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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:44 PM
Original message
Momentum!

Obama Wins Delegate Fight in Texas

By Sam Graham-Felsen - Mar 5th, 2008 at 4:29 pm EST

AUSTIN -- Obama Texas State Director Adrian Saenz issued a statement on the projected primary and caucus results that show Senator Obama won more Texas delegates than Senator Clinton.

“By fighting the primary to a near-draw and earning a resounding victory in the caucus, the people of Texas have moved Barack Obama one step closer to claiming the Democratic nomination for president,” said Adrian Saenz. “Texans in both parties and of all ages sent a clear message that the American people are ready for the kind of change that Barack Obama will bring to Washington, DC as our 44th President."

Because of the close finish, Senator Clinton will likely net only two delegates up-for-grabs in the Texas Primary. Based on a large sample of caucus results in all 31 state senate districts, Senator Obama is projected to post a substantial victory in the Texas caucus and, thereby, net at least seven delegates. This means that Senator Obama will win at least five more pledged delegates from Texas than Senator Clinton.


2,049,133 Calls

In the run-up to March 4th, grassroots supporters from all across the country made over two million calls to potential voters in just ten days – 2,049,133 calls, to be exact. Your efforts helped us close the gap in Ohio, win a commanding victory in Vermont and a delegate win in Texas.


Barack Obama's February haul: $55 million

Sen. Barack Obama raised $55 million in February, a stunning total that his campaign hopes will breathe fresh momentum into his presidential bid following losses in three of four nominating contests earlier this week.

The Tribune has learned the Illinois Democrat raised the amount in an effort that shatters the record for money raised by a presidential campaign in a single month.

The total came from contributions from nearly three-quarters of a million donors, including about 385,000 who were donating for the first time. Virtually all of the money - $45 million – was raised online.


Certification Day In California

Today the results of the February 5 primary become official. The final spread in the popular vote between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama is 8.9%. Clinton garnered 51.8% to Obama's 42.9%. The final delegates will be 203 for Clinton to 167 for Obama. This roughly averages out to the exact spread in the head-to-head popular vote (Hillary got 54.6% of the head-to-head vote and 54.8% of the delegates), so the convoluted delegate apportionment system worked in the case of California.

I'm also pleased to announce that 47,153 "double bubble" votes were counted in Los Angeles County. The expectation on the day of the election was that none of these ballots from decline to state voters would be counted, but the pressure put on by the Courage Campaign and other groups led to this result. And by the way, 51% of those votes went to Hillary Clinton and 42% to Barack Obama, so those who insisted upon viewing this through some partisan lens can respectfully shut the fuck up. This was about voter rights and remedying disenfranchisement; it always was, even though it had no material impact on the overall election.


Dayton Mayor Endorses Barack Obama

Obama nabs another Georgia superdelegate

Obama gets Vermont superdelegate

West Virginia Superdelegate for Obama

Nevada Superdelegate Endorses Barack Obama for President



SurveyUSA Follow-Up: Obama's Advantage

A number of people have begun waying in on the results of today's SurveyUSA electoral vote match-ups. Obama wins by 22 electoral votes, while Clinton wins by only 14. More importantly though, as Chris Bowers from Open Left points out:

Despite seemingly similarity in their performance against McCain, this breakdown shows real differences between Obama and Clinton in the general election. Against Obama, McCain's "solid" and "lean" states only add up to 123, while Obama's add up to 229. In a matchup against Clinton, the "solid" and "lean" states are of equal size: 201 for McCain, and 203 for Clinton. In other words, while McCain and Clinton appear evenly matched, McCain is only able to keep it close against Obama by running up a series of narrow wins in the toss-up states.

Markos Moulitsas from Daily Kos also analyzed the results, and noted that:

It's amazing how many non-swing states will suddenly be, well, swing states this year, like Texas, South Carolina, and North Carolina. Some of these states become competitive depending on the candidate, like Arkansas and Tennessee for Clinton, and just about everything west of the Mississippi for Obama.

… In all, Obama outperforms Clinton in 33 states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

rom the beginning, Barack has understood the importance of competing in every state, and we've built a broad base of support across the country. The result is a clear advantage in November's race, with a real possibility of redrawing the electoral map.


Yes. We. Can.

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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. And not ONE PEEP from the so-called pro Obama media
about his Texas win.

The only win that counts. Delegates.

The party leaders should take heed and follow through with the plan tomorrow to declare the massive block of Supers for Obama, and the gang of five need to call Hillary... but I'm sure the call will not be answered, even if it comes at 3 a.m.
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KaryninMiami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. Funny thing about that - maybe tomorrow? Probably not.
Maybe Keith will mention it tomorrow night. If not, it may never get mentioned. It will simply fade away like the missing votes in Harlem (even Bloomberg said it was rigged but it never got any media attention) or why the exit poll predictions on the electronic machine votes in NH were so off yet the hand counted votes were right on the money or how NAFTA GATE helped her win in Ohio. The media picks up a snippet of these stories and then they fade away. And HE's getting the easy ride from the media? Give me a break.

