Highlights of Early Mississippi Exit Polls

[democrattotheend]

Doesn't tell us much so far, but for anyone who's interested: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/03/11/ap/politics/main3927250.shtml

OPEN PRIMARIES

Mississippi has no registration by party so voters can choose which primary to vote in. Not surprisingly, the exit poll found turnout was more than twice as high in the competitive Democratic primary between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama than in the Republican primary, where John McCain has clinched the nomination. Nearly one in five Democratic primary voters called themselves independent and about one in 10 were Republican. Democrats and independents combined were about 10 percent of voters in the GOP contest.

LONG-SETTLED

Six in 10 Democratic primary voters said they decided whom to vote for more than a month ago.

LOOKING AHEAD TO NOVEMBER

More than half of Clinton voters said they had a favorable opinion of McCain; only about a quarter of Obama voters viewed McCain favorably.

Doesn't sound so good to me...either means a lot of Dems who wouldn't vote for Obama in the fall, or a lot of Limbaugh-inspired GOP crossovers

KEEP POSTING ANY CLUES YOU HEAR ABOUT THE EXIT POLLS HERE.

[Johnny__Motown]

1. OR they heard Hillary praise him and his experience

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZsYWiywdCA&feature=related

[cali]

2. I think it clearly means that a lot of repukes voted for Clinton

What else could it mean with that high a number thinking favorably of McCain.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

5. I doubt it

[Steeler1623]

8. No, the polls clearly showed Republicans favor Clinton in MS

[Rosa Luxemburg]

75. Obama won with a good majority

[democrattotheend]

6. Yeah, I am a little nervous

Although rightpundit.com claimed Obama was winning the independent and Republican vote. But they were wrong last week.

[City Lights]

9. Maybe they agree with Hillary. She likes him too. eom

[Mags]

29. Maybe comparing McCain to Obama they think more favorably of McCain.

[HooptieWagon]

65. Agreed, ditto-heads for the Monster...

[codeindigo]

76. oh.

of course. NV...Barack's flyer...BE a Democrat for a day...help stop Hillary...Calling all REPUGS and indi's...shameful twist!

[John Q. Citizen]

3. Oh no. The Repos might win Mississippi in the GE

[VolcanoJen]

4. More than 1/2 of Clinton voters have a favorable opinion of McCain.

That's interesting... a continuation of the Limbaugh Effect, or Hillary's ringing endorsement of John McCain?

[democrattotheend]

7. That's what makes me nervous

Afraid it could be the former.

[MagsDem]

15. An indication of BO's lack of experience

Has nothing to do with HRC or McCain, but rather an electorate who isn't going to vote for a guy that was a state senator 3 yrs ago.

[VolcanoJen]

17. Riiiiiiiiiiiiiight.

You're a big McCain fan too, so this kind of response isn't entirely unexpected.

[MagsDem]

27. I've never voted for a single rethug in my life...

And in fact I have knocked every door in my precinct for the democratic candidates in every election for the past 8 yrs. But it's so typical of Obama supporters to cry "racist" or "republican" to anyone that doesn't support Obama. IMO, you people are crazed cultist that don't really care that your candidate, who thinks he was sent from God to be president lacks experience, looks voters in the eye and lies to them about things like taking lobbyist money, panders to anti-gay bigots for votes, ad nauseum.

See, to people like you, as long as he has a D after his name and the media hypes him, that's good enough. Some of us actually expect democratic candidates to be experienced and truthful. Obama is neither. So he won't get my vote.

And IF he says, one more time, that he doesn't take lobbyist money while I personally know lobbyist bundling cash for him, I WILL vote for McCain. First rethug in my life I will have voted for, but I cannot abide by Obama's rank lies.

[Beacool]

44. Hear, hear!!!!!!!!

:applause:

[skooooo]

72. Just put him on ignored list...

Every post he's in he's just flamebaiting. Do yourself a favor.

