national poll Obama up 12

[gabeana]

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/08_Mar_Pressrelease.pdf

Hotline/FD 03/28 - 03/31 342 LV 50 38 Obama +12.0

I never heard of this polling firm before don't know how reliable

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

[Adelante]

1. Analysis

Policing Policy

The issue on everyone’s mind is the economy. More than one-third, 37% of RVs, say it’s the most significant issue facing the country – nearly triple the next highest response of Iraq (opposition only). This figure is even higher among Dem primary voters – 44% of whom say the economy is most important.

But who do they think is best suited to fix it? When asked which party they trust to handle the economy, more than half (54%) of voters say the Dem party, while just one-third opt for the GOP. But when asked which candidate voters trust most to handle the economy, McCain leads both Dems with 35%, while 31% opt for Obama and 20% choose Clinton.

Here, Obama and Clinton largely split the Dem vote in a three-way question. Two-thirds of GOPers want McCain to handle the economy, while Dem primary voters divide their support between Obama (52%) and Clinton (33%). Naturally, these Obama and Clinton blocks consist largely of their respective primary voters. More than four-fifths, 81% of Clinton primary voters, say she is the best candidate to handle the economy, while 84% of Obama primary voters say the same about him.

On national security, which will presumably play a large role in the fall campaign, the parties basically break even – the GOP leads 43-40%, within the margin of error. But when the question is asked with respect to candidates, McCain holds a commanding lead over both Dems with 48% to Obama’s 23% and Clinton’s 19%.

Much more:

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/04/campaign_supera_1.html

[anonymous171]

2. How could anyone trust McCain with the economy?

Seriously. :wtf:

[karynnj]

7. The reason is the question is asked "who do you trust " and there are 3 choices

At this point most Republicans will choose McCain and most Democrats are split over HRC and Obama.

This analysis makes no sense. The choice will become one Democrat vs McCain. The Democrats, for the fighting, have very similar plans, especially whan compared to McCain's. If you sum the Democratic number - which will overstate by the amount lost to not voting or McCain - these numbers look good.

[Adelante]

3. Poll info

A new Diageo/Hotline poll released this a.m. shows Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton among Dem primary voters by 12%, a striking turnaround from his 2% deficit in the Feb. survey.

The poll – taken 3/28-31 of 799 RVs with margin of error +/- 3.5% – also shows Obama leading Clinton among women by 4% and Hispanics by 5%. Obama continues to perform well among men (he has a 23% lead) and blacks (67% lead), but he trails among whites by 6%.

[Texas Hill Country]

4. WTF kind of poll is that?

[MadBadger]

6. Hotline is a part of National Journal...but I know you dont care for it.

It has Hillary down.

[quantass]

5. thanks

[anigbrowl]

8. 342 likely voters is a poor sample

I wouldn't judge too much from that. The margin of error would be something like 6%.

[ORDem]

9. kick

:kick:

[Hepburn]

10. OMG.......I hope this poll is correct!

:applause: Thanks for posting this!