Exit Polls: HILLARY 52 ...... OBAMA 48

[marmar]

from HuffPost:




Pennsylvania Exit Polls: Primary Results
The Huffington Post | April 22, 2008 05:36 PM



*** Scroll Down For Constant Updates ***

The first round of the (notoriously unreliable) Pennsylvania exit polls show Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by 52-48. The full data suggests grim news for the economy:

As in earlier primaries, at least half of voters said the economy was the most important issue facing the country. About half as many said Iraq was the top issue. Health care trailed in importance.

Pennsylvania Democrats had a sour view of the economy -- four in 10 said the country is in a serious recession and at least as many called it a moderate recession. Only about one in 10 said the economy is not in recession.

Once again, exit polls are splitting on gender lines:

Women
Clinton 55%
Obama 44

Men
Clinton 47%
Obama 53

National Review is reporting that some Pennsylvania exit polls show tonight could be an upset:

Hold on to your hats. I've gotten the usual word of the exit poll results from one of my usual reliable sources. He notes that Obama traditionally over-performs in the earliest exit polls, and that he expects the numbers to change as the night wears on - perhaps a reversal.

But right now, the exits are saying Obama 52 percent, Clinton 47 percent.

Take these results with the usual grains of salt and skepticism. I'm told that Obama is carrying blue collar workers two to one, and he's winning Philadelphia in the neighborhood of three to one.


More exit poll details from CBS, via Marc Ambinder:

The exit polls show a smaller percentage of late deciders -- 23% -- than in previous states. The economy mattered most to 54% of voters. (TV news reports say that Clinton won these folks.)

The change versus experience question has been settled: 49% said change was their top vote-generating quality, versus 26 percent who said experience was.

About 15% of the electorate was made up of new voters. 37% are gun owners.

Still petulant: more than 60% of Clinton voters say they wouldn't be happy if Obama were the nominee; about half of Obama voters say the same. 25% of Clinton supporters say they'd vote for McCain in the general election; 17% of Obama supporters say they'd vote for McCain in the general election. Still, 57% of Pennsylvanians believed that Sen. Clinton "attacked" unfairly compared to 49% who thought Obama did.

......(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/22/pennsylvania-exit-polls-p_n_98069.html

[msallied]

1. Woo! Closer than some would predict.. I predicted Hillary by 6.

And given that exit poll data is traditionally off these days, I'd say that this race will be incredibly close.

[WillyT]

5. I Had Hillary By 3...

:shrug:

[sniffa]

7. I had her by 40

Damn, she really didn't come close to closing the deal. x(

[WillyT]

10. LOL !!! - Hey... Hillary By 3 Is Still A Loss Ain't It ???

:evilgrin:

[VeraAgnes]

2. My guess is she will win by a 12 % margin.

I may be low-balling Clinton's lead.

[Texas Hill Country]

4. i suspect that as well... my guess is actually 8-12

[VeraAgnes]

13. Salute!

:toast:

[Texas Hill Country]

3. yeah, they arent biased lol, notice in all those articles barack is the only one with a hyperlinked

name...

lol.

i know its a small thing, but damn...

[Peteron]

6. Arianna trusting right-wing sites which name no source

Why woul Arianna link to a right-wing site (NRO) who is basically saying, "trust us, some guy told us that Obama is up by 5%".

Then again, her bias is making her do very weird things.

[Hoof Hearted]

11. Maybe she is doing it from her yaht, on the way to Tahiti again? LOL

In the voice of Zha Zha,

"How dare they call us elitist darling, why just the other day, I bought my own arugula at the Whole Foods."

[catnhatnh]

15. Either learn to spell like an elitist....

...or stick to easier nouns, like "boat".

[RamboLiberal]

8. Please, please, please let this be close enough

to cause the Hillary campaign to have to fold up their tent or told to pack their bags by the SD's! I've been in a funk all day thinking my home state will let slash and burn Hillary carry on her campaign to destroy Obama and the Democratic party!

[dchill]

9. Numbers reversed?

Check this link:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YjhlYzZiYjRhNDI0YTMwYzAxMTQ0NWNhNTQyODc4ZGE=

"But right now, the exits are saying Obama 52 percent, Clinton 47 percent."

:shrug:

[rucky]

12. Crimminy Jismas!

Tomorrow's headline: Both candidates declare victory.

[dbmk]

14. Go take a look at this

If those numbers hold up, or close to, I predict 4 delegates for Hillary.

As I have done for the last couple od days:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5608247

[Zhade]

16. So she still can't catch up if she wins PA. Nice!

NT!