Mississippi certified returns have been updated - Obama +1, Clinton -1

[thevoiceofreason]

Last week I wrote a math nerd alert where it seemed the official state summary did not match with a couple of counties (where the absentee and mail-in returns broke strong for Obama). Today, the Mississippi Secretary of State posted the new numbers. The final tally is:

Obama - 265,502
Clinton - 159,221

That gives Obama a heads-up 62.512% victory, which WILL switch another state-wide at-large delegate to him (there are 4 statewide pledged PLEO's in Mississippi, so 62.5% is the tipping point for them to break 3-1 instead of 2-2).

Net net? Now Mississippi broke 20-13.

On another note, Obama's margin of victory in Mississippi no longer "almost eclipsed" Hillary's primary margin in Texas - it completely surpassed it. To all you popular vote total affecianadoes, the hill just got a little steeper.

I wonder when the media will catch this and update.

GOBAMA

Edited to add link:

www.sos.state.ms.us/elections/2008/Primary/Democratic.asp

(click the statewide recapitulation)

[grantcart]

1. what the uninformed reader may not be aware of

is that his research may have resulted in them correcting some small errors and the change in delegate count

excellent work

[grantcart]

2. Just so you are aware I posted an update at Demcomwatch with a link

back to this thread so that more people can be aware of your outstanding work.

[thevoiceofreason]

4. Thanks Grant. Hot dangit!

[DerekJ]

58. kick

[DerekJ]

3. Please post this update on BarackObama.com website. Great work.

Thanks :) :yourock:

[karynnj]

5. It has to be amazing for you that your diligent examination of the

results actually does make things tougher for HRC in delegates and popular vote. Congratulaions!

[TheDoorbellRang]

6. You are so totally awesome!

Here's to MATH DUDES! :applause:

[DevonRex]

7. K&R nt

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

8. Theoretically, these changes due to finished counting should be split even.

With half of them in favor of Obama, other half for Clinton.

Is that what's happening?

[grantcart]

11. by 12/1000s of a one percent he found errors in the reporting of the math

from the counties. That changed the split from 2-2 to Obama 3-Clinton 1.

It is worth two superdelegates even better.

[grantcart]

9. This irritatingly modest DUer is worth 2 superdelegates

How did he do it?

Read it here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5237601

[crispini]

15. OMG! I missed that thread!

That's amazing! :wow:

Thanks, TVOR! :toast:

Ok, you TOTALLY need to come to Austin and I will buy you a drink! Because you deserve it. Wow, you helped Obama pick up a delegate! AMAZING! :toast:

[grantcart]

17. actually Obama+2 he also took one away from Clinton so that would be 2 drinks

[thevoiceofreason]

31. I'll take you up on that drink offer!

[crispini]

40. It's a deal!

:toast:

Can't wait til June! Hotel is booked! :bounce:

[Renew Deal]

10. lol, don't tell herman munster

He'll have to find some other bullshit excuse why Hillary didn't lose MS.

[Tatiana]

12. Hey, outstanding job!

:toast:

[grantcart]

13. Error: You've already recommended that thread.

[myrna minx]

14. Thanks for posting. K&R.

[berni_mccoy]

16. Great WORK! K&R!

[FedoraLV]

18. Fine attention to detail! /nt

[grantcart]

19. kick

[grantcart]

20. have informed the Obama campaign of your great work

[thevoiceofreason]

22. Thanks - it's quarterly review day, so I got busy this p.m.

[John Q. Citizen]

21. Plus 2 is huge. Do that everyday and in a month it's sixty delegates. Hill takes a step back which

is also good.

Obamna has been near perfect in supers.

[CreekDog]

23. Mississippi doesn't count

Oh, but wait until Kentucky! :eyes:

[FatDave]

24. I am totally in awe of you

Me, I was born without the math gene (which sucks because I would've liked to study physics). But major kudos to you for not only discovering this and getting it corrected, but for checking the numbers in the first place.

