~~~DU's official Pennsylvania prediction~~~

[Seen the light]

Poll question: ~~~DU's official Pennsylvania prediction~~~

Who wins and by how much?

Remember, this isn't what you want to see happen, it's what you think WILL happen.

[NJSecularist]

1. Hillary by 5-10 points.

She has the Pennsylvania machine behind her with Ed Rendell and a name recognition and connection to working class whites which Obama does not have.

[Spider Jerusalem]

6. Agreed

I don't see her edging much above 10%; she might go below 5%. I fully expect her to win PA, but the margins won't be as large as she needs.

[TML]

2. Clinton will likely win

But I would not be surprised if the margin of victory is 1-2 points, or if Obama snatched victory from the jaws of defeat. Either way, it will be close.

I hope those of you on the East Coast plan on staying up late that evening. :popcorn:

[Secret_Society]

3. I said Hillary by 10+ but...

I think it should be between 8 and 12. Polls in Ohio did the same thing and she got a 10 point victory.

[elocs]

4. What exactly makes this the "official" DU Pennsylvania prediction? n/t

[Blondiegrrl]

5. Clinton by 5 to 10. eom

[thewiseguy]

7. I said 5-10 for Hillary but I was being conservative with my estimate.