gallup daily: obama moves to nine-point lead over clinton

[mathewsleep]

link

[Catherina]

1. Beautiful n/t

[polichick]

2. Yippeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

:woohoo:

[crankychatter]

3. my opinion

November landslide unprecedented in modern history

Conservative migration to the GOP like the Southern Racist exodus in the Sixties and the Seventies

We put out the tentstakes and all of our disaffected brethren return to the Democratic Party where they belong

Cynthia McKinney brings her tambourine

[azmouse]

4. Nice.

[jenmito]

5. Holy cow! K&R!

:bounce:

[Lucky 13]

6. Rut roh!

Hillary's campaign isn't doing so well? Shocking.

[berni_mccoy]

7. K&R! Off to the greatest!

[mathewsleep]

8. thanks.

[ClayZ]

9. Weeeeeeeee! Up we go!

K and R

[Scurrilous]

10. Gobama!

:thumbsup:

[me b zola]

11. K&R

:kick:

[Orsino]

12. One-day bump.

Please, folks, don't get too excited over what may be an outlier. Most recent results show the race too close to call. It takes weeks to build a trend.

I may smell the beginning of one, however.

[stratomagi]

14. Uh he's been in the lead for almost two weeks

The trend is that ever since snipergate Hillary can't keep her lies in order anymore.

[Orsino]

15. Leads within the margin of error aren't leads.

Or aren't necessarily leads. His current lead of more than double (?) the MOE is impressive, and may mean something in connection with the numbers from a couple of weeks ago.

[mathewsleep]

16. i'd rather be ahead within the margin of error then

behind within the margin of error.
but it is the margin of error. so either or is fine.

[Orsino]

18. Yeah. It makes it easy to claim victory without actually winning anything.

I'd like to think there's a trend here, but I'm even more interested in working up a clear picture of shift in opinion.

[DerekJ]

25. WTF !! he is 7 points over the margin of error.

[Orsino]

27. Yeah. Once.

I agree that that number is significant, but it is not yet a trend.

Get back to me in a week or two, after we've seen more numbers like those, and I will be celebrating, too.

[DerekJ]

28. You mean if he keeps a 9 point lead for 2 weeks, or if he is over the margin of error for 2 weeks?

[Orsino]

29. Either of those would be happy-making.

The former, more so. The latter he may already be achieving in some polls.

[DerekJ]

30. 2 more days. Gallup have him over MOE for 12 days now.

[Orsino]

31. I guess I could start celebrating a bit early.

I know there has been some back-and-forth, but someday very soon the pendulum isn't coming back, if we haven't already seen the final trending. America's going to choose a nominee--perhaps before the party does.

[stratomagi]

19. According to gallup their sampling error is + or - 2

that being said worst case scenario he was in the lead most of the time and at least tied the rest.

[Orsino]

26. Oh. I'd thought Gallup was always +/-3.

Most recent numbers are significant, then.

[grantcart]

13. been waiting for it thanks

[nebula]

17. Don't let the polls make you complacent

don't take any lead for granted, no matter how far ahead you are.

that's how Kerry lost. always keep fighting hard as if you were the underdog, never stop.

[easy_b94]

20. U r right but if he over 53% she is officially done

[Zachstar]

22. She is not officialy done until she drops out or the convention.

Ron Paul is still in the race for the republicans for example.

No the process is going to take her losing some of the upcoming states with more supers saying they will support the candidate with the most pledged delegates for her to exit.

The big goal here is for her to exit before may and after PA.

The needed goal is for her to exit after the primary season is complete. Because her taking it to the convention helps nobody overall.

[Zachstar]

21. I agree.

And because of how these polls work Clinton can suddenly close that gap.

And this poll is not reflecting what is going on in PA. There is a virtual tie there but we need to work like we want to turn it into a win for Obama!!

Assume Obama is losing by 20 points and WORK WORK WORK!!

[nebula]

23. I hope some pro-Obama voters in PA dont look at these polls

thinking a victory for him is inevitable, so don't bother to vote on primary day.

[Zachstar]

24. Insure that get out the vote efforts in that state are good and strong.

And it is well known that the state is a tossup now. It will help people come out and vote.

[samsingh]

32. that's huge