NBC NEWS POLL

[monicaaida]

FAV RATING OBAMA= 49/CLINTON=39

UNFAV= OBAMA= 27/CLINTON 54


CLINTON= 40

MCCAIN 42



OBAMA 44

MCCAIN 42

[shadowknows69]

1. Looking good

It's time Hillary

[papau]

51. not looking good is this is 2nd poll that has 20% of Hillary supporters supporting McCain if Obama

[JackORoses]

71. they'll come back when they realize that a vote fro McCain is a vote to nix Roe v Wade

[bluestateguy]

2. I think Obama has survived Pastorgate

Damaged? Yes, but he survived. Better now than in October.

[frogcycle]

9. that word is dangerously similar to...

well, you know, Pee Wee Herman got in trouble

:rofl:

[CreekDog]

42. At least she got herself worse than she got him

Uhhh...:wtf: :dilemma:

[Cha]

55. hilary needs to sharpen her fucking knives..she's falling

down on the job.

[polichick]

3. Very interesting! Welcome to DU :)

[skater314159]

32. Yeah! Welcome to DU!!!

:hi:

Glad to have you!

:hug:

[Bullet1987]

4. This was DURING the Wright Controversy?

[MadBadger]

7. Nah, I believe the poll was taken 24-25

[npincus]

5. Super-Ds, are you listening?

[MadBadger]

6. Obama 45 (+2), Hillary 45 (-2)

She lead in the poll taken right after Ohio/Texas

[democrattotheend]

8. What's McCain's favorability rating?

Have they said?

[Pirate Smile]

12. I believe it was lower then Obama but higher then Clinton. Her negatives made a big jump.

[skater314159]

33. And what's his Unfav rating? nt

[redstate_democrat]

10. What the hell are the superdelegates waiting for?

Stop being the cowards you are and come out for our nominee.

[karynnj]

11. Thanks for posting this - and welcome to DU

All of this looks great for Obama. HRC's unfavorables are really getting high.

[XemaSab]

13. Interesting

Looks like the good ship Obama got through the rapids in one piece. :D

The good ship Hillary, on the other hand...

[Purveyor]

14. This must be the polling numbers Chris Mathews has been talking about. Say's he will discuss them

on his 7pm est show.

Sweet numbers, btw.

[monmouth]

15. Bet this is Tweety's "staggering" news....n/t

[hell-bent]

16. Why did you forget to mention that

they were tied at 45-45 among Democrats for the nomination? Was it because the Messiah wouldn't be pleased?

[jefferson_dem]

19. Messiah?

You're cute.

Where's your profile? Hmmm...

[hell-bent]

24. I have a nice profile I have been told

by numerous women. :>)

[VolcanoJen]

39. Hmmmm.

eHarmony?

[anonymous171]

30. There goes the "obama isn't supported by true democrats" argument.

Apparently, 20% of true democrats plan on voting for McCain if Obama gets the nom. No wonder our party is doing bad.

[jefferson_dem]

17. Details from Chuck Todd at First Read - - -

Duplicate post from other thread ---

From NBC's Chuck Todd
As expected, one of the two major Democratic candidates saw a downturn in the latest NBC/WSJ poll, but it's not the candidate that you think. Hillary Clinton is sporting the lowest personal ratings of the campaign. Moreover, her 37% positive rating is the lowest the NBC/WSJ poll has recorded since March 2001, two months after she was elected to the U.S. Senate from New York.

The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday this week by Hart-McInturff and surveyed 700 registered voters, which gives the poll a margin of error of +/- 3.7%. In addition, we oversampled African-Americans in order to get a more reliable cross-tab on many of the questions we asked in this poll regarding Sen. Barack Obama's speech on race and overall response to last week's Rev. Jeremiah Wright dustup.

On that issue specifically, 32% of folks said he "sufficiently addressed the issue," while 26% of those folks believe he needs to address the Wright controversy further; 31% of voters surveyed did not see the speech or had no opinion. Interestingly, of those voters who said they saw the speech, 47% said Obama sufficiently addressed the Wright issue while 37% said he needs to address it further. Among whites, 45% were satisfied with Obama's explanation, 38% were not; Among blacks, 67% said the speech was sufficient while 25% want him to address it further.

Overall, 55% of voters told us that they were "disturbed" by the Rev. Jeremiah Wright videos that circulated so widely on cable TV and the Internet.

As for the damage this controversy did or didn't do to Obama, it's a mixed bag. Yes, Obama saw some of his numbers go down slightly among certain voting groups, most notably Republicans. But he's still much more competitive with independent voters when matched up against John McCain than Hillary Clinton. And he still sports a net-positive personal rating of 49-32, which is down only slightly from two weeks ago when it was 51-28. Again, the biggest shift in those negative numbers were among Republicans.

