The day after the Mississippi primary, Clinton led in PA by 55-36....

[scheming daemons]

That's the baseline.

If Clinton wins by less than 19%, then she will have "lost"... because it means that Obama has gained more support in the six weeks between Mississippi and Pennsylvania than Hillary has.


If she wins... it is going to be less than 10%.... which is a BIG WIN for Obama.

[PBS Poll-435]

1. And he is still hanging around 36-42 %

Not really a big gain....

[scheming daemons]

2. And she has fallen dramatically... means lots have moved from Hillary to "Undecided"....

..As Pennsylvanians start paying attention, more are having doubts about her.

That's an opening for Obama.

[PBS Poll-435]

4. Maybe

But doesn't mean that he has sealed the deal by any means.

[Coexist]

5. actually, his average is 41.4 (+5.4) hers is 48 (-7) thats a 12 point swing.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html

Pretty big deal.

[PBS Poll-435]

10. Only if you BELIEVE

His solid support is still within a certain range.

[Coexist]

15. only if I BELIEVE what?

your post makes no sense.

what do you BELIEVE?

[PBS Poll-435]

16. His support has not crossed the 45% ceiling.

If you BELIEVE that a twelve point swing occured than go ahead. I am not stopping you.

[Tesha]

6. Wait, he was -19 back then, and he's -6 now, and you think it's not "a big gain"?

Well, maybe arithmetic isn't your strong suit.

Tesha

[PBS Poll-435]

9. Umm...

His solid support is between 36-42% Not really a change.

[Tesha]

14. Ahh. Your post didn't make that clear. (NT)

[book_worm]

3. and other polls showed her over 20-points.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

7. Math k

:kick:

[Erin Elizabeth]

8. Cool! Kick!

[Medusa]

11. Agreed. She needs to win PA by at least 10-20 points

or hang it up.

[hogwyld]

12. But everyone knows the MSM

will claim another legendary Clinton comeback, and a complete repudiation of Obama, even if he loses by one single vote! They want to continue this bullshit campaign to A) Destroy Barack B) Elect McSame C) Promote Hillary for 2012. I want this to end now, even though I don't vote until May.

[PBS Poll-435]

13. Yeah...Let it end now.

I always feel the urge to quit when I am ahead. Less risky!