Exit Polls have over 30% seniors and only 10% 18-29.

[mystieus]

If those numbers get more even like SurveyUSA predicts (65+ and 18-35 both 21%) Obama's going to pull this out.

[thevolt1]

1. Seniors vote, young people can't be relied upon to show up

[GarbagemanLB]

4. Seniors vote early, young people vote late. Also, welcome to DU...

[Alexander]

5. If a candidate is inspiring enough, they can...

[nomorenomore08]

10. "For the last time, get the hell off my lawn!"

nt

[adoraz]

2. yeah and I imagine that the seniors

have mostly voted by now, while the younger people are still getting off from work and school.

[MadBadger]

3. Students vote later, so I think the 18-29 numbers will bump up

[Cali_Democrat]

6. isn't Pennsylvania the oldest state in the union in terms of population age?

:shrug:

[joeybee12]

12. Second, after Florida...n/t

[Jersey Devil]

7. depends on where the exit polls were taken

The numbers could come from areas where demographics have higher number of seniors. I'd like to see the percentages of 18-29 in Happy Valley and Penn

[jackson_dem]

13. You would think they choose a representative cross section of places to take exit polls

[Jersey Devil]

22. Sure, you'd think that, but we've seen these exit polls before

They said Kerry won Ohio, among other things.

[jackson_dem]

26. And Obama winning Mass. I think that is just because exit polls are inherently unreliable

[mystieus]

8. CNN Exits

First-time voters: Obama 60, Clinton 38;

Those who decided in the last week: Clinton 58, Obama 42

[jackson_dem]

9. Old people

:thumbsup:

[MadBadger]

14. Well that would be a stupid assumption

College kids vote later after their classes are done.

[jackson_dem]

18. You're right. I wouldn't know because I don't show to class on election day lol

[MadBadger]

24. Well neither do I, but I'm different. Election day here, it was light turnout until 4:00

Thats when my precinct picked up the pace.

[Cant trust em]

16. Why would college students vote early?

I don't think that I've ever voted before 5 p.m. in my life. I usually go after work.

[MadBadger]

20. We dont wake up early, and have classes during the day

[jackson_dem]

21. I am wrong and that was due to me always being a no show on election day

Still how much can the margin be closed? 30-10 is huge.

[BootinUp]

17. Old people rawk!

lol. :thumbsup:

[book_worm]

11. PA has one of the oldest populations in the US, so not unexpected.

[jedr]

19. dead on....next to Florida, we got the most old timers, n/t

[jackson_dem]

15. Ohio context, good news for Hill is true

In Ohio it was 23% and 16% respectively for these groups. Obama won young voters 61-35 in Ohio but Clinton won those over 60 69-28 and those over 65 72-26.

[mucifer]

23. ummm there's no law against young people voting for Clinton or old

people voting for Obama.

I think this thread is a little silly.

[jackson_dem]

25. There are consistent trends based on the past 42 states

There is some deviation but we can look at this for tea leaves.

[mystieus]

27. Drudge: white and black percentage

Drudge:

Whites
Clinton 60%
Obama 40%

Blacks
Clinton 8%
Obama 92%

[jefferson_dem]

28. Good news, if true.

Survey USA had Obama taking 37% of white vote and 11% of black vote. If these results hold, he will do better than the six point spread.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b92f9f10-4d6b-4f93-b747-e06a37fce20f