On one of the most critical questions we've been tracking for a few months, Obama showed resilience. When asked if the three presidential candidates could be successful in uniting the country if they were elected president, 60% of all voters believed Obama could be successful at doing this, 58% of all voters said McCain could unite the country while only 46% of voters said the same about Clinton. All three candidates saw dips on this issue, by the way. In January, 67% thought Obama could unite the country; 68% thought McCain could do it; and 55% said Clinton would be able to pull it off.

The fact they all three dropped equally in the last three months is a sign that the campaign is becoming more ideological and partisan.

In the head-to-head matchups, there weren't huge shifts in the numbers with Obama and Clinton dead even at 45% in the national Democratic primary matchup (a slight increase for Obama from early March). In the general-election matchups, Obama led McCain by 2 points and McCain led Clinton by 2 points; all margin of error results and nothing to get too excited over.

One thing about these head-to-head matchups: our pollsters found that for the second poll in a row, more than 20% of Clinton and Obama supporters say they would support McCain when he's matched up against the other Democrat. There is clearly some hardening of feelings among some of the most core supporters of both Democrats, though it may be Obama voters, who are more bitter in the long run.

Why? Because among Obama voters, Clinton has a net-negative personal rating (35-43) while Clinton voters have a net-positive view of Obama (50-29). Taken together, this appears to be evidence that Obama, intially, should have the easier time uniting the party than Clinton.

Considering the doom-and-gloom some predicted for Obama with regard to the Wright controversy, the overall tenor of the electorate appears to still be favorable for him. He's mortal, but he's survived... for now. It's not clear whether he'd be this resilient if another controversy exploded as big as Wright, but it appears that voters are giving him the benefit of doubt. There's lots of evidence inside these numbers that voters still would like to know more about Obama, and that is both an opportunity and a potential obstacle.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/26/821438.aspx

[Cha]

59. Get out there and lie somemore, hilary..

it's good for our eventual Democracy. hilary the uniter against herself..so reminds of bush.

[Adelante]

18. Welcome to DU, Monica

Do you have a link to where you got those numbers? Thank you.

[jefferson_dem]

20. Some here -

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/26/821438.aspx

:hi:

[Adelante]

27. Thanks, sweetie

I was just reading from your post above. We're doing so good :hug:

[Life Long Dem]

21. It's only climbing for Obama.

[hell-bent]

29. Please tell me how "it's only climbing for Obama"

when they are tied,45-45, for the nomination among democrats?. What are you guys drinking?:wtf:

[anonymous171]

34. Hillary can only go down, Obama only up. And that's only among democrats.

[FrenchieCat]

36. Obama has never been up or tied with Clinton in this poll......

that's why.

Educate or medicate yourself, whatever is required for you to take that news.

[Nitrogenica]

22. Welcome, Monica.

:toast:

I'm seeing some pretty good numbers for Obama all over the web.

He's been damaged, but he did not fall.

[Jersey Devil]

23. Wow! look at the fav/unfav numbers

I wonder if snipergate is included in the dates polled. Anyone know?

[FrenchieCat]

46. Nope....SniperGate was mainly yesterday........

and will eat away some more at her negatives.

[City Lights]

25. Where's the "staggering" part?

:shrug:

[FrenchieCat]

37. Hillary's negative climbed by waaaayyyyy more than Obama's did.

That the staggering part, and the part that the superdelegates will be looking at.

[City Lights]

48. IMHO, it's to be expected, so I don't find it "staggering."

I would consider it staggering if Hilliary's toilet bowl strategy had fooled people. :-)

I imagine she hasn't bottomed out yet either, since her "misspeak" or "misremember" hadn't been fully realized when this poll was taken.

[hulka38]

26. Let her sink.

[stillcool]

53. good one..

[C_U_L8R]

28. That's a lot of self-inflicted wounds there Hillary fans

Wow. I wasn't expecting that at all.
That is staggering news for the Clintons.

[skater314159]

31. I can't believe her unfav is *54%* and ppl still think she has a chance! nt

[Cha]

60. People don't think it. It's the m$$$m and her surrogates

who are pushing for the Obama over a cliff scenario.

[meow mix]

35. These Number Mean Hillary has NO "Argument" to take to the SD's

which she wants to do, talk them into throwing the election for her.

[FrenchieCat]

40. The only argument the the Hillary camp have is that her supporters won't vote for Barack!

How convenient! Many are women who apparently don't mind risking the Supreme Court and their choice to choose in order to stub their nose up at Obama and the Democratic party. That's funny without being funny.....but it means that its a bunch of bullshit.

