PPP poll has Obama ahead in PA 45- 43

[RDANGELO]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Penn_Release_040208.pdf

[VolcanoJen]

1. A 26-point swing in 2 1/2 weeks?

This has "outlier" written all over it.

Still, Obama's definitely been trending better than Clinton.

Edit: Hmmm... they have a more impressive track record than any other major polling firm in recent races:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/ppptrackrecord.pdf

[TheWraith]

28. I would agree it's an outlier, except for the fact...

...That we just saw a poll 1-2 days ago which had it at Clinton over Obama by five, compared to 15 a few weeks ago. So while I wouldn't say this is necessarily accurate yet, there's at least one other poll which shows it rapidly tightening of late.

[BeyondGeography]

2. Don't call it a comeback!

:wow:

[saltpoint]

3. If this poll is accurate, Ed Rendell is gonna be real upset.

Advice to the Rendell family dog: hide.

[thewiseguy]

25. He should go ahead and watch more Faux news

I am not sure why the democrats there would take this clown seriously when he says on TV that Fox has done the fairest job thus far in the primaries.

[tabasco]

4. It's going to be close in PA.

Hillary is in freefall in the Keystone State.

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

27. I'm for Obama but that sounds optimistic, Quinipac has a 10 point spread

which is still a good sign considering that Hillary has alot of
the elected officials in PA supporting her.

For Obama to go from 20 points behind to 10 points behind is a sign
that he is catching on.

Its the youth and progressive vote....

[PseudoIntellect]

5. What's the margin of error...10%? lol.

[VolcanoJen]

10. The MoE for this poll is +/-2.8%.

And they've got a better track record in recent polling than any other major polling firm:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/ppptrackrecord.pdf

This thing smells like an outlier, but one thing can't be denied... Obama's the one trending up, in every major PA poll.

[dkf]

11. +/-2.8% 1224LV surveyed on 3/31 and 4/1

[PseudoIntellect]

16. Wow, sounds pretty good.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Great News

Obama is now the favorite in the Keystone State...

[BeyondGeography]

8. But can he win Indiana?

[dkf]

7. From the release...

Obama overtakes Clinton in PA

Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama has taken the lead over Hillary Clinton 45-43 in
Pennsylvania, according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling.

It’s a remarkable turn around from PPP’s last Pennsylvania poll, conducted two and a
half weeks ago, that showed Clinton with a 26 point lead in the state. That poll was
released at the height of the Jeremiah Wright controversy and the day before Obama’s
major speech on race in Philadelphia. Obama has been trending upward in national
polling and in many state level polls since then and this survey reflects that pattern.

“In the last few weeks there has been increasing attention given to the fact that a
continuing divisive Democratic nomination fight could hurt the party’s chances of
defeating John McCain this fall,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
“The major movement in Obama’s direction in Pennsylvania could be an indication that
Democrats in that state think it’s time to wrap it up.”

Obama is narrowing the gap with white voters, trailing just 49-38, while maintaining his
customary significant advantage with black voters. He leads that group 75-17.
Obama also leads among all age groups except senior citizens, with whom Clinton has a
50-34 advantage. The poll shows the standard gender gap with Obama leading by 15
points among men while trailing by 10 points with women.

[slinkerwink]

9. a 26 point swing? Hot DAMN!

[quantass]

12. Impressive!

[Tropics_Dude83]

14. LOWER expectations

Clinton has to win by 15 points. Let's not let Clinton turn a 6-8 point PA win into a huge victory. Obama is still the major underdog in this state.

That said, this has CASEY written all over it. Senator Casey may have flipped PA.

[quantass]

17. Good point

[Bullet1987]

13. A 26 point swing in two weeks is not all that big

Obama has done that before in previous contests.

[DerekJ]

15. Get out of here !!!!

Really? Nah!

[ORDem]

18. k&r

:kick:

[wowimthere]

19. K&R do the right thing. Keep warmongers out of the white house

[L0oniX]

20. Kicking for effect

[JackORoses]

21. Obviously, Pennsylvanians don't like Liars.

Who knew?

[wowimthere]

22. I think he can win Indiana... yes. People will come around and realize...

that Obama represents sincere change, smart change instead of the status quo we've already had for my voting life. I want change and with Obama smart leadership is finally here.

[ieoeja]

24. I've only seen one Indiana poll. He was beating her by more than 30%. n/t

[nlb]

23. April Fools

don't believe this crap. Obama will NEVER win Pennsylvannia

[JVS]

26. GOBAMA!

[MadBadger]

29. This is the most recent poll, taken March 31 to April 1. The Q Poll isnt compltely reliable

It measures March 24-31, with the first couple days not really taking the Bosnia flap into consideration.