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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:14 PM
Original message
PPP: Obama by 25 in NC
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_NC_Release_042108.pdf

Obama: 57%
Clinton: 32%
Undecided: 11%


On a side note, our Senate race to unseat Dole is pathetic.
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. Obama by 13....that's still my prediction.
PA will go Clinton +9 and Indiana will be Clinton +5
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Nah, he'll beat her by 20+ in NC
is my guess. And I think he'll take Indiana by 8, but she'll win PA by 12.
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Zachstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Indiana is not a clinton stronghold and she will go into May without much of a warchest.
Already Obama has put Indiana in play
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:41 PM
Response to Reply #1
14. I'd be surprised
if it's that's close. NC is a good state for Obama (relatively large AA population, growing number of higher educated whites, lower number of "working class" whites like that in Ohio/Penn, lots of college towns).
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
4. Predictions: (1) The gap won't close by nearly as much as the PA gap did....
... and (2) White folks will declare this to be evidence of their favorite fiction "reverse racism".
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Zachstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
5. Depneding on and IF Edwards endorses. I say by 20-30
Mainly because Clinton's numerous gates are about to hit hard in the news after the primary.
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crankychatter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
6. Even with Obama ahead, the SMART money is on the Military-Industrial Complex
wilkommen auf Amerika

so it's always been... so it shall be
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:24 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kay Hagan has no chance to unseat Dole? n/t
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. very little
She has little name recognition, little money, and the DSCC doesn't look like it will send much support her way. It's a shame b/c Dole is vulnerable, and we had several more qualified, better known candidates than Hagan who declined to run.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #11
21. Who didn't run that you wanted to run? n/t
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 02:10 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Several...
Mike Easley (Governor...term is up)
Richard Moore (State Treasurer...running for Gov)
Beverly Perdue (Lt. Governor...running for Gov)
Roy Cooper (Atty. General...decided to stay in current position)

You could thrown in Brad Miller or David Price from Congress, but they are both happy where they are. The Dems have dominated the governorship here for so long that it's more appealing to run for it rather than a US Senate seat.
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mnhtnbb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:44 PM
Response to Reply #7
18. The standard reply in NC is Kay who?
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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
8. K & R!
:kick:
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
9. I guess the Keystone margin won't matter....
If this is even remotely close to accurate, a win that large would wipe away any sizable popular vote advantage Clinton gains in Pennsylvania.
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malik flavors Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
10. If Obama actually blows her out in N.C., but she can't blow him out in PA. That says a lot.
It show he does better on her turf than she does on his.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:38 PM
Response to Original message
12. Good news.
K & R :thumbsup:
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Lucky 13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:39 PM
Response to Original message
13. Yeah, but they're just Southern working class voters.... SCREW 'EM!
:rofl:
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
15. K&R
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
16. Even if EVERY undecided voter goes to Hillary, Obama has a double-digit lead!
And don't forget, Harold Ford repeatedly said that the winner of NC will be our nominee.
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mnhtnbb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:43 PM
Response to Original message
17. I can't believe we're stuck with Liddy Dole for 6 more years. It's pathetic that
either Moore or Purdue wouldn't take her on.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:45 PM
Response to Original message
19. I think that will make up for any loss Obama may experience in PA tomorrow.
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mnhtnbb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-21-08 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
20. The survey is among likely Dem voters. Expect a much different final result
Edited on Mon Apr-21-08 01:47 PM by mnhtnbb
NC has an open primary; if you're unaffiliated you can vote Dem or Repub ticket. Last I looked, about 1/3 of the state is registered unaffiliated. That could significantly change the results.
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