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[NeedleCast]

Hillary still losing...

I'm still trying to figure out how camp Hillary is spinning the fact that her lead in Texas went from about 20% to a margin of victory that looks like it's about 3%. Still trying to figure out how they spin the fact that their 25% Ohio lead was shrunk to a 10% margin of victory. Still trying to figure out how they're spinning a 15 to 25 delegate pick up in a race where they were behind by ~150 delegates as a "huge victory."

The way I see it, Obama didn't have to win last night, he just had to not lose big. From what I see in the early goings of the states yet to come, Hillary will probably win PA by about 10% while it looks like Obama is going win just about all of the remaining states. Yes, Hillary won three of four last night. That means she's 3-12 since Super Tuesday...not exactly a ringing success ratio.

I don't have the same doom and gloom view of this primary going to convention (and it will) that some do. Actually I think it will be good for the Dems because the media is going to stay focused on Hillary/Obama because it's still the interesting story. Huckabee's withdrawal means that McCain has got it locked up so the media focus will still be on the party that's involved in a race.

I'm not an Obama supporter that looks at the world through the rose colored glasses of some in camp Obama. I think there's still a race on, and I congratulate Hillary on winning three out of four states last night, but the math for here still isn't there as far as I can see. She needed crushing victories. She needed to make up 75 delegates at a minimum. And in fact, up until three weeks ago, she had crushing victory margins in Ohio and Texas. Yesterday she got a moderate win in Ohio and a close win in Texas. Spin it how you will, but that's not what Hillary needed.

Politicians lie. Math doesn't. Hillary is still in trouble.