Rasmussen daily graph for 4/2/08 - Obama down 2 (44), Clinton unchanged (45)

[DavidDvorkin]

(Pretend that the 10 and 20 lines are actually 0. Does anyone know how to make Excel label different parts of the axis differently?)

Gallup: http://www.gallup.com

These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[DavidDvorkin]

1. Shocking, just shocking

[rodeodance]

3. I see it as Hillary staying strong.

[DavidDvorkin]

4. Interesting

Long term, it does look like they've really settled into a tie, with the big ups and downs behind them.

Not very satisfying if you back one candidate strongly, as I do, but reality is so often uncooperative.

[rodeodance]

[C_U_L8R]

6. Getting Strong Now !

Trying hard now
it's so hard now
trying hard now

Getting strong now
won't be long now
getting strong now

Gonna fly now
flying high now
gonna fly, fly, fly...bwahahahahhahahahhahaha

[rodeodance]

2. REC

[lefty from jersey]

7. Wrong analysis...

The trend shows neither candidate can get any separation. All this in spite of the Bosnia debacle for Hillary and the Reverend Wright disaster for Obama. Neither candidate can win in the GE; they are too flawed.

I hope the Super Delegates hold their powder until the Convention and select a candidate that the party will unite behind and leave these two losers in the dustbin of Mondale/Dukakis irrelevancy. They both are flawed, have such high negatives and neither can bring in the moderates needed to win the GE.

The candidates are the reason there is so much venom, neither can give anyone a reason to support them, instead they try to show reasons not to support the other. This is like watching a train wreck.

[rodeodance]

8. I very much doubt SD will bring in someone new--if that is what you are implying.

[lefty from jersey]

10. That is what I am iplying

We have a train wreck in our future. Rather than a bitter fight and large numbers of Hillary or Obama lunatics deserting the GE; dump the two losers at the Convention. Forget Gore or Kerry they have already lost to a guy that should have never been elected in the first place. Forget the chads and other irrelevant crap, we should have won easily. Gore could not carry his own state.

Let's leave the anger and recriminations behind and get a strong candidate to lead the Party to a landslide in November.

[rodeodance]

13. too late for that

[DavidDvorkin]

14. How would Obama and Clinton backers react to that?

Some would feel relieved, but a large number of both would feel cheated. "My candidate put in all this time and effort, collected all those delegates, and now you're saying none of that counts and someone who never competed at all should get the nomination?" I think that would be a recipe for disaster.

Of course that's the way it used to be, and not all that long ago, but we've become accustomed to having a say in the process.

[SeaLyons]

9. Excellent...

:kick:

[MadBadger]

11. She can have the tracking poll...I'll take the PA Polls!

[hedgehog]

12. The linear trend tells a different story. nt

[DavidDvorkin]

16. Yes, but that's tricky

Those trend lines are very sensitive to how long a period they cover. I chose ten days because that seemed to be fairly standard on such graphs and because when I was covering a much longer period, the trend lines weren't showing recent changes at all. Now I think they're too sensitive to recent small changes. I might play with, say, 20 or 30 days and see how that looks. Maybe tomorrow.

[DavidDvorkin]

15. Gallup: Obama 49, Clinton 46