Insider Advantage Poll (PA) Clinton 48% Obama 38% with cross tabs

[book_worm]

Clinton up 48-38 according to insider advantage.

Crosstabs:
white voters: 54-33 Clinton
black voters: 62-22 Obama
Hispanic: 58-42 Obama
Male 47-42 Obama
Female 54-30 Clinton

18-29 67-23 Obama
30-44 49-36 Clinton
45-64 51-38 Clinton
65 plus 54-30 Clinton

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_49_328.aspx

[Skip Intro]

1. Wow, she is regaining a big lead even with all the money Obama can throw at PA.

Excellent!

K&R!

:kick:

[Kittycat]

5. First, he was never expected to win PA. He's only trying to keep it reasonable.

And he's up from being down 20 :eyes:

[ej510]

2. I can believe that she leads by 10 pts but I do not believe that Obama.......

only gets 62% of the black vote.

[book_worm]

3. That's what I was thinking too. I think he will get 80% or more.

[PBS Poll-435]

6. Why?

[PBS Poll-435]

4. Wahoo!!!

Obama's support is STILL between 38-44%!

Even after all that TV!

[FrenchieCat]

7. Kewl!

:woohoo:

(Lowering expectations is good. Obama is the underdog, and a brave soul running while Black,
so we can see what this country really stands for!)

[totodeinhere]

8. Remember that several other polls have it much closer than that.

The RealClearPolitics average is Clinton +7.9. And those results are skewed by that SurveyUSA poll that has Clinton up by 18%. On the other hand, Rasmussen has her only up by 5%.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_primaries.html

[PBS Poll-435]

10. Skewed?

Who's polls have been right this season?

[totodeinhere]

12. "Skewed" is a neutral term.

It just means that one result out of a sample is appreciably different from all of the rest. When I use that term it doesn't mean that I am making a judgment about which sample is the most accurate.

[PBS Poll-435]

13. Yep! Neutral

"The RealClearPolitics average is Clinton +7.9.

And those results are skewed by that SurveyUSA poll that has Clinton up by 18%.

On the other hand, Rasmussen has her only up by 5%." (Phew!!!)

Rasmussen 02/28 - 02/28 851 LV 47 45 Clinton +2.0 <--- 1 week from election...

[woolldog]

9. How reliable is Insider Advantage?

What was the date of their last PA poll and what did it say?

[thevoiceofreason]

14. A week ago they said 45-42 Clinton

[woolldog]

15. do you have a link to that poll?

[PBS Poll-435]

19. LOL

Insider Advantage 04/02 - 04/02 659 LV 45 42 Clinton +3.0

That would put Obama -4, Clinton +3 (and his support is STILL between 38-44%

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_49_328.aspx

[woolldog]

21. Never mind, I found it.

Insider Advantage 4/03 Poll and crosstabs

[thevoiceofreason]

25. Go to Realclearpolitics.com. Hit Pennsylvania, then go to all polls.

This one was April 2-3.

[Barack_America]

11. Some of those #s are weird, but this is the poll I'm taking to heart!

When I hit the streets this weekend!!

[my3boyz]

16. I'll take it! She needs a bigger win to make a dent in his delegate lead! nt

[goldcanyonaz]

17. He's lost 4 points and she's gained 3 since 4-3 Insider Advantage poll.

[aaaaaa5a]

18. What do these Pollsters look at.....

Any poll that has Obama only winning 62% of the black vote is instantly not credible. If I were a pollster and I saw anything under 80% for the black vote, I would consider the poll meaningless.

[PBS Poll-435]

20. Why?

[4themind]

22. With 14% undecided -nt

[johnnydrama]

23. why did you ignore the other polls today?

Or did you just miss them?

PPP Clinton 46-43
STR Vision Clinton 47-42

Maybe give everybody all the information, and let them decide for themselves.

[AllentownJake]

24. All I have to say

Is their internal polling numbers must be scaring the shit out of them because they have 5 new ads that they are running plus a new radio attack add. You don't go on the attack when you have a lead unless your scared someone is catching you.

[anonymous171]

26. Obama has to grab those undecideds. NOW.