[Spazito]

25. I just read the previous thread where you put the numbers together...

and contacted the SOS on this, excellent work!

Recommended.

[caseycoon]

26. K&R Great job!

MUCH appreciated!

:applause:
:yourock:

[phrigndumass]

27. Big Thanks, thevoiceofreason!

Hill got steeper? :spray:

I also enjoyed your posts from the Texas county caucus.

[thevoiceofreason]

28. Thanks - you are the only one to comment on my quip!

It's a hoot. Now, I'm going to do the intensive training to be on the state legal team for the credentials challenges in June.

[phrigndumass]

29. Keyword "Intensive"

Does the state party give you the training, or is it done by the state elections commission, or self-study?

Good luck with that, and thanks so much for doing what you do for our party!

[thevoiceofreason]

30. Yes

Campaign does training, party does training and self-study. You bet. I like to argue.

[PseudoIntellect]

32. Excellent work.

KR

[Diane R]

33. I read the original thread. This is wonderful news. Shows why Obama's grassroots campaign works.

[grantcart]

34. And now here is the media catching up to you

I am guessing that this was a tip off by the Obama campaign after we told them this afternoon


http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/03/another_pledged_delegate_for_o.php

[thevoiceofreason]

36. I just went over there and posted.

That's pretty cool. I've never gone semi-public before!

[K Gardner]

38. You really SHOULD get some credit for this.. it is really admirable ! Thank you for not giving up !

[Rowdyboy]

35. I am a 7th generation native Mississippian and you, sir, are.....

my new hero! I knew that the numbers couldn't possibly be right but I was lazy and willing to sit back and let it happen. You weren't. Thank you! :toast:

[Barack_America]

37. Thanks for the update! This is so amazing!

I'm still in awe of what you did here!

:yourock:

[grantcart]

39. the rest of the story is that it has now been confirmed and reported in the media

[thevoiceofreason]

41. Just saw the analysis pop up on kos. I truly am having a great time tonight.

[jhwvertigo]

44. You are totally awesome

Hey, I posted the dairy on Kos about the net 2 after reading the Atlantic posting. I found your post of today before I posted but I learned from the comments the amazing story of how you found the error yourself. I updated the diary to put out your story. I gather you are lawyer (I am one too), you must serve your clients very well. Thank you so much!!!

[Barack_America]

68. jhwvertigo, Welcome to DU!

Lol! We post so much stuff here from the Kos website, that it's great to see it go the other way for a change!

:toast:

[Oilwellian]

42. Have you considered....

rechecking the numbers for all of the states? :P

What you have done is downright awesome and I LOVE math geeks. :toast:

[thevoiceofreason]

43. I have a trial next week.

But I need to do it after that, because the results will be final final before we know it.

And thanks - my wife thinks I'm going to be insufferable(r) now!

[jhwvertigo]

46. I think you are in Houston

i have a client in Houston at 912 Louisana St. I get you a drink at the Hyatt (where I generally stay). Jason

[thevoiceofreason]

47. Jason - thanks.

I can hit that building with a rock if I step outside of mine. Let me know (the Hyatt is across the street from me).

[jhwvertigo]

49. Jeff--good luck in your trial

I litigate and (sometimes try) business and IP case in California. Jason

[thevoiceofreason]

50. Thanks. I love it.

PM me next time you are in town.

[grantcart]

48. well the thing is that it would only happen in districts where they were a few

hundred votes off a splitting point

[ORDem]

45. drip ... drip ... drip ... ;^D

[ecstatic]

51. Thank you so much for caring and staying involved

and speaking up!

[eleny]

52. k&r for the power of one!!!

[ekwhite]

53. Let's hear it for math nerds!

You are just awesome. :applause:

[Khaotic]

54. The real question is ...

How many math dudes, congressmen, senators, party insiders, and U.S. citizens does it take to wake up Hillary to the fact that she can't win????

