So far this week Obama adds 193 delegates** Magic No drops from 655 to 462 **SD UPDATE

[grantcart]

A combination of primary/caucus delegate successes(180), additional superdelegate endoursements (11), and realignment of the California Delegate distribution (2) have netted Senator Obama with a total of 193 delegates this week, reducing the number of delegates he needs for nomination from 655 to 462. An additional 58 delegates are up in Wyoming (18 Saturday) and Mississippi (40).

Senator Obama needs 45% of all the remaining pledged delegates and undeclared super delegates to get the nomination.

Senator maintains a lead of delegates by 100 virtually the same he had at the begining of the week.


1) UpComing contests

Mar 8 Wyoming 18 delegates
Mar 11 Mississippi 40 delegates

Apr 22 Pennsylvania 188 delegates

May 3 Guam 9 delegates
May 6 Indiana 84 delegates
May 6 North Carolina 134 delegates

May 13 West Virginia 39 delegates

May 20 Kentucky 60 delegates /

May 20 Oregon 65 delegates

Jun 3 Montana 24 delegates
South Dakota 23 delegates

Jun 7 Puerto Rico 63 delegates

Total Remaining Pledged Delegates 747 Obama currently has 1360 Clinton currently has 1220


2)Total Remaining Super Delegates 277 Obama currently has 202 Clinton currently has 242

Total Delegates Remaining 1024

3)Obama's magic number is 462

Clinton's magic number is 562

4)Obama's required percent of outstanding delegates is 45%

Clinton's required percent of outstanding delegates is 55%

5) Results from Tuesday: The allocation of delegates from March 4th primaries and caucuses

. . . . .Obama . . . . Clinton . . .Net Gain for Obama


Vemont . . 9 . . . . . . .6 . . . . . . .+3

R. Island. 8 . . . . . . .13 . . . . . . .-5

Ohio . . .65 . . . . . . 74 . . . . . . .-9

Texas. . .98 . . . . . . .95 . . . . . . .+3

NBC's projection is that Hillary will have a net of + 8 Delegates from all four states



6) SuperDelegate update for March +11 for Obama

3/6 DNC Thurman (IN) REP Rehall (TX)DNC Thompson (NV)

http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080306/NEWS05/803060462/1008/LOCAL19
http://www.wsaz.com/news/headlines/16339466.html
http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgrahamfelsen/gGBLxN


3/5 DNC McLin (OH) DNC Kidd (GA) Burnett (IL) +3

http://1290whio.com/includes/news/indepth/5279860_Dayto...
http://www.ajc.com/sports/content/news/stories/2008/03/05/kidd_0305.html


3/4 DNC Fowler (SC) Long (GA) Brooks (TX) +3

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgraham...
http://www.ajc.com/metro/content/news/stories/2008/03/0...
http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgraham...


3/1 DNC Weinike (WI) and Burkhalter AL for Obama +2

http://www.madison.com/tct/news//index.php?ntid=275115
http://www.al.com/newsflash/regional/index.ssf?/base/po...


6) Endorsements by Office

Senators Obama 11 Clinton 10
Govenors Obama 15 Clinton 13
Congress.Obama 70 Clinton 72




Sources DemcomWatch http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/03/ohio-texas-verm...

NYTimes http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results...

http://calitics.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=5248

[writes3000]

1. Question about the Wyoming caucus

I've seen reports that WY only has 12 delegates and others that say WY has 18. I went to one site that said it was 12.

Is it definitely 18? I'm thinking maybe the Republican primary was 12 but that's just a guess.

[quakerboy]

2. from the DNC

website, 12 delegates for Wyoming

[writes3000]

5. I'm so confused. Thanks. n/t

[quakerboy]

6. My source

http://www.democrats.org/page/-/pdf/20070607_DistrictAllocationChart.pdf

[writes3000]

7. Thanks. That site says WY has 12 pledged delegates and 6 unpledged delegates.

Looks like the unpledged delegates are superdelegates.

Thanks for helping me figure it out.

[quakerboy]

9. thats exactly right

[grantcart]

8. You are correct

Wyoming has 7 pledged delegates by district
3 state wide
2 party leaders


and 6 super delegates


will have to readjust all of the numbers the next time around

it will make it tighter to get - oh well Hillary will have to say some more nice things about McCain and perhaps even Dick Cheney and it will finish it up faster.

[FrenchieCat]

3. Puerto Rico has moved its caucus to a primary to June 1st......

based on today's news.

Just thought I'd let you know.

Somehow, I guess that Puerto Ricans who are darker than me, and many of them are actually descendants of slaves are supposed to vote for Hillary Clinton, because they are termed Hispanics.

That ain't gonna work.

[Jawja]

10. It won't make it to Puerto Rico.

I believe after next Tuesday, when Obama has won Wyoming and Mississippi, the Democratic Party will move swiftly to resolve this situation. If not, then we have 6 more weeks of a terribly divisive and negative slug fest will dominate the airwaves and the Michigan and Florida half-assed primary situation will take center stage. I believe this because the GOP Corporate Media is already pushing this into Pennsylvania and pushing the "issue" of the current Michigan and Florida delegates (even though the Party has suggested do overs as a resolution).

The Democrats cannot afford this kind of campaign if they expect to WIN in November.

[grantcart]

15. Does anybody know why Puerto Rico has so many delegates?

[Window]

4. Thanks for staying on top of things and for sharing this info.

Peace:thumbsup:

[jefferson_dem]

11. Thanks!

Your analyses are always excellent!

[Scurrilous]

12. K & R

:thumbsup:

[KittyWampus]

13. good info to have

[WillyT]

14. K & R !!!

:kick:

:hi:

[grantcart]

16. Obama picks up another SD new magic number is 461

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/03/ultimate-delegate-summary.html