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Pennsylvania - Clinton's lead eroded down to +5

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krawhitham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:38 PM
Original message
Pennsylvania - Clinton's lead eroded down to +5
47 - 42
How will she spin it when she loses Pennsylvania?
Her numbers are dropping like a rock across the board, at this rate the only state she will win will be the State of Denial

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/pennsylvania_democratic_presidential_primary
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. Clinton will likely win PA. n/t
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Catherina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I think Obama couyld have an upset there but who knows n/t
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BklynChick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. Wow.
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Catherina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's one state she won't lose
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
3. The gap is closing.
Obama is going to crush her in Philly.
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nxylas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
5. One swallow does not make a summer
(Insert Monica Lewinsky joke here)

Seriously, though, I think it would be wise to wait a few days to see if this poll is part of an overall trend or just a statistical abberation before breaking out the champagne.
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rndmprsn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. K&R
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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. The margin of error gives her a 1% cushion.
Edited on Tue Apr-01-08 05:45 PM by BuyingThyme
Unless you're one of those schmucks who try to apply the margin of error to two statistics within the same survey, in which case she may be down by 3% at this point.
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LSparkle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:55 PM
Response to Original message
8. Good news, but no surprise
EVERY SINGLE TIME she has had a lead in a state, it has evaporated once Obama starts
campaigning there ... No wonder she's fighting so hard to get Florida's delegates
seated; that was one primary where his effective campaigning played no part in the
results.
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Firespirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. Sweet Goddess. I really didn't expect this.
Could it actually happen?

Let's just hope the media doesn't harp on the "fiercely contested state of PA" like they did with Ohio. This is ALREADY a "win" for Obama, according to his campaign's metrics.
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
10. PA Better Watch Out
Soon it will be added to the states that don't matter.
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
11. We're within reach !!
GOBAMA !!! We can do it !!!
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FlyingSquirrel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. Hey, quit posting these "close in PA" polls!
lol

I want it to look like Clinton's gonna win by 12-14% so when Obama only loses by 3-5% it'll look like he had a late surge!

Then he can call it "Buyer's remorse"

:)
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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:11 PM
Response to Original message
13. Keep stroking each other.
You forgot the RCP latest poll numbers. Clinton by 12 points in a Survey poll. Indiana, Clinton by 9 points. Kentucky, Clinton by 29 points. That's going to eat away at that popular vote lead. Can you Obama surrogates handle any bad news? Or, are you guys like the people at an Amway or Avon meeting? Hey, look at the good news, he bowled a 37! :>)
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 06:33 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. enjoy the quiet before the storm. we can handle our winner just fine.
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 07:11 PM
Response to Original message
16. dropping like a rock ?..
rasmussenreports is`t very good at polling anything. this is hillary`s other home state and she`ll win this one..:crazy:
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gcomeau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. She doesn't need to "win" it.
She needs a blowout. If she doesn't take it by at least 15 points she'd withdraw if she was being realistic... she already requires a 25 point average win in every remaining state just to catch up to Obama in pledged delegates let alone pass him so even winning PA by 15 is falling short and means she's running out of room, bumping the required margins up closer to 30 points in the last 9 contests to pull even. (And last time I checked Obama was taking NC by 15 to 18 in the polling there... 45 point swing towards Clinton? Not happening. She's unlikely to even pull even in Oregon either, let alone blow out Obama by 30 percent.)

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thoughtcrime1984 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-01-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
18. ERODING, E R O-O-O-ODDDIINNGGGG (picture Bruce Almighty). nt
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