[skipos]

52. Have you looked at the extensive SUSA head to head polls?

What do you think about the number of states that Obama outperforms Hillary against McCain vs the number of states that Hillary outperforms Obama?

What do you think about the fact that most polls show Obama doing better than Hillary against McCain nationwide?

[Umbram]

56. I'm seeing more and more HC supporters jump on the McCain bandwagon. Looks like we have another. nt

[geek tragedy]

10. So, Clinton supporters love McCain and hate Obama

in MS.

Nice fanbase, Hillary.

[MagsDem]

13. Has nothing to do with her -- they aren't going to vote for the most inexperienced...

candidate in the race. The number one word used to describe Obama by polled voters is "inexperienced."

[Blue-Jay]

26. You need to back that statement up with some facts.

"The number one word used to describe Obama by polled voters is "inexperienced.""

I'll wait.

[MagsDem]

34. No problem -- here ya go...

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=398

Pew Research Center.

Now aren't you the same guy that ran away when I gave you links proving that Obama takes lobbyist money even though he says he doesn't? Yeah, I think so. So run away again. Sooner or later you will figure out that I don't post facts I can't prove.

[Blue-Jay]

41. I don't know who you're thinking of.

I've never run away from an idiot in my life.

I see the word "untrustworthy" in that article too. Guess who that is describing?

[MagsDem]

43. Again, the number one word used to describe Obama is INEXPERIENCED

That's why 20% of Dems will vote for McCain if Obama is the nominee. No more on the job training.

Now tell me how he wins with only 80% of dems voting for him?

[Blue-Jay]

50. Here's how.

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0565259320080306

And since you like Pew, here's something to mull over as well:
http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=392
Notice the net gains.

[Blue-Jay]

54. Oh, and before you make me "run away" again...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

:rofl:

[stray cat]

58. likely scenerio - McCain wins for different reasons against either

[jbnow]

24. I wouldn't be surprised if older or poor

southern whites genuinely did like McCain. They don't tend to be too liberal and if you don't pay a lot of attention McCain seems like a nice guy.

I could be wrong but it seems like in southern states with high black populations the white population does tend to go more heavily to white candidate though. Hope that's not southerner bashing.

The polling place CNN was showing now and then only showed older white lady voters. Maybe it was a mostly white area but I thought "well that's not good".

Wondering if he didn't have much GOTV there.

[democrattotheend]

11. Clinton doing a little better than usual among African Americans?

Saw this comment on rightpundit...no idea if it's true:

Early rumors is that Hillary is doing a little better with Blacks than in past races. Exit polls showing Clinton voters are saying she should pick Obama as running mate. Obama voters are not for returning the Favor.

One theory of the VP Card being played by the Clintons in Mississippi is blacks that were affected by the Hurricane were torn between the Clintons who they fill might delieve the goods and Obama. Hence why they played the card.



Hard to believe, especially with Ferraro's comment yesterday. Although I guess thanks to Spitzer it didn't get that much attention from MSM.

[MagsDem]

12. The number one word used to decribe Obama in polling is....

inexperienced. If you insist on putting up a guy for president that was a state senator 3 yrs ago, don't be surprised when people don't vote for him. It has nothing to do with HRC as you try to imply with your comments. She didn't insist the least qualified candidate be choosen by our party.

Obama inexperience is his problem and he has made it the party's problem. He is selling our party down the river for his own ambitions.

[JimGinPA]

20. And I Thought A Christmas Goose Was Full Of Shit!

The only one selling the party down the river is The Goldwater Girl, and her "35 years of experience" consist of tea parties and riding her husbands coattails to the senate.

[BzaDem]

23. MagsDem, you are spot on.

[mmonk]

28. Everybody knows how experienced Bill Clinton was.

[MagsDem]

40. 12 yrs running a state at an executive level is a lot of experience

Sure as hell beats none that Obama has. Keep in mind he has been running for president, effectively, since he was elected to the senate.