Time for the DNC Elders to have a chat with her, indeed.
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goclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yes.We.Can kick this one and R too
Edited on Thu Mar-06-08 10:53 PM by goclark
:woohoo:
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Growler Donating Member (896 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. Kick
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
4. Oh, hell yes we can!
thanks for posting :)

K&R
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
5. KiCk!
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
6. Obama is the better GE candidate
but we already knew that. HRC supporters are in a state of permanent denial.
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. Yes We Can - post links from barackobama.com
Yes We Can.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. "links from barackobama.com" What does that mean? Are you saying he didn't get five superdelegates
or did you just feel like posting a stupid comment?
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:44 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Your OP is titled, "MOMENTUM" - backed by many links to Obama's site.
Who said he didn't get delegates?

I was making an obvious comment, maybe you should read it again.
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11 Bravo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 06:44 PM
Response to Reply #12
20. Dude, let it go. When she gets really wound up, she links to dozens of her own posts.
This is an improvement.
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ExFreeper4Obama Donating Member (122 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:25 PM
Response to Original message
10. Don't forget the 8 delegates Obama just picked up in California
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KAZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 11:27 PM
Response to Original message
11. ProSence! One of the best on DU! K&R
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 09:55 AM
Response to Original message
13. Enthusiasm Tilts Toward Obama in Pa.

Enthusiasm Tilts Toward Obama in Pa.

Friday, Mar. 07, 2008 By AP/MICHAEL RUBINKAM

(STROUDSBURG, Pa.)—For Edwin David, who served with the famed World War II unit of black fighters known as the Tuskegee Airmen, Sen. Barack Obama is an easy choice.


"Just let me live till voting time in November," said David, 83, living in retirement in the Pocono Mountains. "In my lifetime, we just might get to see the first African-American president of the United States!"

Fresh from victories in the big states of Ohio and Texas, and with polls having shown her holding the lead here, even if it has dwindled, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton starts her campaign in Pennsylvania as the favorite to win the April 22 primary.

But in random interviews last week with dozens of voters in swing districts across the state, much of the Democratic voter enthusiasm seemed to tilt toward Obama, not only because he is a fresh face, but because they believe he has the best shot at beating Republican nominee-in-waiting John McCain, whom they call old and out-of-touch.

But unlike David, many said it wasn't an easy decision.

Kate Clark, 53, a cafe owner in Nazareth, a small town near Allentown, said she struggled with her choice. Tempted to vote for Clinton because of her gender, she said Obama's energy and vision ultimately won out.

more



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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:27 AM
Response to Original message
14. Obama's amazing climb to winning the delegate count and almost winning the popular vote in TX
Region.....................Obama.....................Clinton.....................Obama.....................Clinton
..................... ..................... ................................................diff..........................diff
Austin.......................95,534.....................54,848.....................40,686
Houston/Galveston......89,017.....................31,935.....................57,082
North Texas..............85,365.....................31,606.....................53,759
Rural Central.............69,761.....................57,688.....................12,073
North Texas..............61,175.....................44,591.....................16,584
North Texas..............52,676.....................42,207.....................10,469
East-Central.............51,512.....................48,414.......................3,098
Houston/Galveston....50,413.....................42,107........................8,306
Houston/Galveston....49,872.....................30,118......................19,754
East-Central.............47,150.....................52,428................................... .................5,278
East........................44,565.....................44,098.........................467
Houston/Galveston…..43,497.....................37,261.......................6,236
North Texas.............43,379.....................46,302........................... ..........................2,923
North Texas.............42,562.....................37,842.......................4,720
North Texas.............41,739.....................31,393.....................10,346
East.......................40,234.....................47,887......................................................7,653
Houston/Galveston....39,310.....................44,689...................…................................5,379
East......................35,742.....................50,423................…......... .........................14,681
Border/South...........35,526.....................82,096..................…................................46,570
Border/South...........33,968.....................55,439..................…................................21,471
East......................31,904.....................54,209................…......... .........................22,305
Border/South............31,360.....................53,442................…......... .......................22,082
Border/South............29,750.....................68,380..................…......... .....................38,630
Rural Central............29,708.....................39,336................…...................................9,628
Rural Central............29,579.....................33,629........................... .........................4,050
Border/South............29,085.....................68,039........................... .......................38,954
West Texas…...........27,400.....................45,513..................…......... ......................18,113
West Texas..............26,356.....................40,709........................... .......................14,353
Border/South............25,089.....................61,782........................... ........................36,693
Houston/Galveston...19,736.....................35,828........................... .........................16,092
West Texas.............16,962.....................26,392..................…......... ........................9,430
.........................1,349,926................1,440,631..................243,580......................334,285

