Latest poll numbers show McCain beating Obama, but not Hillary!

[Apollo11]

Rasmussen Reports - Rolling Presidential Match-up Poll - March 7th

McCain 46 - Obama 45

McCain 46 - Clinton 46

Just in case there is anyone around here who still believes that "only Obama can beat McCain" ... :eyes:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history

[Political Heretic]

1. SurveyUSA shows Obama beating McCain by more than Hillary

Other polls do too. Some other polls also show both candidates losing to McCain and some show Clinton beating McCain.

:shrug:

[Apollo11]

3. Yes, but Rasmussen updates their numbers every single day

So they are not based on data that was collected 5 days before.

[Exilednight]

13. Yes, and that is why Rasmussen is often wrong. A good pollster will tell you that it takes ....

several days to put together a reliable poll.

This is why companies like Pew research do so well.

[Apollo11]

16. But that's the whole point of a rolling poll

Usually they don't just publish the numbers for 1 day only.

Each day they use the numbers from the 3 most recent days and add them together.

So you don't see major shifts from one day to the next.

[Exilednight]

26. Yes, but the data is not analyzed for anomalies. Releasing data without scrutinizing it makes ....

for bad results.

[Apollo11]

28. Barack Obama. There's your anomaly right there!

Sorry! :o

[democrattotheend]

2. Good news for both Democrats

They had both been trailing McCain in recent days.

One point difference is statistically insignificant...they are both essentially tied with McCain. Given where we were last week, that is good news.

[Apollo11]

6. Yes -- and should help to sober up the "We Are SCREWN" doom-mongers!

Hopefully! B-)

[thesubstanceofdreams]

4. Lol... 1 freaking point in 1 freaking poll

WELL inside MoE.
If this is the best claim Hillary has to electability she is doomed.

[NightWatcher]

5. wow, that's definitive. Come on, that's within the margin of error

[Apollo11]

8. Numbers don't lie.

At least - that's what Obama supporters are always saying about the delegate count! ;-)

[NightWatcher]

15. ever heard of the term "statistical significance"?

this poll is well within the margin of error and therefore is not statistically significant

edited for typo

[Apollo11]

19. No. But I did hear about "statistical significance"?

"Two can play at that game, smart guy!" B-)

[NightWatcher]

24. way to base on argument on a typo

[Apollo11]

25. Sorry. Cheap shot. My bad!

:hi:

[NightWatcher]

30. no prob, we are all getting worked up in here

myself included

[mrreowwr_kittty]

7. Ever hear of a thing called "margin of error"? nt

[Apollo11]

12. But in a close election - every vote counts!

Even if this has nothing to do with your point about "margin of error" ...

[mrreowwr_kittty]

18. I'm glad you realize that polls and elections are not the same thing.

That poll shows both of them in a statistical tie against McCain. That's worrisome regardless of who you support. Any Dem should be double digits ahead of John McInsane. Period.

[against all enemies]

9. So Hillary's negative campaign has helped McCain. That's good why?

[Apollo11]

21. No. Because 3 weeks back, McCain was beating Hillary by 8 points.

Today they are neck and neck. I call that a positive trend! B-)

[goletian]

10. but...

her argument about experience might sound cute to the not so wise, but once she goes up against white-haired mccain, that strategy will be completely useless. she voted for iraq war, too so... shed be forced to focus on domestic issues in a time of war. yep... sounds like shes gonna be the winner!

lol

[Apollo11]

17. Your point is that nobody trusts a Clinton on the economy, stupid?

At least the first Clinton administration kept the budget deficit in check.

[goletian]

32. my point is shes setting herself up to lose. even with the economy, stupid.

shes put too much emphasis on foreign policy. shes not going to get away with focusing on domestic issues in the ge.

[still_one]

11. If she gets the nomination, neither she or mccain will get my vote in the general election

I cannot vote for the two people, clinton or mccain, who according to clinton are more qalifified to be president then Obama

[Apollo11]

22. Not even if Obama is on the ticket?

OK - so I'm clutching at straws here ...

[still_one]

31. That is actually a terrific question. I don't think so, because that would mean

to me neither candidate stands on their principles

To me what Hillary said was that she and mccain have the experience to be president, but Obama doesn't, and that is what did it for me. If she could take back that, I would probably reconsider, but it isn't going to happen, because she has subsequently continued to bring it up.

Hey, I'm not voting republican, so most likely I suspect she will do quite nicely without my support

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Those Numbers Suck For Both Candidates

~

[Apollo11]

23. democrattotheend = optimist, DemocratSinceBirth = pessimist

:eyes:

[FogerRox]

20. Rass's state level polls were good in '06, but his national polls still show Bush with a

better approval rating than just about any other poll.

[oasis]

27. k&r

[Mass]

29. LOL - Well, first SUSA disagrees and they have a much bigger sample.

Second, only an idiot would take this poll as showing what you said. The two polls show them tied, if we can even believe polls that much ahead.