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Clinton operatives admit that she has less then a 10% chance of winning the nomination

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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:51 PM
Original message
Clinton operatives admit that she has less then a 10% chance of winning the nomination
So why are we still doing this bullshit and killing the party??

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.

Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.

Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.

People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.

As it happens, many people inside Clinton’s campaign live right here on Earth. One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives.

In other words: The notion of the Democratic contest being a dramatic cliffhanger is a game of make-believe.

The real question is why so many people are playing.

::SNIP:: More at link....

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9149.html
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. Why are they doing it?
So she can run again in 2012, against McCain.
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Cooley Hurd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:54 PM
Response to Original message
2. "...why are we still doing this bullshit and killing the party?"
One word... ego.
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DemBones DemBones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. It's Obama's ego that's the problem.

He may win the nomination but he will lose to McCain.

HRC could have won easily this year but this egomaniacal freshman senator couldn't wait to jump into the race.

Obama is a stalking horse for the GOP or the BFEE.
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Cooley Hurd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:03 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Your crystal ball is cracked...
Yeah... we're gonna lose to McBush.:eyes:
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. IT WAS HER TURN!!!!!!!
Shut up.
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 04:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
15. Is that how you translate the most votes?
Ego? :rofl:
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KAZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
17. How embarrassing for you.
You act as if a child. "It's mine, mine, mine".
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Splinter Cell Donating Member (498 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #6
18. ?
I think you've had a few too many. :puke:
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Umbram Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #6
22. If this post were an animal, I would have it stuffed and mounted on my wall
Edited on Fri Mar-21-08 06:50 PM by Umbram
Oh, wait...I'm a vegetarian, I guess I wouldn't...

I'd have it bronzed.

No...I'd tivo it, yes...
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
14. yes, ego.
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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
16. It is more than ego....It is MONEY.
The same people that own the Republican Party also own the Republican Wing of the Democratic Party (DLC).

If "Their Girl" can't win the nomination, they would prefer McCain to Obama.
It means BIG MONEY to them.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
3. Killing the party? Making states that never before counted, actually count?
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. You're blind
You really are, you can't see at all what is going on around you.
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FARAFIELD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 02:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. Its hard to give up the dream
If she was running a clean campaign i could see it, but this kitchen sink wing-ding just makes the fact she cant win more nauseating.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Kick for the truth. Its OVER. Her own Campaign admits that.
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Brinee Donating Member (40 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. BINGO!
I lost it for Hillary when she started behaving like a Repuke.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:50 PM
Response to Original message
11. K & R
:thumbsup:
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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 03:56 PM
Response to Original message
12. How can you really take statements like this seriously?
"One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives."

Important Clinton advisor?

Estimated to Politico privately?

Echoed by other operatives?

What a lot of BS.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Because I can do the math as well and know that its the truth.
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Lucky 13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:48 PM
Response to Reply #12
19. I'll give you that....
While I do think that conversation actually happened and she has LESS than a 10% chance of winning...
I think the source of the info is crappy. BTW did you see the Edwards endorsement on Leno last night?
:eyes:
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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:54 PM
Response to Reply #19
23. Yeah. It was great the way he was just going on and on about
how he couldn't wait to have dinner with them in the White House.

And Bill Clinton on Limbaugh today was just over the top! Hope you got to hear that.
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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:48 PM
Response to Original message
20. Partisan Clinton Campaign Operatives give Hillary a 10% chance!
They are being overly optimistic.
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Mike03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 06:49 PM
Response to Original message
21. If that's true, then please, Hillary, just quit. I can't take any more of this
war among us.

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Bensthename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-21-08 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
24. Clinton thinks if she is not going to win, she will take Oabam down with her
True
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