New Gallup tracking poll: Obama 50 Clinton 42

[milkyway]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105814/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Back-Into-Lead-Democratic-Race.aspx

I'm hesitant to agree with Gallup, and Pew yesterday, that this shows Obama has weathered the storm over Wright. I think it is as much a reflection of Hillary's Bosnia story. The Wright controversy took hold on Friday the 14th, and Obama dipped from there. He never did get back up to pre-Wright numbers (50-42) until after the Bosnia story, which has just kicked in the last couple of days.

What it does show is that, at least temporarily, the Bosnia story negates the Wright story.

[Hieronymus]

1. Yesssss

[papau]

2. WSJ reports 45 to 45 in full nationwide poll 2 days old - not small daily sample like Gallup

[Zueda]

3. Rupert likes him some Hillary.

[adoraz]

4. Gallup is a 3 day average...

[democrattotheend]

11. And I believe they poll 1,000 people every night

That's what their website says. Pretty amazing.

[gabeana]

6. That's not so bad

considereing he was down by 4 in that same poll two weeks ago (47-43), don't you agree?
He's made up ground and this after the Wright story broke

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

[Colobo]

5. Gobama!

[RiverStone]

7. Great news --- I hope the Super Delegates are paying attention

[LSparkle]

8. Which poll has him up 10 points? (Like 45-35?)

I know it was a national survey but I don't remember the source.

[milkyway]

9. Pew, 49-39, but it was a national poll of everybody, not just Dems or Dem primary voters.

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?PageID=1276

Summary of Findings

The videos of Rev. Jeremiah Wright's controversial sermons and Barack Obama's subsequent speech on race and politics have attracted more public attention than any events thus far in the 2008 presidential campaign. A majority of the public (51%) said they heard "a lot" about the videos, and an even larger percentage (54%) said they heard a lot about Obama's speech, according to the weekly News Interest Index.

Most voters aware of the sermons say they were personally offended by Wright's comments, and a sizable minority (35%) says that their opinion of Obama has grown less favorable because of Wright's statements.

However, the Wright controversy does not appear to have undermined support for Obama's candidacy. The latest nationwide survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted March 19-22 among 1,503 adults, finds that Obama maintains a 49% to 39% advantage over Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, which is virtually unchanged from than the 49% to 40% lead he held among Democrats in late February. Obama and Clinton continue to enjoy slight advantages over John McCain in general election matchups among all registered voters.

[DerekJ]

10. K & R

Yeeehhhhaaa
:bounce: