RASMUSSEN National Poll: Obama 51% Clinton 40%; largest lead... Developing...

[dkf]

From Drudge.

Also internals from Penn Q poll:

April 8, 2008 - Obama Catching Up With Clinton In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; She's Losing Ground Even Among Women

Word format

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is catching up with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and now trails 50 - 44 percent among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 - 41 percent Sen. Clinton lead in an April 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, one of the biggest shifts is among women who went from 54 - 37 percent for Clinton April 2 to 54 - 41 percent for her today. A look at other groups shows:

* White voters for Clinton 56 - 38 percent, down from 59 - 34 percent last week.
* Black voters back Obama 75 - 17 percent, compared to 73 - 11 percent.
* Men are for Obama 48 - 44 percent, compared to a 46 - 46 percent tie last week.
* Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 - 40, while older voters back Clinton 55 - 38 percent.

"With two weeks to go, Sen. Barack Obama is knocking on the door of a major political upset in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Obama is not only building on his own constituencies, but is taking away voters in Sen. Hillary Clinton's strongest areas - whites including white women, voters in the key swing Philadelphia suburbs and those who say the economy is the most important issue in the campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1165&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

[malik flavors]

1. I was just about to make this thread. 11 points. Awesome

[DerekJ]

2. Do you think he can win PA ?!!

Nah, Wishful thinking.

[MadBadger]

3. Of course he can.

[BumRushDaShow]

5. I think there is a possibility of a Missouri squeaker

IF the shenangans at the polls in Philly are kept at a minimum.

[Zueda]

10. I think the shenanigans will decrease...

My guess is that the CC's main priority at this point is to force themselves onto the coatails of the OC.

[goclark]

15. My friend was a Civil Rights attorney

and he is on his way to Philly in a few days.

He will be working the Obama campaign in Philly.

He said the dirty tricks in Ohio for HC were beyond anything he had witnessed in the 60's. :(

[Cha]

36. Beyond anything anyone has seen

in the "democratic" party. So happy your friend is so to Philly to help out. :hi:

[Zachstar]

37. Well let us hope the tricks do not continue in PA.

Best of luck to your friend!

[Eurobabe]

6. Watch and see.

:hi:

[slinkerwink]

11. I think he'll come within single digits, but she still wins PA

[democrattotheend]

14. Rasmussen is releasing a new PA poll at noon

Their last poll had her only 5 up, so I am nervous about this one. I really don't want the poll to show him winning or even close, but I'll be kind of disappointed if it doesn't show him gaining ground. Kind of a Catch 22, I guess.

[DerekJ]

19. Where did you hear about that?!! Is it on their website?!!

[Zachstar]

38. Remember that as he gets closer to tie the harder it is.

The ones who were doubting Clinton have mostly changed already.

The ones remaining will be more difficult to sway as they are quite loyal to Clinton.

The steady approach could mean a win however. We will just have to work and see!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

21. Doesn't need to, but yes.

[Zachstar]

35. DerekJ There is a tiny possibility right now.

And I mean tiny so don't get your hopes up.

Yet the fact that there is even a tiny chance highlights the extreme loss of support Clinton has to face. PA has been known as a BIG Clinton poitical firewall for months. If he keeps it within 10 percent the firewall is broken and that opens the floodgates for the remaining states to go Obama.

[BumRushDaShow]

4. K&R

:kick:

[catgirl]

7. K&R

[MethuenProgressive]

8. How Obama got this lead:

[DerekJ]

12. You do know that the poll includes those 2 states?!!!! Right?!!

[PA Democrat]

13. If the voters of Michigan and Florida mistakenly blame Obama

for the decision to move up their states' primaries, then it would have the effect of driving DOWN Obama's NATIONAL poll numbers.

[Zachstar]

42. They already have.

[tabasco]

18. Your toxic sludge has a short remaining half-life.

Please enjoy your last days posting lies at DU.

Hillary said it would be over Feb. 5th. I guess those states after Feb 5th didn't matter.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_eBIpEuO4U

:rofl:

[Political Heretic]

26. That's their fault. Not Obama's, not the DNCs.

[MadBadger]

9. His big lead has been relatively steady for about three days now in the Rasmussen poll.

[Apollo11]

17. Rasmussen also has McCain narrowly beating both Democrats

The last time the Rasmussen match-up tracking poll (updated daily) showed either Democrat winning against McCain was March 10th.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history

[Mooney]

16. Wunderbar!

Can we officially say that a "trend" is emerging?

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

20. Fantastisch!!!

[L0oniX]

22. WOOT

[wowimthere]

23. K&R

[Political Heretic]

24. Uh yeah... I posted this a day ago. :/

[jenmito]

30. Yesterday was 51%-41%. Today it's 51%-40%. She's down one from yesterday.

[crankychatter]

25. but but but... all my Clinton pals say the GOP wants to run against Obama?

ya think Republican strategists read polls?

nah, no way.

[RiverStone]

27. Ed Rendell on MTP lowered the bar to 5-6 points...

At what point will what was formally a 20 point PA lead for Hillary be seen as an OBVIOUS sign that now, Obama has secured the nomination?

I assume even a .0001% win for him will be enough. Of course, the pundits have been saying anything less than a Clinton blow out is...enough.

[Zachstar]

39. And that is what will Cost Clinton greatly politically.

Clinton ought to have been saying it could be REALLY close in PA back when everyone was saying it would be a Clinton blowout.

[Life Long Dem]

28. Kick

[atal]

29. Time for Clinton to quit

Why can't she see she's fighting a lost battle... There's absolutely nothing she can do to catch up and win.

I no longer have any respect for her!

[Divernan]

40. She won't quit as long as fools continue sending in campaign contributions.

All those debts to pay off, ya know!

[atal]

43. That probably why she's contiuing

To pay off her dept....


You'd need to be an idoit to truly believe she can still win!

[Scurrilous]

31. K & R

:thumbsup:

[ORDem]

32. What's that I read on another thread about Obama topping out. :)

:kick:

[quantass]

33. kick...and he scores!

[Zachstar]

34. This is good news yet let us not get lazy!

Clinton can come back before we know it!

Continue to support and continue to be active!

[SunsetDreams]

41. awesome!

Obama08

[samsingh]

44. 11 is solid

[Khaotic]

45. Oh Snap ...