knockout long before then. Watch it happen.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #8
26. Obama just can't pull the knockout punch
Not to mention the popular vote, which is likely to be even steven again.
This is a good night for Hilly, Democrats, America and the world!

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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #8
34. What network are you watching?
NBC just predicted Hillary to win Ohio. Did you get your news from outer space?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:57 PM
Response to Reply #34
36. And it is still narrowing....
I didn't say she wouldn't take Ohio, only that it was narrowing, and it is. Watch the delegate count, that is what matters.

And I still think Texas will go to Obama.
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Bake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:01 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. She's up by 19 points in Ohio now.
I'd call that pretty big.

Bake
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #37
38. It is.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:44 PM
Response to Reply #37
48. The margin has narrowed to 14% now.
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Bake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #48
57. 14 is still a pretty big win.
Especially in an environment as divided as this one is.

Bake
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 06:44 AM
Response to Reply #57
63. Down to a 10% win with 99% reporting.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 03:19 AM
Response to Reply #63
69. More than double what the polls were showing.
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
10. ...
:woohoo:
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juajen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
11. I must say, it looks promising, and I am very excited.
Hope she does win the trifecta. I saw her town hall meeting last night and thought she might do better in Texas than I had previously believed. GO HILLARY GO!
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EmperorHasNoClothes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
12. Come talk to me tomorrow morning.
See how your predictions have panned out by then.
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
14. It's STILL over, no matter how much you spin it, jlake.
It's OVER. Got it? IT IS OVER.

Don't understand? IT'S OVER FOR HILLARY

Go do the math on the remaining delegates.

And don't give me the Rezko bullshit - I'll give you 17 indicted/jailed Clinton donors.

Hawkeye-X
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #14
19. I see a clear path to the White House for Hillary. This was Obama's chance to knock her out.
He just can't do it.... and now the mo has shifted back and many remaining states will favor Hillary..... especially Penna!
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debbierlus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #19
43. I don't know what will happen, however he might have peaked early

This race is just too plain crazy to call.

It is amusing to watch both sides dismiss the failures and successes of the other candidate. If one loses a state, then that state doesn't matter. If one wins a state, that state is very relevant.

It is really silly.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #19
47. Does mathematics mean anything to you jlake?

Let's see, there are other politician that have problems with things like math (Huckabee - oh wait, he got out), and George Bush with science. What does this tell you?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
22. I'm hoping you're right but this is going to be a looong night.
and we haven't fully counted his base yet.
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DuaneBidoux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
24. Scanning CNNS county by county it looks like big Ohio win for Clinton, narrow Texas win for Obama.
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message
28. I hope Obama wins, but if she wins, I'll vote for her. However, I hope she....
goes against the trade agreements she and her husband so loved and pushed for that destroyed the jobs in our country. In fact, I think it's really interesting that places like Ohio, which suffered so much from industries disappearing from the U.S., should vote for a Clinton. :shrug:
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I Vote In Pittsburgh Donating Member (387 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
31. Ummm... Obama will win Texas
Hillary has a slim to none chance. I predict a 7% Obama win in texas and a 13% Clinton win in Ohio.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #31
61. Ouch. that had to hurt!
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Iceburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
32. Looks like a trifecta indeed ...
Rhode Island -

Male (43%) - 56% Obama, 43% Clinton
Female (57%) - 58% Clinton, 41% Obama

Ohio -

Male (41%) - 52% Obama, 47% Clinton
Female (59%) - 54% Clinton, 45% Obama

Texas -

Male (43%) - 52% Obama, 46% Clinton
Female (57%) - 53% Clinton, 46% Obama

----------------------
Now crunching the numbers ...
If the above exit poll numbers hold ...
Clinton wins RI with 53%
Clinton wins Ohio with 52%
Clinton wins Texas with 52%

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avrdream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
33. I didn't argue with you.
I actually told you I loved you and wanted to marry you (because of your enthusiasm for Hill).

I sincerely hope all your projections come true.

Got any for the rest of the race?
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awaysidetraveler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 10:55 PM
Response to Original message
35. CNN just admitted that none of the major cities have been counted, making the race close in Ohio
They haven't closed the polls yet.
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RockyTorres Donating Member (135 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #35
42. Columbus is pretty much all in...Cuyahoga is not going to break
for Obama like they thought it was going too...BTW Cuyahoga is Cleveland
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RockyTorres Donating Member (135 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
40. I called it too..woohooooooo :)
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #40
58. Awesome! Go Hilary!
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
41. LOL, I admit I didn't see this coming, but it must be good to be able to revel. :)
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femrap Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:08 PM
Response to Original message
44. I feel so much better!
She'll kick McCain's ass. Yes. She. Will.
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CyberPieHole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:16 PM
Response to Original message
46. Keep up the great posts, jlake...the CULT of Obama is going to have to deal with Hillary...
all the way to the convention. Where SHE will be crowned Democratic Nominee. Obama can go back and serve as counsel to his buddy the Slumlord, Antoin Rezko.:evilgrin:


:kick: and rec
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Umbram Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:45 PM
Response to Reply #46
50. You only got one word right. "crowned."
In democracies we elect people. If Clinton wins, it will be a crowning indeed.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:46 PM
Response to Reply #46
51. Does mathematics mean anything to you?
The convention is determined by the delegates.

Let's see, there are other politician that have problems with things like math (Huckabee - oh wait, he got out), and George Bush with science. What does this tell you?
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:02 AM
Response to Reply #51
53. ~ * ~......................
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 12:06 AM
Response to Reply #53
54. Hi Hillary!

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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #51
66. Yup. And Hillary will have enough delegates and a STRONG case for winning!
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Asia Expat Donating Member (116 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-04-08 11:58 PM
Response to Original message
52. I love your enthusiasm...
Please keep it up.
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Beacool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 01:14 AM
Response to Original message
59. You were absolutely right!!!!!!!!!
CNN & NBC called Texas for Hillary a little while ago!!!!!!!!!!!!

Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!


:bounce:
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 01:16 AM
Response to Reply #59
60. I am so proud of her tonight! Her speech was the best yet!
She knows she's back in!
Go Hillary!
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 06:47 AM
Response to Reply #60
64. She is still losing...she won three, but she hasn't caught him..and I don't believe she will
Thank goodness because I just can't vote for her in November...no can do.
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Raffi Ella Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message
65. I LOVE YOU jlake!!!
:hug: Thank you for everything!YOU WERE RIGHT!Woooooooo!

As crazy as it was I NEVER lost the Faith that she would win.When she lost Wisconsin it made me fight all the harder for her.I just KNEW America wouldn't let her down - And they didn't!

It Feels SO GOOD this morning I just can't even stand it!
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #65
67. Thank YOU! I am so proud of Hillary! I knew she could deliver!
The good people are waking up and realizing what we need in a leader!

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amborin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 03:24 PM
Response to Original message
68. YES, Hillary WON BOTH SUPER TUESDAYS, nt
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