[mmonk]

53. That's what they said about bush.

Obama has elected federal government experience. And if we're all honest, none of the candidates has experience as the president of the U.S..

[MadHound]

63. Oh yeah, inexperienced like Bill Clinton,

Who never held a national office before the presidency. Inexperienced like Carter, JFK, FDR or TR. Sorry, but the people of the US don't have a problem with inexperience, they've voted it in more than a few times throughout our history.

[cottonseed]

70. Molly Ivins predicted a young candidate. Whatever it took to beat Hillary.

[Georgie_92]

14. This stinks.

[writes3000]

16. Ummmm, I don't see anything here that changes my estimation.

I think Obama wins tonight by 8% or 9%.

Repubs are voting for Hillary to prolong the race? No surprise.

[TexasLady]

19. yeah, repukes were bragging about it

on our local rightwing radio show after the election results on the fourth.
:puke:

[book_worm]

18. we'll find out in about two hours.

[writes3000]

21. One last point about Mississippi

Blacks make up the majority of Dem voters in Mississippi. Think about it.

The whites are for the most part, not Dems.

So is it any surprise that half of Clinton voters like McCain?

It does not tell us how many Clinton voters there were.

[Drunken Irishman]

22. Don't read too much into it. Remember, Clinton gets the conservative Democratic vote.

She has for a while now. That's a lot of her base, which could explain why they like McCain.

But having a favorable opinion of McCain doesn't mean they want him to be president.

[democrattotheend]

25. Just saw this somewhere

Again, not sure what it means or whether it's true:

An exit poll reported by the AP minutes ago concludes that 60% of Obama voters said he should pick Clinton for vice president if he wins the nomination. Four in 10 Clinton voters said she should pick Obama as her running mate if she wins.

Obama voters also were more likely to be satisfied if Clinton wins the nomination than vice versa.
Is the Obama vote in Mississippi softer than anticipated based on demographics?

Stay tuned.

[writes3000]

32. Chuck Todd is saying Mississippi results look like GA and LA.

Which suggests a strong win for Obama.

[democrattotheend]

37. Yeah, that sounds good

I would really like to see him break 30% with the white vote. Polls had him lower than that...in Alabama she won the white vote 3-1, but in Georgia it wasn't so bad.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

39. No, those attitudes are consistent. You wouldn't guess it from DU, but

Clinton is more popular with Obama voters than visa-versa.

Obama has become really unpopular with Clinton voters. Only about 45% of them have a favorable opinion of him.

Clinton does a little better with Obama voters, being viewed favorably by a little over 50% of them.

Both of those are REALLY low numbers, and not great news.

[writes3000]

45. Hmmmm, could it be because Hillary has taken an axe to Obama? No, that can't be it. Oy. n/t

[writes3000]

30. Mississippi Exit Poll: Obama More Ready to Be Commander in Chief - Leads By 11%

Just stated on MSNBC

[democrattotheend]

33. 11% on commander in chief question?

That sounds pretty good. That means he will probably win by a margin similar to that, or perhaps a few points higher.

[Barack_America]

36. I've already seconded this in my post below.

I heard it too. So no mistake.

[Barack_America]

31. Um, MSNBC just announced their early exit polls.

Looks pretty good for Obama.

He wins:
-Trustworthiness (by like 20%)
-Better commander in chief (by 10%)
-More fair

etc, etc

[book_worm]

38. better commander in chief by ten that is pretty good. Trustworthiness is a given.

[Bake]

51. Trusworthiness is NEVER a given.

It's going to be a sad day among the O-bots when they discover their cult leader has feet of clay.

Bake

[Renew Deal]

35. Hillary's voters are republicans

No surprise there. It showed up in polling too.

