New LA Times/Bloomberg polls of PA, Indiana and NC--Obama lookin' Good (results here)

[book_worm]

PA Hillary up 46-41
Indiana Obama up 40-35
NC Obama up 47-34


http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-poll16apr16,0,794499.story



WASHINGTON -- With three crucial Democratic primaries looming, Hillary Rodham Clinton may not be headed toward the blockbuster victories she needs to jump-start her presidential bid -- even in Pennsylvania, the state that was supposed to be her ace in the hole, a new Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll has found.

The survey found the New York senator leading Barack Obama by just 5 percentage points in Pennsylvania, which votes next Tuesday. Such a margin would not give her much of a boost in the battle for the party's nomination.

What is more, the poll found Clinton trails Obama by 5 points in Indiana, another Rust Belt state that should play to her strengths among blue-collar voters.

In North Carolina, an Obama stronghold, he is running 13 points ahead.

The race remains volatile, however, because many likely voters in the Democratic primaries are still undecided -- 12% in Pennsylvania, 19% in Indiana and 17% in North Carolina

[tekisui]

1. WooHoo! Indiana!

I think he can win that one. It's possible he could take PA, but I still think she's got a single digit win coming there.

[redqueen]

5. I like your analysis...

:D

[Quixote1818]

38. If he wins IN then she absolutely must drop out. nt

[JackORoses]

2. exxxxxxcellent!

[democrattotheend]

3. GOBAMA!

Too bad they were conducted starting before "Bittergate" (g-d, does that sound ridiculous?), but still encouraging. Indiana is pretty surprising...that state seems tailor-made for Clinton.

[book_worm]

7. polls taken Thursday-Monday so most of the poll conducted after "bittergate."

[MindMatter]

29. Bittergate HELPS Obama

Just as Wright-gate helps him

Remember that before the Wright thing, a lot of people were still believing Obama is a Muslim. There is no question at all now that he goes to a Christian church. We can argue about whose church is better than teh next one, but most church people start to get a littler nervous at that point, because there is some weirdness in every church and it is better not to start asking too many questions.

Bitter-gate unquestionably helps him. Clinton looks utterly foolish trying to turn it into a gun-right issue, and to do that, she has to argue that people are not angry. Say what?

[thereismore]

4. There is a fine line between being "undecided" and being ignorant. I think. Flame away. nt

[sunonmars]

6. can you add those totals and see how much is missing

Indiana 25% is missing

Pen 13% is missing

NC 19% is missing

I mean seriously, wtf that poll is bullshit embarrassingly done

[MadBadger]

8. Its called UNDECIDED VOTERS!

[book_worm]

9. how sad

if it was Hillary up in all three states you'd be jumping up for joy.

BTW, NC Obama leads 71-5 among African-Americans with 24% undecided, I think most will break (if other states are any guide) for Obama.

[Mooney]

17. Those are the undecideds.

[thevoiceofreason]

27. You mean they don't push poll them and insist on a meaningless response?

Who do you favor? Neither right now.

Who are you leaning toward? I'm truly undecided, both have things in their favor.

If you had to say a name right now, and no one held you to it, but we were holding a gun to your dog's head, which would you pick? OK, Hillary

"Hey Marty, we got a solid Hillary over here!"

[ElsewheresDaughter]

10. Kentucky Clinton 62 Obama 26

[Kittycat]

11. And how many states did Obama beat her by 62%-38% or less?

[book_worm]

12. Yes, WVA and KY have been Clinton strongholds in polls for months

I expect she will win them.

[sunonmars]

13. It hilarious, they are hailing this latimes poll as gospel

its so badly done, its unbeleivable.

[book_worm]

20. just like you are hailing your survey usa poll as gospel

Time will tell who is right. Different polls different results. This also is pretty close to what the new Quinnipiac Poll showed today a six-point Hillary lead in PA.

[democrattotheend]

21. What's wrong with it?

I haven't seen the internals...do you have a link?

[MadBadger]

14. Okay, so make that an OP.

[totodeinhere]

18. OK, so that's two states for Clinton and two for Obama.

At this stage that's not good enough for Clinton. She needs blowouts in each and every remaining state to have any chance at all. A split just doesn't make it for her.

[endarkenment]

15. I think the Clinton campaign is going back to the kitchen.

There must be something left in there to throw at Obama. Seeing as how passover is coming up I'd suggest a barrage of gefilte fish and matzah balls.

[OzarkDem]

16. SUSA has Clinton ahead by double digits in PA and IN

Methinks the polls you mention are out of whack. There's no way Obama can erase a 16 point Clinton lead in one day.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_democratic_primary-639.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html

[book_worm]

19. different pollsters so we don't know at this point who is right, do we?

[catgirl]

22. How many jump starts does she need?

Enough already!

[1776Forever]

23. I am going to get some non-alcoholic beverage to open up next Tuesday! Can't have real stuff...

but I feel I am going to have to celebrate somehow with my hubby!!! This will be one of the happiest days of my life when Obama is victorious!!!!!

[cooolandrew]

24. That's what I mean the trend is very pro Obama, ignore the spin.

[cooolandrew]

25. That's what I mean the trend is very pro Obama, ignore the spin.

[DerekJ]

26. Keith number is pretty high here

:)

[woolldog]

28. 40-35?

That's just ridiculous. Why do they publish such garbage polls?

[book_worm]

30. which poll do you believe?

[woolldog]

33. none

I'm not too worried about Indiana and NC because they are so far away.

[symbolman]

31. "play to her strengths among blue collar workers.."??

when did she become the pal of THAT group? Friday?

Sounds like SHE is blue collar shot and a beer, which of course means Obama is "elitist"..

Some hooey going on here..

[PBS Poll-435]

32. LOL - LaTimes

:rofl:

:rofl::rofl::rofl:

:rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl:


http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/surveyusa-report-cards/

[book_worm]

35. even your survey usa shows Obama gaining.

it's the trends. Get it? And today another poll has Obama--ahead!
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_041608.pdf

:rofl:

[PBS Poll-435]

36. Thanks for the latest release of

People Polling Poodles.

[book_worm]

34. kick

[Indenturedebtor]

37. Who knows about this poll

But I'm telling you... I was living in Indiana for most of my life up until a couple of years ago. Indiana is going to go Obama in a big way. Well, Bloomington, Gary, and Indianapolis certainly will... Lafayette maybe.

"Whitestown" and Lynchburg... eh not so much :( Yes those towns do exist.