[TacticalPeek]

55. Nice.

Just one thing - in my experience and according to the SOS, we don't have mail-in balloting in Mississippi, so the only late-breaking strong disproportion toward Obama would have had to come only from absentee ballots.

[happygoluckytoyou]

56. GO'BAMA....(rhymes with YO'MAMA, so expect some good country western songs in 2009)

[DeeDeeNY]

57. K & R

[Thepricebreaker]

59. +1 is better then + none... slow and steady wins the race!

[dbmk]

60. Again another example

of why the blog community trumps the old media.

If this contest has shown anything it is that the old media is close to worthless when it comes to investigating and establishing cold hard facts.

thevoiceofreason, you are one of the prime reasons I love to spend time in places like this. Thanks doesn't quite cover it.
(Have you read some of the stuff by pocketnines on DKos? You two guys combined would be quite the force I think. :) )

[Fyddlestyx]

61. Great work! K & R

:woohoo:

[40ozDonkey]

62. Well played, sir!

I offer you this laurel, and hardy handshake!

[thevoiceofreason]

63. Thanks 40oz

[amk]

64. Thank you, Jeff aka thevoiceofreason

Dear Jeff aka thevoiceofreason

I am avid BHO supporter from India and fully rooting for him since I see a statesman not a typical pol in him.

Thanks for a great job. Does Obama know about this great news (not that they are dumb).

I read that you are also a lawyer for BHO camp in Texas. Good luck.

I will buy a beer (or two or three) and a great dinner and if you can come down to India. Unlike Barack, I couldn't afford to foot the flight ticket.

[thevoiceofreason]

65. Dang - my first comment from India!

Thanks, and WELCOME TO DU!

[amk]

66. Wow, that was a fast reply !

Wow, that was fast indded. How did you do that ?

[sonias]

67. Way to be the math nerd, TVOR!

I saw your other post on the 23rd and you were the "source" listed on a Daily Kos thread reporting the same thing.

Congratulations to you for catching this. Thank you for being so vigilant! :applause:

GOBAMA - Yes we can!!!

:woohoo:



Sonia

[thevoiceofreason]

72. Thanks - and great job in your convention!

[grantcart]

69. morning kick

[Lucky 13]

70. Ha. Chew on that.

[thevoiceofreason]

71. I love your tag line.

[Lucky 13]

75. TY. I'd love to take credit, but that's been around since way before THIS election season.

:)

[Justitia]

73. You rock, Eagle Eyes! Did you hear the latest re: TX?? The AP finally called it for OBAMA! -eom

[sonias]

74. Oh yea baby - Texas goes to Obama

We delivered. And it was the damn MSM that got it wrong on 3/4/08.

Obama always knew he could win Texas. Play by the rules, set your site on your goal and traverse the maze. He wins the the Texas Prima-Caucus!!

:woohoo:


Sonia

[WolverineDG]

76. k&r

:loveya: Thanks for all your hard work!

dg

[thevoiceofreason]

77. Hey! kos himself put me on the front page!

[sonias]

78. You are now recognized nationally as a math nerd

Congratulations TVOR! I love saying that. It makes me think of Vulcans - which I love. Live long and prosper, my friend!

:yourock:


Sonia

[Kokonoe]

79. Recommended

If it you did not do this, people like me would not come here every day. Your 2 delegates are worth 50 because, you cared!

[thevoiceofreason]

80. Thanks. What an exciting race.

I have 5 kids - 4 teenagers and a 21 yr old. There is a lot of talk around our house about the race. (Although I was not convinced by my kids - they saw my wife and I getting involved and, not to be outdone . . . You can guess the rest of the story).

[Melissa G]

81. TVOR, You are a Fine Texzun and a Great Amerikun...

You Truly ROCK!!! :yourock::bounce::bounce::bounce:
I too, will buy you a beer if you come down to Austin. :toast:

[grantcart]

82. appears to have been heard on MSNBC

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5342373&mesg_id=5342426