Rasmussen Maine: Obama 49 McCain 39 / Clinton 47 McCain 42

[MadBadger]

Election 2008: Maine Presidential Election
Obama and Clinton both Lead McCain in Maine
Friday, April 04, 2008
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The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Maine shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by ten percentage points, 49% to 39%. If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee, she leads McCain by five, 47% to 42%.

Four years ago, John Kerry won the state and its four Electoral College Votes by nine points. In Election 2000, Al Gore won the state by five.

Currently, Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of the state’s voters, McCain by 55%, and Clinton by 49%.


http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election

[NJSecularist]

1. Kerry only won Maine by 9 points. The state is not in play, but the margins are important. n/t

[RBInMaine]

5. The Dem prez candidate will win Maine in '08, but the state elections will be tough.

Maine leans quite blue these days, but still also has a very independent streak. As a change election, the R's here will want the state legislature bigtime, and the state senate is split virtually 50-50 with a one member Dem edge. The House is heavily Dem. The R's will play on the discontent many Mainers feel with the state govt. I think with strong Dem sentiment and turnout
(a strong majority of Mainers can't stand Bush and the national R's) we'll keep the House, but the state senate is going to be very touch and go. If general anti-incumbency prevails, that'll help nationally but hurt at the state level. I'm a local Dem official and it's already shaping up to be one hell of a ride.

[Maine-ah]

8. Hey, RB!

:hi:

you summed it up for me!

[RBInMaine]

9. Yeah, gonna be tough at the state level. Allen will have a tough run too.

I think we'll keep Allen's congressional seat. I'm leaning for Chellie Pingree in that race and think she'll get that nomination. Tom is running a good campaign, but he'll have a tough time unseating Collins. I think he can get at least as close as 48-52. If he wins it'll be by a point or two. Would love for him to win, but he has to break into her R, I, and even cross over Dem bases on HER turf. Gonna be hard. Doable, but damn hard. Sad that Collins is already stooping to the congressional vote attendance thing even though Tom has a 98% attendance record. Pretty sad gimick issue. I also hope they don't bring in TABOR-II. It could pass this time. Still, I think we keep the House even if we lose some seats. State Senate is going to be soooo scary. Just gotta work like hell. All we can do.

[slinkerwink]

2. damn

[Cha]

3. Thanks, hnmnf!

[MadBadger]

6. Sure thing!

[patrice]

4. Oh, please "God", STOP McCheney! nt

[scheming daemons]

7. I'm out of threads, and I don't mean to hijack yours, but I thought you might like this chart.....

This is Obama's intrade.com share price over the past month. I've added key events:






I think it's clear that the speech and the Richardson endorsement were extremely helpful.


Obama's price is now back to the pre-March 4th price.