Total:..................................2,790,557........................... .....diff:...............90,705

link

The Argument that Obama Won Texas

by: Phillip Martin
Wed Mar 05, 2008 at 10:25 AM CST
(From my analysis below) --

As I've said previously, I'm not sure if you can count the popular vote as a win. She's up by only a couple delegates in the primary, and trailing by a larger margin in the caucuses. Her TX Superdelegate lead has dwindled to a narrow 11 to 9 margin -- she hasn't "won" a Superdelegate for weeks now, while Obama has picked up over half of his Superdelegates in that time frame. Overall, she's still likely to lose the "delegate race" in TX -- depending on how the caucus numbers shake out and the final Superdelegates pledge.

I think Clinton can hang her hat on Ohio -- and she should. She did a great job campaigning there, and the contrasts she brought out in the race are instructive to her as she goes forward. As I wrote earlier tonight, she gave a great speech in Ohio -- but I don't think she has momentum, I just think Obama's was put on hold (until the next two primaries). Also, I'm not trying to begrudge her strong showing in TX -- but it was a strong showing that was expected, remember?

more




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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 05:07 PM
Response to Original message
15. Hillary loses ground in pledged delegate count:
Pledged: Obama - 1370, Hillary - 1218

With Superdelegates: Obama - 1579, Hillary - 1460


Obama will pick up more when he final counts from TX come in.
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OhioChick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 05:08 PM
Response to Original message
16. K&R
:kick:
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
17. Clinton lowers expectations in Wyo.

Clinton lowers expectations in Wyo.

By SARA KUGLER, Associated Press Writer

CHEYENNE, Wyo. - A day before Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama were to compete for a small scattering of delegates in Wyoming, Clinton cast herself as the underdog and said the odds are not in her favor. Clinton's campaign has sought to set low expectations for the Saturday caucuses in Wyoming as well as next week's primary in Mississippi, states where her campaign believes Obama has a better shot at winning.

"I said, 'Well you know what, I'm going to go to Wyoming anyway — I know it's an uphill climb, I'm aware of that," Clinton told an audience of more than 1,500 at a community college in Cheyenne. "But, you see, I am a fighter, and I believe it's worth fighting for your votes."

She set a similar tone while campaigning in Mississippi Thursday night and Friday morning. She said a win for her in that state would be a heavy lift because of Obama's appeal there. Twelve delegates will be awarded in Wyoming's caucuses, followed by 33 on Tuesday in Mississippi.

The relatively small number of delegates in these states, not seen as important weeks ago, have gained value now that the race is down to a numbers game, following Clinton's triple-win this week in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island, where she narrowed the gap with Obama.

Earlier Friday at a town hall meeting in Mississippi, where some in the audience were undecided or leaning toward Obama, Clinton raised the possibility that she might run with the Illinois senator on the Democratic presidential ticket.

Clinton said: "I've had people say, 'Well, I wish I could vote for both of you.' Well, that might be possible some day. But first I need your vote on Tuesday."

It was the second time this week that she has hinted at a joint ticket with the Illinois senator; he has not ruled it out but says it is premature to be having those discussions.

link


Hillary's math problem.

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Arkana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 06:49 PM
Response to Reply #17
21. "I'm a fighter! I'm a fighter!"
Then all of a sudden it's "The media's against me! The media's against me! I think I'll shed some tears to see if it'll bump my ratings."

Then it's back to "I'm your girl! I'm a fighter! Yay me!"

:puke:

The duplicity is just shocking.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 10:07 PM
Response to Original message
18. K&R! Now we need this news to get BIG TIME coverage!
:hi:
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
19. Obama wins Wyoming
Obama 59%, Hillary 40% (96% reporting)


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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 07:00 PM
Response to Original message
22. Obama Wins Proxy War Versus McCain

Obama Wins Proxy War Versus McCain

Huffington Post | March 9, 2008 11:32 AM

Yesterday, little-known Democrat Bill Foster scored a major upset and won the congressional seat held for 20 years by former House Speaker Dennis Hastert, a Republican. The race was a proxy war between Barack Obama and John McCain. Obama cut an add for Foster -- watch it:

(Video)

Meanwhile, McCain campaigned for the Republican candidate Jim Oberweis, and fundraised for his campaign. Watch the two of them (about 2 minutes in):

(Video)

AP has more on the race:

The race between Foster and Oberweis spawned a contentious campaign that saw both men counting on high-profile supporters to sway voters. Oberweis had Hastert and McCain; Foster leaned on Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama who endorsed him in a TV ad.

"The people of Illinois have sent an unmistakable message that they're tired of business-as-usual in Washington," Obama said Saturday night in a written statement.

link


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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-10-08 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
23. Two more superdelegates
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