IOWA UPDATE, PART II

[helderheid]

Posted: Sunday, March 16, 2008 9:34 AM by Chuck Todd
From NBC's Chuck Todd
Last night, when I reported the net gain of 7 delegates for Obama out of yesterday's 99 county Democratic conventions, it was based on 96% of conventions reporting. But there were two Cong. districts where Edwards was teetering on the edge of viability, the 1st and the 4th. Well, Edwards teetered the wrong way and Obama netted the delegates. So, here are the final results:

Statewide: Obama won 52%, Clinton 32% and Edwards 16%. There are 16 delegates split up proportionately with Obama nabbing 8 delegates to Clinton's 5 and Edwards' 3.

Cong. District 1 (6 delegates): Obama won 54% to Clinton's 31% and Edwards' 14% (no viability). Obama won these delegates 4-2.

Cong. District 2 (7 delegates): Obama won 51% to Clinton's 30% to Edwards' 19%. Obama won these delegates 4-2-1

Cong. District 3: (6 delegates): Obama won 51% to Clinton's 31% to Edwards 18%. Obama won these delegates 3-2-1.

Cong. District 4: (6 delegates): Obama won 55% to Clinton's 34% to Edwards' 11% (no viability). Obama won these delegates 4-2.

Cong. District 5 (4 delegates): Obama won 47% to Clinton's 37% and Edwards' 15%. Obama won these delegates 2-1-1.

So the overall delegate take for each candidate: 25 for Obama (that's up from 16 during the Jan. 3 caucuses). 14 for Clinton (that's down one from her 15 during Jan. 3). And 6 hung with Edwards, that's down from 14 on Jan. 3.

So here's the new delegate total

Pledged Count: Obama leads 1,409-1,250
Superdelegates: Clinton leads 253-217
OVERALL TOTAL: Obama leads 1,626-1,503

Obama netted 10 delegates from this new Iowa exercise; that's more delegates than Clinton netted out of Ohio on March 4. Wonder if the Clintons want those negative comments about caucuses back? Will this negative caucus talk cost Clinton more delegates when other caucus states meet for state conventions?

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/16/773831.aspx

[Coexist]

1. nice to see.

thanks for the numbers.

[BumRushDaShow]

2. Thanks for update but I am confused...?

Some recent reports say Obama netted 10 delegates and others say he netted 9 and Clinton netted 1. :shrug:

Hopefully this contradiction will be resolved!

[helderheid]

4. I'm in Utah ... I won't be able to clear that up! :) I just posted what I found.

[Coexist]

6. he got 9, Clinton -1 - that gives him a 10 delegate lead

that is now I read it.

[helderheid]

7. Ah!

[sunnystarr]

16. Yet they reported on CNN that he got 7 more out of Iowa

which is it? It would be nice to get some agreement on the delegate count. Every station reports something different.

[BumRushDaShow]

18. Yeah... it is confusing!

But thanks all for posting and trying to help!!! :) :thumbsup:

[Patsy Stone]

3. Thanks for posting that.

K&R

[Debi]

5. Black Hawk County (part of 1st CD)

63 for Obama, 33 for Clinton and 21 for Edwards (change from caucus 50 for Obama, 33 for Clinton and 30 for Edwards)

http://www.iowademocrats.us/draftconventionresults.pdf

[Dr.Phool]

8. Edwards is on a role!

:rofl:

[book_worm]

9. those super delegate totals have really closed. Obama will eventually lead in SD's as well.

[MagickMuffin]

10. Sounds like good numbers for Obama

:kick: & RRRRRRR

[grantcart]

11. This is such a good update thank you very much

Edwards will not be able to maintain viability thru the next two steps to the state convention so Edwards 6 delegates will end up going somewhere else.

Details here:


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5105540


With your kind permission I will reference your great thread in my thread.

[helderheid]

12. Reference away!

:hi:

[Coexist]

15. I wonder if the break in his supporters to Obama will "freeze" his endoresement of Clinton?

what do you think?

[helderheid]

17. I haven't seen one link that Edwards will endorse HRC - where is all this chatter coming from?

[Coexist]

19. on the Chris Matthews show this am. He said Mark Halperin from Time broke it

I don't see it on The Page, but he may be holding it until the official endorsement.

[helderheid]

21. I think it's just a rumor. I just cannot imagine it after this:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=Xd8toeUkVzc

Cue to 7:28

[Coexist]

22. I can't imagine, after his supporters, in the only state where he had a decent showing,

broke for Obama.

[helderheid]

23. exactly.

[helderheid]

13. self k

[Scurrilous]

14. Thanks.

K & R :thumbsup:

[helderheid]

20. k