[jackson_dem]

60. I thought getting rethug support was great and a sign of "crossover appeal"?

[Beacool]

42. Yep, sounds about right!

Same thing I've heard here in Jersey and we are a blue state:

More than half of Clinton voters said they had a favorable opinion of McCain; only about a quarter of Obama voters viewed McCain favorably.


Reminder: united we stand, divided we fall.........

:eyes:

[Tropics_Dude83]

46. Bea,

Is it because NJ voters kind of look at Obama like a evangelical preacher? Compare him to Al Sharpton et al? Is that why they don't like him. Like I'm trying to understand it and I think I kind of get it. I guess to put it succintly, they look at him as "Preacher Obama?"

Now I don't share that view at all as we all WELL know but it would help me to understand dem's attraction to Mccain.

[writes3000]

47. They don't like him because they've listened to HILLARY for weeks.

The level of attacks from Hillary towards Obama are incredible.

He's a liar.
He has nothing he can bring to the White House but a speech.
You're in danger and your kids are in danger if Obama is President.
He's only where he is because he's black.

Hmmm, I wonder why the Hillary side doesn't like him.

[Beacool]

55. The main reasons.....................

The first one is the most important:

- Lack of experience, repeated by everybody who opposes him.

- Too slick, smooth operator, etc. They don't believe that he is who he appears to be. We in Jersey are a skeptical bunch.

- The "Messiah" complex. Many people are turned off by his quasi-preacher speeches and by the overemotional supporters at his rallies.

- The race card. White working class people are upset by the pandering to one group of people and how that turned into massive votes for Obama over the other candidates.

- The next one is only said in hushed tones and only to those they trust: he has a Muslim name.

- The race thing no one says aloud, but I'm sure it's right under the surface.

[Beacool]

57. One more reason to unite or fall under the sword together:

On several counts, Obama voters were more charitable toward Clinton than vice versa:

_ Six in 10 Obama voters said he should pick Clinton for vice president if he wins the nomination; four in 10 Clinton voters said she should pick Obama as her running mate if she wins.

_ Nearly three-fourths of Clinton voters said they would be dissatisfied if Obama wins the nomination. Little more than half of Obama voters would be dissatisfied with Clinton.

_ Nearly half of Obama voters said Clinton has offered clear and detailed plans to solve the country's problems. Only about one in five Clinton voters said that about Obama.

This is not only in MS.......

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

48. Don't worry about it. Miss. is a lost cause to the dems anyway...

[skipos]

49. Either Hillary is turning her supporters onto McCain, or "Limbaugh for Hil" is having an effect

We all see that most polls have Obama doing better against McCain than Hillary, so I am not worried regardless.

[democrattotheend]

59. Whoa, bad news

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jld3VILFDbEY6uciu_lp_YgBnGqwD8VBG9480

Says African Americans are about half the primary voters. That's down 6% from 2004, if true. Probably Katrina fallout.

[jackson_dem]

61. That's the only number that matters. We know this vote will be on racial lines

The color with the higher number will win. How sad. :(

[Tropics_Dude83]

62. SHOCKER-Exit polls Clinton leading 52-48 per internet

[democrattotheend]

66. That was posted before 5 PM. Likely to be BS

It's highly unlikely that legitimate, weighted exit poll data gets leaked before 5.

[MadBadger]

67. haha, funny funny?

[MadBadger]

64. Roughly half could be 53% or so.

[AtomicKitten]

68. HRC only scored 43% as best suited to be CiC compared to Obama's 53%.

that's the point

[MadBadger]

69. Looking at previous numbers, I think the result will he higher than Alabama, lower than Georgia

So his win will be between 14-36 points. If I had to guess, It would be a 22 point victory, 60-38.

[AtomicKitten]

71. sounds good to me

:)

[Thrill]

73. How the hell does any Democrat have a favorable opinion of McCain?

I don't get it

[democrattotheend]

74. Does rightpundits.com have any credibility?

People there claim to have inside sources...one says Clinton is winning. Has this site ever been right before?

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=1233#comment-169393