Katz sticks to his prediction: Clinton 54%, Obama 46%!

[Colobo]

You will hear the media spin this as another "Hillary comeback" and the Obama people will try to remind everyone she's got no chance to win numerically.

[Colobo]

1. Kick!

[Ichingcarpenter]

6. 8 points is OK but I really worry about the Touch Screens

Since they can't be verified for either candidate.

I think 4 points might be closer to the truth.

[DerekJ]

2. 53-47

Wanna bet?! :P

[Colobo]

5. 53-47 in favor of whom?

[DerekJ]

8. clinton

[MadBadger]

3. And I'm stickking to my 50-49 Obama prediction

Though I wont be surprised if its 52-47 Clinton.

[book_worm]

4. Katz if it's 54-46 Hillary that is a Obama win

why? she was twenty-plus points ahead and even the pundits have said she needs a double digit victory to mean anything. I'd actually be quite content if it were 54-46 which would be less than Ohio and would hardly make a dent delegate wise. (of course I would be most happy if Obama won, no matter how narrowly).

[Carrieyazel]

10. No it isn't. Losing a big state primary by 8 points is no victory

for Barack, no matter what the polls said three months ago. He will have lost decisively, and Hillary stays in the race indefinitely.

[thewiseguy]

7. 10-12 points will be the best scenario for her, 6-10 will be the likely spread

And anything under 6 will be a great outcome for Obama.

I think she is leading him by 6 points or so and she needs all the undecided voters to vote for her to get to the 12 point mark. That is highly unlikely.

[jenmito]

9. Chris Matthews said if she wins by 8% or more that's considered a good night for her. Less than

8% would not be good. What a low bar! She has to get 65% of every remaining state to even be competitive with Obama.