Plus the SD can realize that Obama will bring in enough voters to make up for the artificial deficit (that will be the Obama camp's argument on that)....and that appears to bear out via the evidence of how the primary voting season has been going.

54% dissaproval will not make the sale, Hillary! Sorry.

[meow mix]

57. plus the worse effect of "revenge voting" takes place among older, southern, whites.

that will be negated with a strong showing from the black vote. and still capture us GA and NC

i dont think the revenge will be able to hurt as much as they like to think..

[Cha]

62. The ones she has

left.

[Name removed]

38. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Name removed]

43. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[meow mix]

52. ? alert tina as well..

you should lighten up a little =p

[Shakespeare]

54. I don't need to lighten up.

And before you accuse me of being a hillbot, kindly note that I'm an Edwards supporter who supports neither Obama nor Clinton, but I DO alert on inappropriate trash like the "bitches" post above (for BOTH of the candidates).

[meow mix]

58. it was clearly a SNL reference.. yes..

still in need of lighting ;p

[Cha]

63. Clearly! I guess the only one who's allowed to

reference snl is hilary or hilary's supporters on DU when they were all a twitter about "bitch being the new black"..until Tracy Morgan came along and said something like, "The President is Black, take that bitch".

[Shakespeare]

68. This place is all upside down.

I'm not a supporter of either candidate (for the zillionth time, I'm an Edwards supporter, and will support the eventual nominee), but it was my understanding that it was decidedly un-kosher to call other posters "bitches" around here.

Color me surprised.

[Shakespeare]

67. Apparently, it's OK to call other posters bitches, but not OK to say it's inappropriate.

What the fuck ever.

[angie_love]

69. I wasn't calling other posters "bitches". it was a joke. damn!

[TheDonkey]

41. Wow. Look at Hillary's unfavorables. That's what the Tonya Harding Option will do

[Bad Thoughts]

44. Obama vs. Gore

I think the race is getting to a point in which Clinton can do little to Obama that does not affect her as well. And it seems as if she is content to be more negative regardless of the the impact on her own image. The more she damages Obama, the more she damages herself, making her a less attractive nominee in the GE. Rather than looking at how Obama and Clinton match up, pollsters should start tracking at what point Obama could be dragged down enough that the party would look for an alternative, someone like Gore.

[Cha]

65. Back to reality..Gore doesn't want it and Obama

has the fire in his belly and he's going to win and there's a whole lot of us who are going to be very happy about that.

[Bad Thoughts]

66. no fantasy

My point is that the race is now Obama vs. Dark Horse.

[BenDavid]

45. 55% said they were disturbed about pastor wright and his

anti white, anti america comments.....and one really does not know how this will break. The indicator would be in Penn. If for some reason HRC gets 70% plus white folk vote then you can tell yourself obama is done in the general election.

As for the favorable rating of Clinton, I would say, unlike obama who believes he can bring about national harmony is full of it. HRC wants to win and with the help of a dem congress will change the path america is on, irregardless of any republican support in congress.....

[GarbagemanLB]

50. Over a week after the Wright story broke, and Obama is IN FRONT of Hillary! Also, THIS DOESN'T

include the full response to Snipergate! Keep living in dreamland!

[Lucky 13]

47. Rut Roh!

Those polls sure are fickle, huh? Bet she won't take this poll to the superdelegates.

[walldude]

49. Ooh another poll

this one different from yesterday's which was different from the day before that, and the day before that.. Whoopie! :eyes:


Oh and this comes from an Obama supporter...

[Cha]

56. Thanks for the good news polls and

Welcome to DU, monicaaida!

[BumRushDaShow]

61. Thanks for posting.

I wish the media would stop framing their discussions by always suggesting or wishing "ill" to Obama as a way for Clinton to win. I never see any article talking about Hillary having some controvery blow up on her to cause her to further lose. :eyes:

[mzmolly]

64. Thanks for the info and WELCOME!

:hi:

[Strelnikov_]

70. 54% Unfavorable

Oh, but she is more 'electable'.

[cooolandrew]

72. ROCKY ROCKY. *da da da da dah de dah*

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cavFoyYJwPQ

[Name removed]

73. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[VolcanoJen]

74. Welcome to DU, monicaaida!

:bounce: :toast: :bounce: :toast:

[LVjinx]

75. "In addition, we oversampled African-Americans"

I can't help but notice you, quite accidentally of course, forgot to mention that in the text of your post. Do we think that using a disproportionately large set of black respondants might alter the numbers somewhat, hmm?