So far, Clinton gained 18 delegates yesterday

[I Vote In Pittsburgh]

Still 10 more delegates to assign from Texas primaries and 67 to assign from Texas caucuses. There are about 600 pledged delegates in the remaining states. Obama has a 135 pledged delegate lead.

Next up is Wyoming and Mississipi, both of which are heavily favored to go to Obama. Then Pennsylvania, which Clinton can win maybe 10%. After Penn, the states again are stacked in favor of Obama.

Clinton still has a mountain to climb.

[jlake]

1. She's going to win PA 60/38

[truebrit71]

3. Care to place a wager on that?

There is NO way she gets that much...

[jlake]

I was dead on with my predictions for yesterday.

I'll wager the Democratic nominee on that.
PA is the end of the road for Obama.

[truebrit71]

8. What would you care to wager? A donation of $10 to the candidate of the winners choice?

To be clear you are saying she gets 60% of the vote or 60 delegates, and that Obama pulls out of the race after PA?

If that's correct you have a bet.

[JorgeTheGood]

11. agree jlake

after HC takes PA by 20-30 points, it will become crystal clear that BO needs to drop out.

We already know that in the GE, BO will lose OH, FL, MA and in 7 weeks it will be apparent he will lose PA also. Under those circumstances, he loses big time.

BTW: that was a great prediction on the trificta ... keep up the good work.

[Alter Ego]

21. Bullshit.

He's down by less than 10% with two months--and that's a long time in politics.

[jlake]

22. Just like it was BS that Hillary would win the trifecta and OH by a large margin - right?

[Alter Ego]

25. Which she has not done.

Edging him out in TX and winning OH was not what they had planned, I assure you. After Wisconsin, she was up 20 points in both states.

You should be more concerned with how good Hillary is at blowing huge leads in very short spans of time.

[jlake]

27. Whatev - I am discussing my prediction, which is what you trashed.

Hillary will win PA by at least 20 points.

[truebrit71]

28. So that's a yes. You agree to the terms?

?

[Independent-Voter]

6. Put you money where your mouth is, or shut the fuck up

Intrade.com

I've made nearly 5 figure so far going AGAINST Veruca this year.

[jlake]

7. I bought a few contracts when Hillary's nom chance was under 10..... looks

like I'm up! Go Hillary!

[Sulawesi]

17. sell them now.

[jlake]

18. lol, I'm gonna ride 'em up to 95+

[jefferson_dem]

33. That would give her a net gain of roughly 38 delegates from PA.

How will she make up the remaining 70+ shortfall?

[Kittycat]

2. It's going to be close to a wash for yesterday.

Once the delegates are all worked out. She's only going to net a few at best.

[skipos]

4. She did well, but is doomed with the pds.

If the sds give it to her anyway, she will have a small revolt on her hands.

[democrattotheend]

5. States after PA don't look so good for Obama

Especially Kentucky and West Virginia. North Carolina should be good, but a new poll released today showed he barely leads there.

It just seems like there has been a big shift nationally over the past few days, and I don't know what's causing it. But everything seems to be falling apart and I am not optimistic.

[tabatha]

10. Yes, the smearing worked.

Even though it was based on false information.

And also, the Muslim thing.

If you read the comments on pages all over the place - most people are fighting about the muslim charge.

Edit - and the shame is that Clinton has not been smeared, and there is lots to smear her with - and it coudl all come out in the GE, and McCain wins.

I feel sick.

[JorgeTheGood]

13. REZKO caused it ...

kinda hard to back a candidate that, at any moment, could be involved in the highest profile criminal case in the country.

[MercutioATC]

19. I notice a lot of "Rezko"...funny how I don't see any "Whitewater"

Frankly, I don't support either, but I think I'd sleep a lot better at night as an Obama supporter than I would as a Clinton supporter.

Sleaze usually comes back to bite you in the ass.

[DadOf2LittleAngels]

23. Does the name Hsu

mean anything to you?

[I Vote In Pittsburgh]

16. Really?

North Carolina seems solidly for Obama. All the polls except the outlier you mention have Obama winning by 10 points. Oregon is also Obama territory. I have no idea about Indiana and West Virginia, but Oregon and North Carolina have a lot of delegates. I'd say it looks like a wash after PA.

[ProSense]

20. Hillary could win every remaining state by 20% and would still be behind in the delegate count. n/t

[I Vote In Pittsburgh]

24. True

With 600 pledged delegates left, she'll need to win by 21% to take tie or take the lead.

[Wayjose]

30. And Hillary will win 70% of the vote...not even Putin can do that

[jlake]

32. Mark my words. She will get 67%+ in PA!

[jlake]

31. He peaked too early. One wheel is off and the others are getting loose.

[Maribelle]

9. 'The Green Papers' indicates she is ahead in the Popular Vote this morning!

:toast:

Hillary.....13,287,962
Obama....13,259,661

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/D.phtml

[yourguide]

12. Link please? She hasnt gotten 18, math shows 13 not including

caucus results. Once the caucus results tally she will be lucky if she nets 5.

[I Vote In Pittsburgh]

14. cnn.com

You are probably forgetting Rhode Island

[yourguide]

15. NY Times has 13.

[featherman]

26. Looks more like 9 or 10 by the time all is tallied

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/latest_tally_hillary_may_emerg.php

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

29. Texas ain't over yet.

Just saying.